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[MLB Betting] Topic: 8:05 EST - St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros |
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tinfoils |
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#51 Posted: 6/5/2012 2:57:51 PM  |
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5t4r5align |
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#52 Posted: 6/5/2012 4:30:54 PM |
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SettleDownSpaz |
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#53 Posted: 6/5/2012 4:46:39 PM |
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si1ly |
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#54 Posted: 6/5/2012 4:51:17 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:
Good stuff buddy, like the Cards as well. Were your breakdowns moved out of the MLB forum?
Yes. Unfortunately the moderators feel that my personal documents cannot be shared in the gambling forums. They insist on moving any thread that links to the sheets into the website promotions forum. I've set up the google docs to always work using the same link. That link can be found in the website promotions forum. |
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si1ly |
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#55 Posted: 6/5/2012 4:54:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:
I'd like to hear your thoughts on the LAD/PHI game if you get time.
The Dodgers have line value. But Cliff Lee is a sick pitcher and the Dodgers have a depleted line-up. Both offenses are depleted for that matter. Hard to bet against Lee, but also hard to ignore the generous value you get fading him at this number. Pass for that reason. Game should be low scoring. |
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jsaptny |
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#56 Posted: 6/5/2012 5:20:09 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:
Still don't see enough reason to back either team. Love the under in that game though.
My model is really thick. I incorporate advanced stats in starting pitching, bullpen, hitting splits, ballpark factor, recent hitting, & home field advantage.
Thick models mean more cushion for the pushin 
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5t4r5align |
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#57 Posted: 6/5/2012 5:25:10 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:
The Dodgers have line value. But Cliff Lee is a sick pitcher and the Dodgers have a depleted line-up. Both offenses are depleted for that matter. Hard to bet against Lee, but also hard to ignore the generous value you get fading him at this number. Pass for that reason. Game should be low scoring. thanks silly |
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si1ly |
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#58 Posted: 6/5/2012 7:52:37 PM  |
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juveunits |
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#59 Posted: 6/5/2012 8:29:27 PM |
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Paddington |
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#60 Posted: 6/5/2012 8:38:18 PM
Under is toast as well.... |
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si1ly |
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#61 Posted: 6/5/2012 9:01:08 PM |
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tokingSTAR |
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#62 Posted: 6/5/2012 9:05:23 PM |
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juveunits |
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#63 Posted: 6/5/2012 9:06:43 PM |
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si1ly |
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#64 Posted: 6/5/2012 11:20:12 PM 8:05 EST - St. Louis Cardinals (-140) 
Got interesting there at the end but fell one run short. Too bad Garcia's shoulder soreness turned out to be worse than initially indicated. He pitched a horrible game and it was his bad start that set this bet off course.
'11-12 MLB: 18-8 (69.2%) +8.48u |
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cpsn |
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#65 Posted: 6/6/2012 7:53:21 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by tokingSTAR:
I guess I'm not stupid after all huh? I just love it when "good Cappers" post their picks the night before without seeing the juice movement. LOL!!!!
actually you still look pretty stupid
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#66 Posted: 6/6/2012 8:39:48 AM |
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