Posted: 4/16/2012 11:35:47 PM
YTD 12-13 +1.38
CLV (Closing Line Value): +3.79
CLV Profit (Actual Units Won/Saved by Beating Closing Line): +1.66
As always, I am capping the line, not the matchup. My only goal is to beat the closing number by betting early before the market sets itself. If I do that consistently, I believe I will be profitable. Along with my units I will be tracking CLV (total units I have beaten closing line) and CLV Profit (actual units won or saved by betting early instead of waiting for the closing line).
Tough day Monday going 0-2 with the Red Sox and Braves -1 run line. However got both at the open and instead of laying -111 and -117 on those plays I got EV and -108, so saved myself a fifth of a unit.
Larger card on tap for Tuesday. Playing more chalk than usual but just seems like some value for some short favorites on Tuesday. All plays bet at the open and posted in my Monday thread.
901 Houston Astros +195
908 Milwaukee Brewers -125
912 Colorado Rockies -115
916 San Francisco Giants -1 +108
922 Boston Red Sox -113
929 Cleveland Indians -115
Good luck everybody.