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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Modified Morrison NHL System
bosschar send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
bosschar
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#851
Posted: 10/16/2011 1:12:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bosschar:

Update on this system (2011-2012 season, first two weeks) 

Following the money management system posted here,

All Game A's should rake in at least one unit. All Game B's should get half a unit and cover all the losses. 

+8 units from Game A's + (.5 x 4) units from Game B's - 1.2 units on the NYR loss = + 8.8 units during the first 2 weeks of the season. 

I was wrong!

+8 units from Game A's + (.5 x 3) units from Game B's - 1.2 units on the NYR loss = + 8.3 units during the first 2 weeks of the season. This is also assuming 1 unit = the "to win" amount as juice fluctuates heavily. If your one unit equals the "Stake amount" then the computation of winning units is much different.

Disclaimer: I've only started following this on Oct. 14. I traced the lines, the results, etc. to come up with this stat. :)
quote
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bosschar
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Posted: 10/23/2011 12:35:12 AM
It appears Yahoo! Sports sucks. The NY Rangers play on October 15 wasn't supposed to be a play at all; it was part of an ongoing road trip that started on October 6. Y! listed they had a home game before that but now they updated the sched. Here is the correct update on the system. The 3rd week is bad. Juice kills. 

Update on this system (2011-2012 season, first three weeks)

WIN = outright win ; Cover = covering the PL

Game A
Oct. 6 Pittsburgh @ Vancouver +1.5 -240 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 7 NY Rangers @ Los Angeles +1.5 -280 (COVER 2-3) 
Oct. 7 Nashville @ Columbus +1.5 -300 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 7 Tampa Bay @ Carolina +1.5 -305 (WIN 5-1) 
Oct. 10 Colorado @ Boston +1.5 -160 (WIN 1-0) 
Oct. 10 Vancouver @ Columbus ML -130 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 14 Carolina @ Buffalo +1.5 -200 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 15 Buffalo @ Pittsburgh +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 18 Dallas @ Columbus +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 21 San Jose @ New Jersey ML -120 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 22 St. Louis @ Philadelphia +1.5 -180 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 8 Phoenix @ San Jose + 1.5 -187 (LOSS 3-6) 
Oct. 10 Calgary @ St. Louis +1.5 -250 (LOSS 2-5) 
Oct. 13 St. Louis @ Dallas ML -120 (LOSS 2-3) 
Oct. 17 Nashville @ Edmonton ML -125 (LOSS 1-3) 
Oct. 20 Toronto @ Boston +1.5 -200 (LOSS 2-6) 
Oct. 22 October 22 New Jersey @ Pittsburgh -180 (LOSS 1-4) 



Game B
Oct. 10 Phoenix @ Dallas +1.5 -257 (COVER 1-2) 
Oct. 13 Calgary @ Montreal +1.5 -260 (WIN 4-1) 
Oct. 15 St. Louis @ San Jose +1.5 -210 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 22 Toronto @ Montreal +1.5 -290 (WIN 5-4) 
Oct. 20 Nashville @ Vancouver+1.5 -200 (LOSS 1-5) 

GAME C

Oct. 20 Nashville @ Calgary r+1.5 -250 (WIN 2-0) 


All Game A's should rake in at least one unit. All Game B's should get half a unit and cover all the losses. You lose money on Game C as you only bet to recover one unit. 

+11 units from Game A's + (.5 x 4) units from Game B's - 3.67 (net) units on the Nashville loss -1.8 units on New Jersey loss = 8.53 units 
quote
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bosschar
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#853
Posted: 10/23/2011 12:51:14 AM
Damned typographical errors. Edited post:

It appears Yahoo! Sports sucks. The NY Rangers play on October 15 wasn't supposed to be a play at all; it was part of an ongoing road trip that started on October 6. Y! listed they had a home game before that but now they updated the sched. Here is the correct update on the system. The 3rd week is bad. Juice kills. 

Update on this system (2011-2012 season, first three weeks)

WIN = outright win ; Cover = covering the PL

Game A
Oct. 6 Pittsburgh @ Vancouver +1.5 -240 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 7 NY Rangers @ Los Angeles +1.5 -280 (COVER 2-3) 
Oct. 7 Nashville @ Columbus +1.5 -300 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 7 Tampa Bay @ Carolina +1.5 -305 (WIN 5-1) 
Oct. 10 Colorado @ Boston +1.5 -160 (WIN 1-0) 
Oct. 10 Vancouver @ Columbus ML -130 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 14 Carolina @ Buffalo +1.5 -200 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 15 Buffalo @ Pittsburgh +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 18 Dallas @ Columbus +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 21 San Jose @ New Jersey ML -120 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 22 St. Louis @ Philadelphia +1.5 -180 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 8 Phoenix @ San Jose + 1.5 -187 (LOSS 3-6) 
Oct. 10 Calgary @ St. Louis +1.5 -250 (LOSS 2-5) 
Oct. 13 St. Louis @ Dallas ML -120 (LOSS 2-3) 
Oct. 17 Nashville @ Edmonton ML -125 (LOSS 1-3) 
Oct. 20 Toronto @ Boston +1.5 -200 (LOSS 2-6) 
Oct. 22 New Jersey @ Pittsburgh -180 (LOSS 1-4) 



