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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Thoughts on Ariz/Pitt?
Q_the_money	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2008 Posts: 4545 Location: Pennsylvania	#1 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:52:13 PM After the loss last night I like Arizona to bounce back... Opinions?
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Roonie	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Banned Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 1406 Location: Ontario	#2 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:53:41 PM no score first inning what are your thoughts on that?
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smac38	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Dec 2005 Posts: 21440 Location: Illinois	#3 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:55:49 PM i hit the over 8.5 so that means you should load up on the under
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#4 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:56:16 PM PIRATES +150 IS THE PLAY. NO CHRIS YOUNG FOR THE DBACKS...
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SLIMLIVIN	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 39 Location: Massachusetts	#5 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:57:26 PM I just looked yesterday 3 runs scored in the first and 2 on monday at even money i'll take NO runs in the 1st
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Johnny 5	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2006 Posts: 258 Location: Texas	#6 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:57:59 PM Upton is out as well from what I read
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#7 Posted: 4/18/2012 1:59:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Johnny 5: Upton is out as well from what I read lineups http://baseballpress.com/lineup.php
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Q_the_money	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2008 Posts: 4545 Location: Pennsylvania	#8 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:00:17 PM I don't really get into those bets much. So no idea. Bol
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utfootball4	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 16027 Location: North Carolina	#9 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:01:21 PM bet pitt.
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BET-MAN	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 5170 Location:	#10 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:06:52 PM I THINK ZONA BOUNCES BACK WITH HUDSON
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Q_the_money	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2008 Posts: 4545 Location: Pennsylvania	#11 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:07:02 PM Well I sure do like pitt line up more then zona
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dogunder	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Banned Joined: Apr 2011 Posts: 3494 Location: Heard and McDonald Islands	#12 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:08:16 PM Zona
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#13 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:09:51 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Q_the_money: Well I sure do like pitt line up more then zona AZ starting lineup looks soft to me.. Plus Pitt statting lineup has decent #'s vs Hudson. http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl
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pjo1370	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2006 Posts: 896 Location: Ontario	#14 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:21:46 PM Alot of people have been chasing dogs to begin the season and getting mauled (Faves 96-66, Home Faves 65-42). The average payout fro Home winners is ML-166, current line is ARI ML -161. Now I don't like the juice so I played ARI -1 for -123 and i'm okay with that. Ultimately favorites are priced for a reason and the line didn't move much even with the lineup changes. Anyway I like the home team here.
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tinfoils	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 34915 Location:	#15 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:24:00 PM Considered Pitt-might still take the dog. Arizona 0-3 vs Pitt with Hudson starting last two years.
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slokmart1	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2011 Posts: 213 Location:	#16 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:32:20 PM The line opened -185 and is now -165, definition of reverse line movement. D-backs getting over 70% of action on the ML but line is dropping because smart money likes the buccs in this spot. Shmevin has covered this, no Upton and no Young for AZ and Hudson hasn't been all that sharp yet this year. I based my bet on Pitt due to Hudson not being in the same form as last season yet and him laying -185 even to the lowly pirates didn't make much sense to me. And I am in no way saying this is a safe bet because Mcdonald is not an elite pitcher but he has been throwing the ball better than Hudson IMO and given no Young and Upton for AZ I will take my chances at the value play.
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collegegambler	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 6082 Location: New Jersey	#17 Posted: 4/18/2012 3:05:59 PM QUOTE great points. i saw this same exact situation monday public pounding zona and line going down and took pitt and watched there shit lineup do nothing all night. with that being said i am taking them as dogs again today because i am sick and love + money lol lets get it son Originally Posted by slokmart1: The line opened -185 and is now -165, definition of reverse line movement. D-backs getting over 70% of action on the ML but line is dropping because smart money likes the buccs in this spot. Shmevin has covered this, no Upton and no Young for AZ and Hudson hasn't been all that sharp yet this year. I based my bet on Pitt due to Hudson not being in the same form as last season yet and him laying -185 even to the lowly pirates didn't make much sense to me. And I am in no way saying this is a safe bet because Mcdonald is not an elite pitcher but he has been throwing the ball better than Hudson IMO and given no Young and Upton for AZ I will take my chances at the value play.
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Q_the_money	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2008 Posts: 4545 Location: Pennsylvania	#18 Posted: 4/18/2012 3:09:13 PM Might have to pass on this one...
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mainmanmainman2	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 4309 Location: Antarctica	#19 Posted: 4/18/2012 3:17:02 PM upton and c young... out so i dig pitts... d hudson is sporting a 1.71 WHIP... and its a day game... day games can be confusing. the right play is PITTS but who knows what can happen w. overbay in the lineup
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#20 Posted: 4/18/2012 4:21:12 PM Pirate robbed in the 1st
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R-U-N-V-S	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 116 Location: Alberta	#21 Posted: 4/18/2012 4:24:50 PM i got a parlay with ATL and ARI....... lets take it home.....
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#22 Posted: 4/18/2012 5:56:03 PM PIRATES
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dallasvike	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 5008 Location: United States	#23 Posted: 4/18/2012 5:57:59 PM Finish this pirates
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Shmevin	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 1762 Location: French Polynesia	#24 Posted: 4/18/2012 6:03:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by dallasvike: Finish this pirates
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