Messages

Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: mTbaKer's NBA Playoff Picks- Round 1- Apr. 29/12
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#1
Posted: 4/29/2012 2:59:15 AM

3 plays for tomorrow.

Jazz +11 (-110) to win 30 units

I know the Spurs are pissed off about blowing their 1st seed last season after losing to Grizz in Round 1.  The Spurs are a great team on a mission, but they are playing a Jazz team that won't be intimidated and are ready to take the Spurs best punch.

The Jazz beat the Spurs at home, lost a close game by 4 to the Spurs at home, and also battled the Spurs tough in SA after a first half where San Antonio shot a ridiculous 60% or so.  Ignore the first meeting as the Jazz were a joke in the first 2 weeks of the year.  Utah is gutsy and with big overtime wins over the Mavs and Magic and must-win clinchers on the road in Portland, and at home to the Spurs and Suns they proved they were ready for the playoffs. 

The Jazz have the size in Al and Millsap to dominate the paint down low, have PG Harris playing great of late, and have tremendous depth with key veterans like Howard and Bell coming back.  The Spurs have all the presure to easily blow out this 8th seed, but I don't think it's gonna be straightforward tomorrow.

Celtics ML (+105) to win 30 units

''There was so much excitement here in Atlanta,'' Johnson remembered. ''Just the way the crowd was into it and made this a very hostile environment. Man, it was pleasing to play in this building. It was a lot of fun.'' What does he expect this time? ''I know it's going to be loud,'' Johnson said, breaking into a sly grin. ''I just hope it's going to be in our favor.''

I love the Hawks and I think they can win this series but I don't like their chances tomorrow.  The fans in ATL are not high on this team cause they blow out in tough sitautions in previous years.  Tomorrow there's a ton of pressure to show they are a new team.  The Celts have no pressure here and their bench will feel good about the way they have been playing.  I think the Hawks need a game to get going and may get down on themselves if they fall behind early.

Grizzlies -5.5 (-105) to win 30 units

The Grizzlies have been playing well the past month and winning.  The last week they have had big leads but have been in cruise control against shitty teams.  This team is ready for the playoffs and they are amped up.  With last year's experience and success they will be under control at home and know how to handle the pressure.

Paul is back from injury but may be rusty. Griffin and Jordan in their first big playoff games will be jittery.  I think the Clips and their core won't be ready for this crazy sold out Memphis crowd in Game 1 and will have a tough time with the ballhawking defensive pressure brought by Allen and Conley.  Grizz by double digits.

GL

quote
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#2
Posted: 4/29/2012 3:02:48 AM

NBA Regular Season-to-date: 68-59-1 (+84.70 units)

NBA Playoffs-to-date: 1-1-0 (+20.80 units)

Mavericks to Win 1st Round Series (+416) to win 100 units

Hawks to Win Eastern Conference (+2200) to win 350 units

quote
Pouria12 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Pouria12
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 40
Location:
#3
Posted: 4/29/2012 3:23:32 AM
I like the jazz with the points ... I think the spurs downfall is lack of a big man ... They have a great bench but a lacking big man will play a huge factor in the playoffs ... I have still yet pulled the trigger on this bet ... I just hate te fact the jazz are on the road ... The over in celtics / hawks sticks out a lot to me ... I just think the points are too low ... It all depends on the tempo of the game ...

P
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
stevenp
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetUS.com |
stevenp
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 2725
Location: California
#4
Posted: 4/29/2012 3:47:13 AM
excellent grizzly analysis.  won their last six, i believe.  gelling at the right time.  i love tony allen, the mistake that danny ainge let get away.  wouldn't've cost that much.  imagine the c's with tony allen!  he's the memphis sefolosha.  i hope griz set the tone with a 9 point win like they had at home versus clips in their regular season rendezvous at memphis.  
quote
matangster send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
matangster
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 1188
Location: California
#5
Posted: 4/29/2012 5:15:59 AM
Like it MT. 
quote
joshfactor send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
joshfactor
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 2390
Location: New Jersey
#6
Posted: 4/29/2012 8:57:12 AM
good luck. i will be on the spurs today. you are right about the jazz higher level of play coming into the playoffs. problem is that harris & heyward are inconsistent, & the bench is pretty bad. They have very ugly scoring droughts. This will be death in san antonio, where the spurs been playing a level of basketball comparable to the all-time greats. jeez even their bench went 2-0 in the last 2 games, ending the season on a 10 game streak. They are ridiculously hot right now. GL.
quote
No_Contest
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
No_Contest
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 1205
Location: Mississippi
#7
Posted: 4/29/2012 11:25:39 AM
GL MT
quote
thatsagoodone send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thatsagoodone
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 20290
Location: Guam
#8
Posted: 4/29/2012 11:38:33 AM

gl mt

quote
ET4AUBURN1982 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
ET4AUBURN1982
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 984
Location:
#9
Posted: 4/29/2012 2:52:51 PM
so the hawks win the Eastern Conference finals but lose today? interesting 
quote
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#10
Posted: 4/30/2012 1:43:16 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ET4AUBURN1982:

so the hawks win the Eastern Conference finals but lose today? interesting 

yup

quote
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#11
Posted: 4/30/2012 1:45:51 AM

Don't even know why I try sometimes.

Jazz +11 (-110) to win 30 units 

Celtics ML (+105) to win 30 units 

Grizzlies -5.5 (-105) to win 30 units 

 

NBA Regular Season-to-date: 68-59-1 (+84.70 units)

NBA Playoffs-to-date: 1-4-0 (-72.27 units)

Mavericks to Win 1st Round Series (+416) to win 100 units

Hawks to Win Eastern Conference (+2200) to win 350 units

quote
CoverLane send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
CoverLane
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 6903
Location:
#12
Posted: 4/30/2012 2:35:30 AM
Tough go baker..I took a few bad hits this weekend too mate.

It's a new week, we will get it back, one game at a time.

Lakers -4.5 has got to move up so maybe scoop it early. Theres no reason why Lakers are -4.5 to Denver and OKC is -6.5 to Dallas...

Lakers with way more of an advantage in this series than OKC has in theirs.

Food for thought..

GL this week
quote
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#13
Posted: 4/30/2012 9:39:20 PM

Mavericks +6.5 (-106) to win 30 units

Mavericks ML (+244) to win 25 units

GL

quote
mtbaker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mtbaker
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9999
Location: British
              Columbia
#14
Posted: 5/1/2012 12:38:40 AM

Clone of game 1 cashing on the spread losing on the ML by a pinch.  That series is far from over I think the Mavs still have a great shot at it.

Mavericks +6.5 (-106) to win 30 units 

Mavericks ML (+244) to win 25 units 

 

NBA Regular Season-to-date: 68-59-1 (+84.70 units)

NBA Playoffs-to-date: 2-5-0 (-52.52 units)

Mavericks to Win 1st Round Series (+416) to win 100 units

Hawks to Win Eastern Conference (+2200) to win 350 units

quote
Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.