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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: PHO / CHI with writeup (Posted 4-0 this week 9-1 NBA overall)
jesse07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jesse07
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#1
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:31:33 PM

The Chicago Bulls are 4.5 point home dogs, and it appears that the Public are leaning heavy on the road team by the concensus.  They play a Phoenix Suns team that is on the 3rd game of a B2B/ dayoff/ B2B with all the games on the road.  My intial thought is that I might be able to bet the Bulls when I watch the game tonight by playing against the public. 

4 games in 5 days with 2 sets of back to backs happened 18 times last year in the NBA. In 07, the Road Team's record was 13-5 SU and 11-6-1.  Also, the over was 12-6.  Okay this favors Phoenix, but what if I look at the Road teams as favorites with the same criteria in these games.  It happened 9 times.  The Vistors went 9-0 SU and 6-2-1 ATS.  Wins ATS (-6.5, -6.5, -2, -2.5, -7, -5.5)  Loss ATS (-10,-8) Push (-3)  Finally, the over in these games were 8-1.  More Phoenix.  What if the East is hoasting a Western Conference team?  5-2 SU / 5-2 ATS / 5-2 Over.  Deng, more signs pointing to Phoenix.  FYI this has happened once this year and SAC lost SU & ATS as road dogs, but the over hit.

This year the Bulls have won and covered at home both times this year against MEM & MIL.  They have lost against CLE, BOS, & ORL.  They covered in the Magic game, but that is not a suprise as the Magic showed again last night that they might have a problem closing teams out.  Against Elite teams CLE & BOS the Bulls have looked very pedestrian. 

Okay thesis statement, body paragraph,  What else?  Oh yeah.  My pick  I will play the Suns -4.5   2 units.   Could play the over too but I will probably just be happy with the pick because when I limit my plays I usually make $.   This week up 7 units 4-0 with a posted record (9-1 overall NBA).  GLA

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#2
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:33:00 PM
gl
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#3
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:37:06 PM
great write up
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#4
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:40:08 PM
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SweetPapi2
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#5
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:48:09 PM
Suns to the bank. GL
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LetsEat send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:51:30 PM
Plus Matt Barnes didnt play and Shaq only played 11mins.....
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phat03
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#7
Posted: 11/7/2008 3:58:41 PM
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ValueforRent send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#8
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:03:02 PM
No love for the Bulls, but I see a very live home dog that got slaughtered on the road and is ready to atone for that debacle tonight.
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#9
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:14:54 PM
hey jesse nice record im 8-2 so far .Where at in Illini u from
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jesse07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:17:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Iw1nBets:

hey jesse nice record im 8-2 so far .Where at in Illini u from

southwest suburbs of chicago

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#11
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:21:31 PM
No Barnes (new twin boys) No Shaq tonight.
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jesse07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#12
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:24:20 PM

pama

thanks for heads up

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#13
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:28:26 PM
I hate the bulls more than anything. But I think this is a good spot for them.
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#14
Posted: 11/7/2008 4:56:16 PM
Fantastic write up. Best of luck tonight. 
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ValueforRent send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#15
Posted: 11/7/2008 5:03:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NickyShavers:

I hate the bulls more than anything. But I think this is a good spot for them.

I can buy into that.  Also, Derrick Rose could seriously break Steve Nash's ankles tonight.  I cannot over-emphasize how bad of a matchup this is on the defensive side of the ball for Phoenix.  Steve Nash gets torched every time by quicker guards (see Paul, Chris and Parker, Tony).  Tonight will be no different.  I see DRose having a big game tonight.

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jenjay23
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#16
Posted: 11/7/2008 5:15:54 PM

very nice write up and in depth look at this match up....like watch you got to say....I'll be on the over more than the spread tonight.

GL with yours

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