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[College Basketball] Topic: 2/28/12 - Avoiding a 96% Trend |
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#26 Posted: 2/28/2012 8:10:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster:
I was cashing in very quietly recently on Tenn St 2h overs. Tenn St 2h half games have encountered like 14 of 15 of the last 15 games have had higher scoring 2h's which has led to many 2h over tickets cashing. Lot's of rock solid info out there to cash in on the past couple weeks.
Thanks for that tip, odds. And thanks for the 1H play, GH. Stuff like this is why I love covers. Any other 2H gems like this? |
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#27 Posted: 2/28/2012 8:18:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster: He's not shooting you. BeyontheBets is usually a solid read and good reference. Not exactly sure why that article that is dated Feb 18th only has certain games listed in the ATS. Even 10 days ago they still would have been better than 11-1ats. That said if you blindly bet on MSU tonight 2nd half you clearly arn't reading enough stuff from Beyondthebets as they religiously preach betting market value. And after wind of this sick stat 7 trend it's more than safe to say that the value flew out the window a long time ago.
Just my 2 sense. BOL 2night game...
I know what you mean about perception killing value. I just don't think 2H lines adjust quickly. You'd never have a team achieving a 24-1 record ATS FG b/c the line would catch up.
-5 for a -2.5 favorite thats trailing by 14 @ half? It should be probably be -3 or -4, but not a horrible bet @ -5. And I just missed -4.5.
But for a 24-1 team ATS, this should be Sparty -7 or -8. |
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HeadOverHeart |
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#28 Posted: 2/28/2012 8:25:37 PM  |
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#29 Posted: 2/28/2012 8:48:39 PM |
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#30 Posted: 2/29/2012 12:28:53 AM  |
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Degenerate |
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#31 Posted: 2/29/2012 12:32:04 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by composite: Just my luck to lose a 96% trend. LOL!
Rest assured anyone and everyone that entered this thread lost a few bucks on that 2H.
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#32 Posted: 2/29/2012 4:09:24 AM |
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#33 Posted: 2/29/2012 7:13:17 AM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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#34 Posted: 2/29/2012 12:52:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Degenerate:
Rest assured anyone and everyone that entered this thread lost a few bucks on that 2H.
I didn't touch it. Didn't even think twice about it... |
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#35 Posted: 2/29/2012 1:42:12 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PremierCapper34:
No YTD of course
The OP gave solid analysis. If you don't find that helpful, then you have garbage for brains. |
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#36 Posted: 2/29/2012 2:24:48 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster: I didn't touch it. Didn't even think twice about it...
Wasn't totally serious. But I I know there were more than a few that saw that stat and were looking forward to the free money giveaway 2H....
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#37 Posted: 2/29/2012 2:35:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster:
I didn't touch it. Didn't even think twice about it...
Congrats on not making a losing play. That being said, when Mich State cut the Indiana lead to 2 or 3 (IIRC), I was getting nervous about my FG Indiana +2.5 bet. |
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#38 Posted: 2/29/2012 2:41:10 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PremierCapper34:
No YTD of course
I love pieces of sh%$ like you. You create an alias for your first post on Covers because you are too much of a box to post under your real account. Are you paying me for my picks? I owe you nothing. I post in more than one place. Therefore, I have different records in the two places. The only record to me that matters is the record my book has when he settles with me very week. I shared my pick and gave some stats. If you want, paypal me $100 and I will give you my record in detail. This is why I prefer posting at the other place. Don't have to deal with the douchebags!
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#39 Posted: 2/29/2012 3:02:26 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PremierCapper34:
No YTD of course
Get out of this thread kid, Mommy's calling you |
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