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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: Tuesday (YTD: 57-36-10 +18.80u)
Spartacus10 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#26
Posted: 2/21/2012 2:49:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by UnderDogs1979:

Sounds like you're plugged in. Otherwise, those jobs are VERY tough to crack. Do you write about golf already somewhere?


Yeah for sure man. Without connections those jobs are near impossible to attain. I plan on taking advantage of this as it seems to be a once in a lifetime opportunity, and the last thing I would want to do is ruin an opportunity such as this.
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bold27
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#27
Posted: 2/21/2012 3:36:51 PM
GOOD LUCK
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#28
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:08:26 PM
Anaheim line has been steadily rising since last night and has reached -122 at Pinny. As much as I like Anaheim, if that line continues to rise there may be value in Tampa as a home dog.
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#29
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:28:58 PM
No Lecav, Downie, Kubina, Moore. 
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#30
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:33:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HockeyTeeth:

No Lecav, Downie, Kubina, Moore. 


I hadn't capped the game yet which is why I said there may be value. Now I see why the line makes more sense. Good luck HockeyTeeth.
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#31
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:50:19 PM
BOL Spart - pulling for the Leafs -  we need a win tonight as the road trip we just crashed back from almost killed my liver


Cheers
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#32
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:01:33 PM
Chicago (-102) 1u
Chicago TT o2.5 (-129) 1u

There are just so many reasons I like Chicago tonight that it may be foolish not making this a 2 unit play, but I usually don't like laying multiple units against a team like Detroit, even if they are on the road. So I decided to play both the Chicago ML and TT since I think there is a very good chance that both wagers will be successful. This line should be about -120 for Chicago, and I understand they are playing Detroit, but they are missing their best player in Datsyuk, they aren't very good on the road, and I actually see Howard returning tonight as an advantage to Chicago.

Detroit

Detroit enters this match as one of the top teams in the West once again this year. Most of the credit must go to their Home play, as they have basically been a .500 team on the road this year. For that reason, combined with a few others, I believe that Detroit is in a major look ahead spot where they go back home on Thursday to defend their home winning streak against Vancouver. Detroit's offense has been stellar once again this year where they rank #5 overall averaging 3.05 goals per game. On the road, we see a massive decrease in production where they drop to #13 averaging over half a goal less at 2.52 goals per game. The Power Play has been slightly above league averages this year where they rank #14 overall in PP% at 17.5% and #13 having scored 38 PP goals thus far this season. On the road we see a slight decrease in production where they currently rank #23 in PP% at 14.0% and #10 having scored 20 PP goals this season. Their overall defensive play has been fairly average as well this year. They rank #26 overall in the league allowing opponents to score 2.30 goals against per game. On the road, we see another big time decrease in production where they rank #12 allowing opponents to score 2.87 goals per game. Their Penalty Kill hasn't been all that special this season either where they currently sit #20 overall in PK% at 81.4% and #13 having allowed opponents to score 38 PP goals against. Once again on the road we see a slight decrease in production where they currently sit #20 in PK% at 80.0% and #10 having allowed opponents to score 20 PP goals.

Howard

Overall: 32-11-1, 2.02 GAA, .924 SV%
Away: 12-9-0, 2.53 GAA, .907 SV%

Jimmy Howard returns from a broken finger which kept him out for 2 weeks. He hasn't been all that great all year on the road, and I feel like this is a horrible spot for him to return. Although the Hawks just dropped 9 straight, many people are quick to forget that only one of those loses came at home. They are red hot at home winning 8 of their last 9 scoring 3 or more goals in in 8 of those 9 games as well. I always like to fade team which have their starting goalie returning from an injury, especially on the road. This is an extremely tough position for Howard to return to and I assume the only reason he starts this game is to get a start under his belt before they travel back home to defend “the streak”.

Detroit hasn't been all that great on the road this year overall, and the same can be said lately. They have lost 4 of their last 9 road games, including 2 in a row coming into tonight. During this span, they have allowed opponents to score 3 or more goals in 7 of those 9 games. Detroit will be forced to play without their best player tonight, and as I stated before this seems like a huge look ahead spot.

