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Author:	[NFL Betting] Topic: Is there any value in Fading Colin Cowherd?
Peewee2820	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: The Quad \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 599 Location: Texas	#1 Posted: 11/16/2012 6:01:54 PM The guy is 70% this year with NFL picks. You would think he would have to come back down to earth? Just a thought. It's not personal it's just law of averages.
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ILPRATO	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2002 Posts: 4126 Location: New York	#2 Posted: 11/16/2012 6:15:20 PM so fade him good luck. He is a good capper bottom line.If you listen to his comments his reasoning is solid.
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Peewee2820	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: The Quad \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 599 Location: Texas	#3 Posted: 11/16/2012 6:26:28 PM Hey he may be the greatest capper ever but 70% is pretty damn good. Just looking for an edge.
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Spartacus10	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Captain Joined: May 2011 Posts: 5006 Location: Ontario	#4 Posted: 11/16/2012 6:49:43 PM Not smart. People hit 70% over 50 plays all the time. Now if you said he hit 70% over a much larger span, I'd say it's time to fade. But no averages tell you that someone hitting 70% over 50 plays must crash back down to earth anytime soon. I've hit 70% of my posted sides this year, but that doesn't mean start fading me. I know I won't hit it over say 5-10 seasons, but it can certainly be done in 1 season.
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Peewee2820	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: The Quad \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 599 Location: Texas	#5 Posted: 11/16/2012 6:56:05 PM Ya I guess that's what I figured. Oh well.
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metalbill	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2008 Posts: 3016 Location: Alberta	#6 Posted: 11/16/2012 7:00:46 PM so you figure fading a guy clippin at 70% or whatever, thinking he's 'do' to come back to earth? hmm i don't know about that theory man. i don't fade or follow, but i sure's the hell wouldn't fade someone who is firing at 70% even if the guy comes back to earth in the second half, and winds up say 60% you fade every pick, you still lose
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Peewee2820	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: The Quad \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 599 Location: Texas	#7 Posted: 11/16/2012 8:12:45 PM I was hoping he would return to 50. Therefore he would need to hit at a 30% clip when faded is good for the fader. Anyway doesn't matter just wanted to get some opinions. I'm sure I won't do it
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WilliamMunny	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2005 Posts: 1762 Location: Maryland	#8 Posted: 11/16/2012 9:38:43 PM he is a very good capper and has more info on the games then any of us..fade him is stupid..he was this good last yr
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NHLGOON	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay \|
Rookie Joined: Mar 2009 Posts: 618 Location: Minnesota	#9 Posted: 11/16/2012 9:56:42 PM I wouldn't fade for that reason either sounds crazy to me, sometimes your just dialed in on a season or what not & next season or sport ya come back down. Just my opinion.
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Peewee2820	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: The Quad \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 599 Location: Texas	#10 Posted: 11/16/2012 11:34:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by WilliamMunny: he is a very good capper and has more info on the games then any of us..fade him is stupid..he was this good last yr Um why are we here on covers then? If the guy is so superior shouldn't everyone on covers be telling us to follow him. Hmmm
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WilliamMunny	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2005 Posts: 1762 Location: Maryland	#11 Posted: 11/16/2012 11:38:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Peewee2820: Um why are we here on covers then? If the guy is so superior shouldn't everyone on covers be telling us to follow him. Hmmm covers is full of idiots ...you think this forum has anything to offer but a few good capers and a bunch of idiots? follow who you want to follow obiviously you need somebody telling you what to do.
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JohnnyLonghorn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sports Interaction \|
Rookie Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 997 Location: Ontario	#12 Posted: 11/17/2012 6:13:47 AM Surely there must be a worse capper you can fade
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