Game B
Oct. 10 Phoenix @ Dallas +1.5 -257 (COVER 1-2) 
Oct. 13 Calgary @ Montreal +1.5 -260 (WIN 4-1) 
Oct. 15 St. Louis @ San Jose +1.5 -210 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 22 Toronto @ Montreal +1.5 -290 (WIN 5-4) 
Oct. 20 Nashville @ Vancouver+1.5 -200 (LOSS 1-5) 

GAME C

Oct. 22 Nashville @ Calgary +1.5 -250 (WIN 2-0) 


All Game A's should rake in at least one unit. All Game B's should get half a unit and cover all the losses. You lose money on Game C as you only bet to recover one unit. 

+11 units from Game A's + (.5 x 4) units from Game B's - 3.75 (net) units on the Nashville loss -1.8 units on New Jersey loss = 8.45 units 

Computation of 3.75 (net) unit loss:

If your 1 unit is to win $50 then:

GAME A you lost 62.5 (50 x 1.25 juice)
Game B lost 175 [(62.5 +25) x 2 juice]
Gace C you won 50
-62.50-175+50 = -237.5

-237.5/50 = 3.75 units 
quote
bosschar send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
bosschar
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Posted: 10/23/2011 12:58:53 AM
Covers should really put a friggin edit button. Damned typographical errors. Edited post:

It appears Yahoo! Sports sucks. The NY Rangers play on October 15 wasn't supposed to be a play at all; it was part of an ongoing road trip that started on October 6. Y! listed they had a home game before that but now they updated the sched. Here is the correct update on the system. The 3rd week is bad. Juice kills. 

Update on this system (2011-2012 season, first three weeks)

WIN = outright win ; Cover = covering the PL

Game A
Oct. 6 Pittsburgh @ Vancouver +1.5 -240 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 7 NY Rangers @ Los Angeles +1.5 -280 (COVER 2-3) 
Oct. 7 Nashville @ Columbus +1.5 -300 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 7 Tampa Bay @ Carolina +1.5 -305 (WIN 5-1) 
Oct. 10 Colorado @ Boston +1.5 -160 (WIN 1-0) 
Oct. 10 Vancouver @ Columbus ML -130 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 14 Carolina @ Buffalo +1.5 -200 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 15 Buffalo @ Pittsburgh +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 18 Dallas @ Columbus +1.5 -310 (WIN 3-2) 
Oct. 21 San Jose @ New Jersey ML -120 (WIN 4-3) 
Oct. 22 St. Louis @ Philadelphia +1.5 -180 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 8 Phoenix @ San Jose + 1.5 -187 (LOSS 3-6) 
Oct. 10 Calgary @ St. Louis +1.5 -250 (LOSS 2-5) 
Oct. 13 St. Louis @ Dallas ML -120 (LOSS 2-3) 
Oct. 17 Nashville @ Edmonton ML -125 (LOSS 1-3) 
Oct. 20 Toronto @ Boston +1.5 -200 (LOSS 2-6) 
Oct. 22 New Jersey @ Pittsburgh -180 (LOSS 1-4) 



Game B
Oct. 10 Phoenix @ Dallas +1.5 -257 (COVER 1-2) 
Oct. 13 Calgary @ Montreal +1.5 -260 (WIN 4-1) 
Oct. 15 St. Louis @ San Jose +1.5 -210 (WIN 4-2) 
Oct. 22 Toronto @ Montreal +1.5 -290 (WIN 5-4) 
Oct. 20 Nashville @ Vancouver+1.5 -200 (LOSS 1-5) 

GAME C

Oct. 22 Nashville @ Calgary +1.5 -250 (WIN 2-0) 


All Game A's should rake in at least one unit. All Game B's should get half a unit and cover all the losses. You lose money on Game C as you only bet to recover one unit. 

+11 units from Game A's + (.5 x 4) units from Game B's - 3.75 (net) units on the Nashville loss -1.8 units on New Jersey loss = 8.45 units 

Computation of 3.75 (net) unit loss:

If your 1 unit is to win $50 then:

GAME A you lost 62.5 (50 x 1.25 juice)
Game B lost 175 [(62.5 +25) x 2 juice]
Gace C you won 50
-62.50-175+50 = -187.5

-187.5/50 = 3.75 units 
quote
bosschar send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
bosschar
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Posted: 11/4/2011 1:47:12 AM
Okay, this is the end of the 5th week for 2011-2012 season for this system. I won't go into full accounting anymore but records are:

Game A: 19-7
Game B: 6-1
Game C: 1-0

Total unit winnings: 19.25 (1 unit = "to win" amount. Juice is normally -200 to -300.)
quote
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