| Author: |
[NFL Betting] Topic: Do you find any of these NFL Stats useful? |
|
Niners13 |
RSI   View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#1 Posted: 1/8/2012 12:08:03 PM
http://www.statsprofessor.blogspot.com/p/stats.html
Saw this a few weeks ago and found some of the info interesting since the season is over with and has a decent sample.
You may not care for any of it but I still find it fun to look at.
Numbers look rather legit.
GL with your plays today.
Can't wait for Niners/Saints next week. 
|
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#2 Posted: 1/11/2012 10:47:48 PM 
Probably explains all the losing bets. 
How often the spread matters and Public Road Dogs I find interesting.
Really curious how the Packers game turns out.
|
|
quote |
|
Skipster |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 4348
Location: Tuvalu |
#3 Posted: 1/11/2012 11:18:26 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Trav2282 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1078
Location: Florida |
#4 Posted: 1/12/2012 12:10:27 AM
|
|
quote |
|
Trav2282 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1078
Location: Florida |
#5 Posted: 1/12/2012 12:12:03 AM |
|
quote |
|
|
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#6 Posted: 1/12/2012 5:57:55 PM 
Lot of threads on here looking for different stats, Decent summary of a few we always discuss.
|
|
quote |
|
Werker |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2948
Location: New York |
#7 Posted: 1/12/2012 7:36:18 PM |
|
quote |
|
Henley |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 21
Location: |
#8 Posted: 1/12/2012 8:01:36 PM |
|
quote |
|
bill702 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1285
Location: Nevada |
#9 Posted: 1/12/2012 8:10:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Henley:
Cool stats. ONe question about the first graph. How do they know what money comes from sharps and what money comes from the public?
It says it uses pinnacle sport and everything above 60% is a public play |
|
quote |
|
MrBogey |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 2901
Location: Florida |
#10 Posted: 1/12/2012 9:30:13 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#11 Posted: 1/13/2012 5:56:55 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:
no wonder it was such a great year for 6-7 point teasers, 7pt fav or more 84%
Yeah, no wonder books keep trying to move to -9 and so on.
Teasers have been doing very well.
I think this weekend should be the same.
|
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#12 Posted: 1/14/2012 2:27:47 PM
Curious how the giants as a public road dog play out....
Niners back to -3 juiced at some places now...
|
|
quote |
|
Skipster |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 4348
Location: Tuvalu |
#13 Posted: 1/14/2012 10:40:00 PM  |
|
quote |
|
Skipbone |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 4106
Location: |
#14 Posted: 1/14/2012 10:49:34 PM  |
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#15 Posted: 1/16/2012 12:21:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Skipbone: I use my 3,000th post to say:
Maybe to you.
Line moves hit well again.
Spreads only mattered in 1 of 8 games while everyone makes a big deal out of them each week.
Once something has a decent sample, the numbers are rather meaningful but that's my opinion.
|
|
quote |
|
ChOdaZ |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1831
Location: Illinois |
#16 Posted: 1/16/2012 3:33:49 PM |
|
quote |
|
mrquija27 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 2333
Location: Michigan |
#17 Posted: 1/16/2012 3:40:51 PM I have heard the theory of spreads dont matter often. But lets think this out please. We always here a number around 20% Ok well please just answer this question.
When the favorite wins the game isnt it a 100% clip to where the spread doesnt matter? Please answer, serious question. |
|
quote |
|
mrquija27 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 2333
Location: Michigan |
#18 Posted: 1/16/2012 3:45:46 PM |
|
quote |
|
bigkaptain |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1118
Location: Nevada |
#19 Posted: 1/16/2012 4:10:15 PM |
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#20 Posted: 1/21/2012 6:11:16 PM
Not good for the Niners....
|
|
quote |
|
MJ2345 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2008
Posts: 4557
Location: |
#21 Posted: 1/21/2012 6:48:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Niners13: Line is down to -1 at the greek Not good for the Niners....
Thats the only one under -2 but let the public keep pounding the Giants!
|
|
quote |
|
thawv |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 3273
Location: Illinois |
#22 Posted: 1/21/2012 7:09:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mrquija27: I have heard the theory of spreads dont matter often. But lets think this out please. We always here a number around 20% Ok well please just answer this question.
When the favorite wins the game isnt it a 100% clip to where the spread doesnt matter? Please answer, serious question.
Bottom line is, the winner of each game covers 79% of the time. That goes for the outright dog win, and a favorite win.
|
|
quote |
|
Niners13 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1584
Location: Ontario |
#23 Posted: 1/26/2012 12:35:41 PM 
Big money needed in the playoffs to move these.
Should be interesting, I like the Pats to win.....for now.
|
|
quote |