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Author: [Streak Survivor] Topic: Serious Streak Survivor Strategies
smoothd20
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#9651
Posted: 6/24/2012 4:38:23 AM
Oh and I don't know if you guys heard but the Warriors are moving back to SF as well. Oakland can't win for losing so it's going to be electric at the stadium tomorrow. 
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MRJLX
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#9652
Posted: 6/24/2012 1:32:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by smoothd20:

I love Matt Cain but this has all the hallmarks of a trap game. Believe me this is a huge rivalry in the Bay Area. Anytime Oakland and SF play it's huge. Oakland has more pennants than the Giants and they still have an inferiority complex. It's so bad that at Raiders game they announce and show every score except the Niners. At least when Davis was around. Now the Giants are trying to prevent the A's from moving to San Jose. You have no idea how intense this rivalry is unless you have lived there. Personally everything points to the Giants but it would be a sweep and they're playing in Oakland. I say don't touch this game because Oakland will be pumped. You see how they came back on the Giants Saturday. 

good luck to SkipspikS for number #20 
I do agree with SmoothD20 for the Giants / A's game.  
Giants are 9-12 on Games 3... while A's are 11-8 on Games 3.
A's are hitting .284 vs. Righties lately... while the Giants are just .240 in recently play.
The X-factor is pitcher.AJ Griffin.

I wouldn't put this game on my streak board. but...I'm going with SkipspikS b/c he has the hot streak going. 

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smoothd20
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#9653
Posted: 6/24/2012 2:20:49 PM
I looked at this game again and couldn't believe that the O/U was 6 with a Rookie pitching and the intensity of the rivalry. I took the Over because of those factors plus it's a day in Oakland. The ball carries much better during the day. Add in Josh Reddick who is hotter than July and think the Over is the way to go for this game. Good luck to Skipspiks in his quest! 
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smoothd20
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#9654
Posted: 6/24/2012 2:30:02 PM
I have never been in this position so this is just an observation on my part. Some of these guys wait a long time to make their picks and I get that, but if you're going to wait I would at least look at other possibilities along the way. Sometimes there are just overlays waiting to be picked and they get passed up for something that's more questionable. IDK maybe I'm just talking out of the side of my neck. I know that they feel pressure. I feel it every time I get to 8 and seem to have a horrible record at getting to 9. Only 1 time have I made it. So I can only imagine the pressure they feel and over analyzing the situation. I guess my point is when you do get to that point you have to be careful not to fall into the trap games. The mods on these sites are no joke and they will never make it easy for us.
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smoothd20
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#9655
Posted: 6/24/2012 2:38:43 PM
A lesson can be learned from the scene over at ESPN. If legit and it seems like he is despite all the haters on his profile claiming they're going to sue and that crap. What's that about? Some people really amaze me how they can be so hateful towards a person they don't even know. At any rate he seems legit to me. I like the fearlessness he showed in making his picks. Screw the safe crap I'm going for 27! That was the attitude. I like that. So let's see what happens with it. They got a guy with 21 in a row and 0 losses climbing as well. It's going to be an interesting week. 
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Godsplay
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#9656
Posted: 6/24/2012 3:17:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by smoothd20:

I looked at this game again and couldn't believe that the O/U was 6 with a Rookie pitching and the intensity of the rivalry. I took the Over because of those factors plus it's a day in Oakland. The ball carries much better during the day. Add in Josh Reddick who is hotter than July and think the Over is the way to go for this game. Good luck to Skipspiks in his quest! 
Great input buddy!  I went with SF, but now u got me thinking i should have gone with over 6.  GL!
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smoothd20
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#9657
Posted: 6/24/2012 5:57:11 PM
Bad call by the Umps cost Oakland 2 runs. That ball was fair it hit the chalk.
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smoothd20
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#9658
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:04:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Godsplay:

Great input buddy!  I went with SF, but now u got me thinking i should have gone with over 6.  GL!

