Posted: 5/3/2012 6:47:33 PM
Flyers v Devils over 1.5 +123 1st period
Flyers v Devils over 5.5 +146
I’m making two plays on this game. I see a strong resemblance to game 1 here and believe me, the over 5.5 would have cashed in game 2 as well (they managed to almost score 5 in the 3rd period of the last game.
Pretty much the same statistical information from game 1 and 2 applies.
The Flyers had the league's most prolific offense this year as we saw in their first round series. I don’t expect them to be held at may as they were in periods 1 and 2 of game 2.
As I said in game 1, Brodeur is older and while he may be able to stop the permiter shots his ability to move around is dramatically less than it used to be. This is how the Flyers like to score. Many passes, get the goalie moving and nail it. They should be able to do this tonight.
The Devils put up 30 or more shots on Flordia in the last 3 games and have scored at least 3 goals in 8 of their past 10 games. They are also getting plenty of chances in these first two games.
They are not as defensive minded as the Devils teams of old, willing to throw that extra forechecker into the play. We even saw them aggressively forececk with the lead the other night, something we normally didn’t see them do in the past. They should be able to throw a lot of pucks on Bryzgalov and they should be able to net a few. The Flyers had the best offence during the regular season and we should not expect them to be held at bay 2 games in a row.
Bryzgalov is not great. He’s good but not the game beater for the Flyers. His road GAA is worse than his home GAA. Get couple on hm and his confidence appears to get rattled.
We know the Flyers can score, and we've seen the Devils ability to play offense against the Predators. We know that both goalies have the ability to shut the door BUT we know that they also have the ability to fall asleep at the wheel.
As I noted in my game 1 analysis, in the last 6 head to head meetings before the playoffs started, these teams have averaged a combined 10.56 power plays a game. So far this round they are averaging the same number of odd man play with both games seeing 9 power play chances in total. Odd man situations lead rise (theoretically) to more scoring opportunities.
Good luck everyone. My money is on the first game of this series to go over 5.5 +146 and the first period over getting +123.