Top Dog - NHL System

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 10 of 14 «  8 9 10 11 12   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Top Dog - NHL System
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#226
Posted: 12/5/2011 11:58:11 PM
Mr_Blonde PM Mr_Blonde
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quote#227
Posted: 12/6/2011 11:41:29 AM
I've been liking this system.... granted, I use small units, but it's pretty fun. I'll keep tracking this for the rest of the season 
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#228
Posted: 12/6/2011 2:53:47 PM
Thanks Mr_Blonde


TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#229
Posted: 12/6/2011 7:51:37 PM
I will continue to post the updated records and units after each series win..Not really necessary to post everyday since everyone knows the play...

I ended up taking PHO last night FYI..i try and wait as long as possible to account for line moves....since I can only back test using the closing lines..

Official Season Update - 23-37 +21.55 units

If you don't want to play everyday (its tough to trust it) I suggest playing after 4-5 losses in a row... good luck guys
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#230
Posted: 12/6/2011 8:35:20 PM
Also, another tidbit I would like to share is...so far the top dog using the Puck Line is 37-23 this season ironically enough...of course that has high juice with those wagers...
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#231
Posted: 12/7/2011 1:43:51 AM
How does it look if you were to just bet team totals (over) for the dogs?  Seems to be a safe angle...
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#232
Posted: 12/8/2011 2:08:56 AM
CAR +140 cashed tonight for +2.8 units as the 2nd chase play.  Tomorrow starts a new chase with either FLA or DAL.



I am also playing MCSI's NHL road chase system which had CAR as a "C" play tonight.  I love it when systems cross paths
bikemcr PM bikemcr
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quote#233
Posted: 12/8/2011 6:01:37 AM
 Glad you are staying with it Green .
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#234
Posted: 12/8/2011 6:45:27 PM
Thru 12/7
Season update - 24-38 +23.55 units
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#235
Posted: 12/12/2011 11:52:18 PM
After 12/12 win

SEASON UPDATE - 25-42 +19.05 units
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#236
Posted: 12/14/2011 6:13:37 PM
After CBJ win last night..

SEASON UPDATE - 26-42 +20.75 units
tidostyles PM tidostyles
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Ontario
 
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quote#237
Posted: 12/15/2011 2:53:49 AM

Stumbled upon your blog and I agree with your system and have been using a similar strategy.  The only way to make $ betting on the NHL is on the dogs.  Hit the big ones - especially home dogs!

 

BadAzSharpHuntr PM BadAzSharpHuntr
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quote#238
Posted: 12/15/2011 6:31:39 PM
anybody know the stats on  the biggest hm dogs vs biggest rd dogs? thx
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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quote#239
Posted: 12/15/2011 10:01:27 PM
carolina won tonight, was a huge ML home dog. but I think colorado was the largest dog overall tonight. I wonder how the system would do if you just bet the top 2 biggest dogs of the night?
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#240
Posted: 12/24/2011 8:22:09 AM
Biggest winner of the season cashed last night at +260 (CAL 3 unit wager) Nice hit before Christmas..

SEASON UPDATE - 28-50 +21.55 units

It has been a rough month at 6-17 but only down .25 of a unit..keep grinding

Everyone have a nice Christmas
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#241
Posted: 12/30/2011 11:09:41 AM
SEASON UPDATE

29-54 +20.95 UNITS
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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quote#242
Posted: 12/31/2011 5:39:09 PM
Etrain

I stopped playing this system but I noticed a lot of top dogs winning lately. what is the most profitable time in the past seasons usually? early or later?
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#243
Posted: 1/10/2012 10:06:23 PM
SEASON UPDATE THROUGH 1/9  (Columbus pending tonite 1 unit)

34-60 +29.35 UNITS

@riceboi..typically earlier in the season dogs are better in my opinion
sirwinalot PM sirwinalot
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quote#244
Posted: 1/10/2012 11:47:21 PM

This system requires a pretty hefty bank-roll, and timing is critical...

I'm not sure if the risk is worth it .

Air1 PM Air1
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quote#245
Posted: 2/16/2012 3:22:12 PM
today is day #9!!
anyone who was interested in the system, but 10 was tooo much - hop on now!!
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#246
Posted: 10/3/2013 2:52:21 PM
Gonna fire this one back up & start tracking since we're early in the season.  Might be a ton of value in the TOP DOG strategy.

Hope you don't mind Etrain.
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#247
Posted: 10/3/2013 3:24:09 PM
2013/2014 NHL TOP DOG system:

Record: 0-0

CAL +197 @ WASHINGTON

1 unit to win 1.97 units









For unit tracking purposes, I will use the same chase wagering structure that Etrain started with...

GAME 1 = WAGER 1 unit to win the plus money.
GAME 2 = WAGER 2 units @ + money
GAME 3 = WAGER 3 units @ + money
...and so on.

I have found that betting a variation of alternate lines (in some instances) will dramatically increase payouts in certain situations.  For example, when we're on a 8 game slide and I like the DOG we're getting that day, I will split my 8 unit wager into some or all of the following categories.  In my opinion, it helps to offset risk, increase potential payouts, and add to the overall entertainment factor when watching shitty teams slide around on the ice!

***The following example based on today's lines for CALGARY...if they were the GM8 (8 unit wager) of our chase, this might look like my strategy:

4 units...CAL +190  (4 units to win 7.6 units)
2 unit.....CAL -1/2 reg @ +291  (2 units to win 5.82 units)
1 unit.....CAL -1 full game @ +423  (1 unit to win 4.23 units)
1 units...CAL Team Total o/2.5 @ +105  (1 unit to win 1.05 units)

...a total of 8 units wagered...to win 18.7 units

I will try to post when I do...as for now - this is simply for tracking purposes.  Besides, I prefer to wait until at least until the 3rd chase game to start my series anyway.



Once again, tonight's wager (tracking only at this point) is 1 unit to win 1.9 units.






GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#248
Posted: 10/4/2013 11:41:24 AM
Day 2 TOP DOG CHASE:

Season Record: 0-1  (-1 unit)


GM2: CAL +163 (2units to win 3.26u's)


I am posting this early because I am leaving town (no internet service) for the weekend.  At the moment, CALGARY sits at +163 and NASHVILLE +142.  I don't really see the "top dog" changing between the two - but wanted to post because typically I would like to post closer to game time.
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#249
Posted: 10/4/2013 3:30:17 PM
Yep, Nashville at +120 now...only a couple hours later.  Calgary is the play.

I will update Saturday/Sunday dog plays Monday.
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#250
Posted: 10/6/2013 9:09:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

Day 2 TOP DOG CHASE:

Season Record: 0-1  (-1 unit)


GM2: CAL +163 (2units to win 3.26u's) 





CAL clears the series on GM2.

Covers has the closing line at +173 x 2units = 3.46 units
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