I lived in the Bay Area for 13 years. Most passionate fans on the West Coast are in the Bay Oakland/SF overall. If you're talking Football you have to throw Seattle in there. If you're talking basketball then it's Portland by a long shot. The hottest regional rivalry that I have personally seen is Oakland-SF with the San Diego-LA rivalry a close 2nd. 
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smoothd20
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#9659
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:08:14 PM
If Portland can hold on in Soccer I will have my longest streak ever on SFTC at W12! The atmosphere at Jeld-Wen field is out of control. The fans are chanting though the whole game. Good day for Soccer with Italy-England going to a Shootout and Portland and Seattle battling in a rivalry game.
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#9660
Posted: 6/24/2012 7:03:15 PM
Wow! What a heart breaker. 3 run bomb to end it. I knew this guy was doomed when I saw he had SF because I have them on my streak and I can't win. Sorry bro.
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#9661
Posted: 6/24/2012 7:03:31 PM
Wow! What a heart breaker. 3 run bomb to end it. I knew this guy was doomed when I saw he had SF because I have them on my streak and I can't win. Sorry bro.
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smoothd20
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#9662
Posted: 6/24/2012 7:15:11 PM
I feel sorry for Skipspiks but i had that feeling as I said this was not a good pick from the beginning for the reasons i described. It's a rivalry game and the Giants have never swept Oakland in Oakland. Great game and I live for another day with the Over/Under.
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#9663
Posted: 6/24/2012 7:48:59 PM
Giants were the logical pick but the logical pick NEVER wins, but losing with 1 strike to go hurts no matter what team or prop the pick is for but the longer the streak the worse it is, what a terrible way for it to end if I was going to lose I'd rahter be trailing for most or all of the game.... anything but blowing it at the very end.
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#9664
Posted: 6/24/2012 7:53:38 PM
I picked the Giants on SFTC not on covers as for covers survivor I'm done. I haven't gotten past 2 in so long you can't even see it on the 1st page(most recent picks) of my picks history. Today I took the Mariners and padres to go Over 7.5 because both pitchers have been awful. What happens today? They don't get anywhere near 8 runs with a 2-0 score. I'm out of here this is embarrassing.Here's my history of disgusting picks. http://contests.covers.com/SportsContests/Survivor/profile.aspx?userID=363458
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getrdonrite7
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#9665
Posted: 6/24/2012 9:20:39 PM
i feel ya Quad same here in a way  Started the month 5-0 and every since that brutal loss from the old fart Spurs in that elimination game. Im 5-11 since.   Took the punchless Mariners today FML. Gonna continue playing because its FREE game. BOL Quad 
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booyahz123
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#9666
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:59:16 AM
Tampa Rays over KC



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#9667
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:03:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Quad_17:

I picked the Giants on SFTC not on covers as for covers survivor I'm done. I haven't gotten past 2 in so long you can't even see it on the 1st page(most recent picks) of my picks history. Today I took the Mariners and padres to go Over 7.5 because both pitchers have been awful. What happens today? They don't get anywhere near 8 runs with a 2-0 score. I'm out of here this is embarrassing.Here's my history of disgusting picks.
http://contests.covers.com/SportsContests/Survivor/profile.aspx?userID=363458

when picking Padre games the afternoon ones tend to go under because of the sun and the way it hits the field.  learn from your losses. GL Quad


tonight I would take the under 7.5 in the SF/LA game
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MRJLX
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#9668
Posted: 6/25/2012 5:56:46 PM
How much time do Streak Survivors spend on doing their picks?

The 1st 5-7 picks usually about 5 minutes. 8 or higher.. maybe 30-45mins. 
Since my May... I still take 30-45mins regardless where the streak stands.  Doing fine since then... maybe I could win another 17+ in a row. 

@SmoothD20... I guess we both made the right call on the Giants/ A's game.  But wanted SkipspikS for the 20th win.  Hate the A's anyway.  
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smoothd20
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#9669
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:02:39 PM
@MRJLX I think on some other threads a couple of people have misconstrued my comments. I was rooting for Skipspiks. I root for everybody with high streaks. Hell I want to see these guys fork out the big bucks. But like we have discussed on this thread before. I understand being patient. But when you let solid games go by all week only to end up picking a game that is cloudy at best. I think you're better served going with a high percentage pick. I'm sure at the time these picks look good but I would step back and something different.  
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#9670
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:04:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by booyahz123:

Tampa Rays over KC







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#9671
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:05:11 PM
I'm rolling with Seattle Tonite!
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#9672
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:08:51 PM

What's happening on that fantasy baseball league?  Any news?

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smoothd20
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#9673
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:18:20 PM
The advantage of this game as opposed to SFTC is that you have all the time to make your pick and you're not competing against anybody. Where with SFTC you're competing against other players and the clock. I have had 2 decent streaks on SFTC late in the month, just like the one that ended for me yesterday. The problem is when you late streaks you're forced into picking games that are high risk that you may not normally pick but because of the time factor you have no choice.
With Survivor here on Covers. The only clock we have is the 1 week clock. That's an eternity. So why make it work against you by waiting until the last day or day before last to be at the whim of what games the mods put up. Now you have the pressure of making a decision that you may not want to make but have to because of the time factor. I think you're better served making a decision within the first few days and keeping the momentum going. That's my 2 cents worth. I haven't gotten that far but when I look at the longest streaks. Most of those guys didn't wait a week to pick. They kept going or waited 3 days at the most. I think that's the way to go myself.
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smoothd20
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#9674
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:52:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crushalot22:

What's happening on that fantasy baseball league?  Any news?

Yes big news in Fantasy Baseball this week. We will have a full report later tonight. 
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smoothd20
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#9675
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:57:31 PM
As we all no there is no fool proof system so tonight my new system is taking a beating. 0-2 as Tampa and Pittsburgh are going down big tonight. After going 3-0 Fri, 6-1 Sat, and 2-0 yesterday the numbers have turned today. But it's still a solid system I feel.  I don't calculate every game just a few and take the best to play. Also with this system it seems to work better on 1st and 3rd games of series. 2nd games can be hard but MRJX has great 2nd game stats so maybe that can help.
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