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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS OF MAY
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#1026
Posted: 5/28/2012 4:01:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

As most of you know I build my own trends that I use to wager and looking at the past series and moving forward...

In a 4 game series, 26 have been played so far...when a team has won G1, that team has won at least one more game 25 times. 
                      The above trend is  28-2 now  This is the ONLY thing i am betting right now.It went 3-1 since thurs,so thanks to mcshady,i picked up 2 more units.There will be 2   in play for this through thurs(milw-doyers and det-rsox).I am not counting houston-colo because of the double header and the fact  it is a 5 game series.
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#1027
Posted: 5/28/2012 4:13:20 PM
Bos will be a play if they hang on.
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#1028
Posted: 5/28/2012 5:52:56 PM
People need to stop dirtying up this thread with plays.  Seriously guys, go start your own thread if you re going to post your OWN plays.  Leave this thread to the pair who started it.
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#1029
Posted: 5/28/2012 7:34:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jacksup44:

People need to stop dirtying up this thread with plays.  Seriously guys, go start your own thread if you re going to post your OWN plays.  Leave this thread to the pair who started it.


Agreed. On a side note. Do you guys know of any online sites that will accept money from the U.S.? I've been playing free sites (FSB, SBRForum) but want to get real action.

Thanks, PM me to avoid adding to the thread.
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#1030
Posted: 5/29/2012 6:30:32 AM

Semperfi apparently is too busy to post and McShady said it is too time consuming other than listing his plays on his spreadsheet so I guess this thread over if nobody posts their plays or trades/volunteers information .

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#1031
Posted: 5/29/2012 6:37:50 AM
Hey bike...I enjoy chatting ball with you and the crew. I just got a lil tired of all the new guys asking the same questions over and over. And thought taking Memorial wkd with family and not worry about the thread was good. 90% are during work hours cause I don't enjoy my job. Back to work...Back to posting. Bear with me buddy 
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#1032
Posted: 5/29/2012 7:19:54 AM
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#1033
Posted: 5/29/2012 7:20:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

Hey bike...I enjoy chatting ball with you and the crew. I just got a lil tired of all the new guys asking the same questions over and over. And thought taking Memorial wkd with family and not worry about the thread was good. 90% are during work hours cause I don't enjoy my job. Back to work...Back to posting. Bear with me buddy 
McShady : That is great to hear ... Bad beat with the Yanks yesterday . We both went 0-3 in game 1 but it is going to turn around and I still have confidence in the system . Baseball stats for favs/dogs have been consistent for years and unless that changes this system with smart betters like you picking the teams to chase will be winners ... I think I am going to pick up the Yanks on game 2 .
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#1034
Posted: 5/29/2012 1:12:06 PM
After last weeks bullpen breakdowns and after I went back to my previous Series. The F5 ML/RL looks to be a good play moving forward for me....

I think a good way to play it is When the F5 ML is...
+100 to +125 play ML
+130 and above play the RL


Sorry if you don't have these options but I got lucky with the Mariners and it was with looking into. Yankees is still full game cause it falls under a different trend. GL Fellas
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#1035
Posted: 5/29/2012 1:21:40 PM
Padres F5 RL looks tempting today
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#1036
Posted: 5/29/2012 1:46:26 PM
Are you playing RL +1.5 runs or  +half a run?
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#1037
Posted: 5/29/2012 1:55:34 PM
The only F5 or 1st Half RL's I get are +.5, which is 30cents more than the ML from local. I think online books might be better value on some. 
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#1038
Posted: 5/29/2012 1:58:20 PM
I'm gonna play the Padres F5 +RL
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#1039
Posted: 5/29/2012 2:11:42 PM
The Cubs and Padres have the same F5 run differential. But I just noticed they were tie after 5 yesterday....Hopefully I'm not a day late. 
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#1040
Posted: 5/29/2012 2:28:41 PM
McShady : just saw your post in time to bet it @ -120 . Also bet on Yanks full game as well as yesterdays plays . Let`s get back some money this week .
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#1041
Posted: 5/29/2012 2:36:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bikemcr:

McShady : just saw your post in time to bet it @ -120 . Also bet on Yanks full game as well as yesterdays plays . Let`s get back some money this week .

Do you use a local? That RL line is juicy for a +135 ML
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#1042
Posted: 5/29/2012 2:54:53 PM
Nothing more with the Mets then McShady??
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#1043
Posted: 5/29/2012 3:00:33 PM
McShady, is there a play on the Mets and is it a F5 play? I assume you are still on the Yankees ML (full game)? My total won yesterday with Texas under but my source has no play for today. I'm still chasing the Yankees, really like that play and I'm jumping in and chasing Atlanta. The Atlanta fave ML is moving up, I am betting now and the Yankees + ML is getting better for us as the public is on the Angels right now. Don't understand that, Haren is getting no run support. I'm waiting to see where the line on the peaks before getting on it. There's got to be Yankee backers waiting to strike.
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#1044
Posted: 5/29/2012 3:02:13 PM
Not sure what to do about the Mets. I messed up not taking the F5 RL yesterday and today it's juicy. 
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#1045
Posted: 5/29/2012 3:12:18 PM
thanks for the picks and good luck mcshady 

question tho. i didn't pay close enough attention to ur sheet and didn't realize u were on the 1st 5 ml for the nats yesterday. do u recommend chasing them for the rest of the series? and if u do, would u recommend full game or jst 1st 5? thanks again!
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#1046
Posted: 5/29/2012 3:44:20 PM
RBI by the pitcher...cmon now
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#1047
Posted: 5/29/2012 4:13:28 PM
Teddy... I like the Nats F5 +RL. The marlins seem to be blowing up the 2H of games
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#1048
Posted: 5/29/2012 4:44:17 PM
Just so you guys know, I'm still picking my dogs the same way and still expect them to win the game. I'm just trying something different cause like everyone, the 2H of games have killed my bankroll. So if your more comfortable taking the full games I support it! Like all good formulas you need to adjust to variances...let's get $ome!
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#1049
Posted: 5/29/2012 5:36:41 PM
Has Semper made any picks?
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#1050
Posted: 5/29/2012 6:16:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:


Do you use a local? That RL line is juicy for a +135 ML

No I bet online . SBG Global usually . They have dime lines .

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