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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Men's Olympic Basketball Day 3
4headies send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/2/2012 1:53:02 AM
China vs. Australia OVER 146.5

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#2
Posted: 8/2/2012 2:13:04 AM
Cheers 

I've been looking at this match up...curious as to your reasoning for the over?

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#3
Posted: 8/2/2012 2:19:22 AM
Not sure what you make of line movement in these Olympic basketball match ups but this total has been flip flopping 147 and 147.5 all day and I just saw it jump to 149 on my book [pinnacle]....
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#4
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:22:11 AM
This are my random thoughts:
Australia has reached 70 points in both games, yet they have been absolutely wretched from beyond the arc (8-46 17.4%). Poor shooting teams don't continue to jack it up if they don't feel they will eventually fall.  

Australia has 23 offensive and 49 defensive rebounds to 
China's 8 and 39. 

I am betting that Australia scores more than 80+. China is not very good defensively and offensively has an A/T ratio of 22/24 so far.
I am not sleeping on China's offense though because they know they will have to out score Australia to have a chance for victory, however unlikely that may be. 

I believe the game should go over because the tempo of the game will be pushed by both teams in transition because China's offense can be stymied by Australia's point guards.

Australia has no fear of missing 3's because they believe they can get the offensive rebound. The combination of made 3's and missed 3's put backs will be too much for China.  
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#5
Posted: 8/2/2012 2:26:21 PM
How did Australia China go UNDER?
Australia grabs grabs 19 offensive and 30 defensive boards and matched their tourney 3 point total with 8 against China. 
Then China scores only 8 points in the 4th and the games goes under. 
I digress...

Spain -17 seems like it would be a huge public play, and it probably is. Remember the games are in London and GB has been playing in Primetime at home, so money is coming in on both sides which leads to little or no line movement. 
Spain has yet to cover a spread (-19, -12.5) in London, and this appears to be the best opportunity for Spain to cover because they will be significant faves over Brazil and Russia in the final 2 games, especially if this is a blowout.

Spain's offense is very fluid and scores 80 at will. The total has dropped from 157 to 155. GB is a horrible shooting team (32% on all shots), so don't look for GB to carry this over. 

Final Spain 86-66

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#6
Posted: 8/2/2012 2:31:41 PM
whats ur take on USA vs Nigeria?
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#7
Posted: 8/2/2012 2:52:54 PM
Just a thought:
TUSA stuggles against the 2-3 zone, give up 10 o rebs per game, and tend to foul a lot. 
Nigeria has an 8 man rotation that will be able to run with TUSA. 
- Very active on the boards (36 O Rebs in 2 games).

I don't have a problem laying 50+ with TUSA against teams with little or no NBA experience, but TUSA seems to be resting Kobe (20 total minutes played in 2 games), Chandler, and LBJ. And the back ups aren't slacking by any means, but not having the two best players in the world and you're only big man on the court is the difference between 40 and 60 point wins. 

TUSA 101 - 63
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#8
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:51:01 PM
Spain -9.5 second half
This game will get uglier, for GB just can't score.
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#9
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:53:17 PM
Spain is throwing this game they win but only by 10 ish buy out of your bet!!!!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#10
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:56:31 PM
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#11
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:59:23 PM
Spain 44- 31 second half.
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