Chicago

 Chicago was considered one of the more consistent teams around the league until about 3 weeks ago. It was then that they had decided to drop 9 straight games, causing people to question whether or not their defense and goal tending was good enough to take them for a run into the playoffs. Since then, they have won 3 straight and their defensive play/goal tending has done pretty well over that span. Hopefully this will carry over to tonight. Chicago has been great offensively all year where they currently rank #4 overall scoring an average of 3.08 goals per game. We see a significant improvement at home where they rank #3 scoring an average of 3.40  goals per game. Their Power Play has been productive (PPG) but not very efficient (PP%) where they currently sit #19 in PP% at 16.4% and #9 having scored 39 PP goals so far this season. At home, things remain consistent where they rank #18 in PP% at 16.5% and #5 having scored 20 PP goals this season. Their defensive play has been shaky where they currently sit #8 allowing opponents to score an average of 2.92 goals per game. At home we see another significant increase in defensive production where they currently rank #16 allowing opponents to score 2.53 goals against per game. Chicago's Penalty Kill this year is absolutely abysmal where they rank #26 in PK% at 78.9% and #9 allowing opponents to score 39 PP goals against them this season. At home things remain fairly consistent where they find themselves ranked #28 in PK% at 77.8% and #5 allowing opponents to score 20 PP goals against them.

Crawford

Overall: 21-14-5, 2.87 GAA, .902 SV%
Home: 12-6-3, 2.85 GAA, .902 SV%
February: 3-2, 2.97 GAA, .902 SV%

Although the goal tending has been rather shaky for a larger portion of the season, something has got to give, especially if the Hawks plan on making any sort of deep run on the playoffs. Personally, if I were Chicago, I would try riding Emery for a bit and see how that turns out. The bottom line is that both goalies are battling it out for the number 1 spot in the playoffs, so I expect both to up their game in the last stretch of the season. On top of that, Detroit's offense isn't exactly stellar on the road, and without their best players (Datsyuk) I expect even less production.

Chicago has been an excellent home team this year, and I don't expect the road struggling Wings to penetrate that tonight. Chicago loves playing consecutive home games, as their record in b2b home games is 8-1. During those 9 games, Chicago has scored 3 or more goals 8 of 9 attempts, and has allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of those 9 attempts. The only game they lost was to Detroit in a 3-2 SO loss. I expect Chicago to put the puck in the net often tonight as Jimmy Howard will see his first start back from an injury, and with this Chicago offense currently on fire, I don't see him fairing too well. Overall, Chicago has been a great home team, especially as of late. They have won 6 of their last 7 home games, scoring 3 or more goals in 6 of those 7 games, and holding opponents to 2 goals or less in 5 of those 7 games. This is a testament to how well Chicago's goal tending has been at home as of late, and I expect that to continue tonight against a Wings team that I think will be looking ahead to their home game against Vancouver where they will be defending “the streak”.

Overall, I really like the match up tonight given the situation we have (look ahead, Howards first start back, Datsyuk out). I understand that Toews is out for Chicago as well, I just don't see that stopping Chicago from winning this game. I guess you can say it cancels each other out, as Datsyuk and Toews are both teams best players. I also like the 1st Period over as I expect Chicago to take advantage of a cold goalie in Howard.

Will have a couple more later. As always, Good luck everyone.
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#33
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:24:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jeeves:

BOL Spart - pulling for the Leafs -  we need a win tonight as the road trip we just crashed back from almost killed my liver


Cheers


I really like our Leafs tonight, I just don't know if I can take the risk of backing them, losing, and feeling the double heart break. Good luck Jeeves.
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#34
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:42:38 PM
Updated Card:

Chicago (-106) 1u
Chicago TT o2.5 (-129) 1u
Anaheim (-122) 1u
LA/Phx u5.0 (-148) 1u

As always, Good luck everyone.
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#35
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:43:44 PM
GL Spartacus....i initially leaned Devils but the line seems a little strange to me
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#36
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:51:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vicb:

GL Spartacus....i initially leaned Devils but the line seems a little strange to me


I broke down and did it after the last line movement. I liked Toronto, and the way this line has moved, I love them now.

Updated Card:

Chicago (-106) 1u
Chicago TT o2.5 (-129) 1u
Anaheim (-122) 1u
LA/Phx u5.0 (-148) 1u
Toronto -1 (+177) 1u

This is my 2nd biggest card of the year.
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#37
Posted: 2/21/2012 10:33:08 PM
Updated Card:

Chicago (-106) 1u
Chicago TT o2.5 (-129) 1u
Anaheim (-122) 1u
LA/Phx u5.0 (-148) 1u
Toronto -1 (+177) 1u

Today: 1-4 -3.99u
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#38
Posted: 2/21/2012 10:55:06 PM
Looks like the books are taking most of us for a ride today. I remember seeing an over 6.5 line for LA/PHX online today around +500 and laughing my behind off. Unreal that the over hit after 2 periods!
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#39
Posted: 2/21/2012 10:56:37 PM
trust me my day blew up in my face as well.  best i can do is -600 for the day IF the yotes pull off a win. 
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