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Author: [Pro Baseball] Topic: Philadelphia at Miami (08/13/2012)
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#1
Posted: 8/10/2012 6:46:02 PM

Away:  Philadelphia [52-62 SU]
Home:  Miami [52-63 SU]

Game Time: 7:10 PM
Stadium: Marlins Ballpark

Recent Meetings:
07/01/12 - PHI 2 vs. MIA 5
06/30/12 - PHI 2 vs. MIA 3
06/29/12 - PHI 2 vs. MIA 6

Team Leaders:

Philadelphia:
Home Runs: Carlos Ruiz (14)
Batting Avg: Carlos Ruiz (.335)
Stolen Bases: Juan Pierre (28)

Miami:
Home Runs: Giancarlo Stanton (21)
Batting Avg: Justin Ruggiano (.339)
Stolen Bases: Emilio Bonifacio (30)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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MrMannix
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#2
Posted: 8/12/2012 6:47:59 PM
Philadelphia ml
GLTA
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#3
Posted: 8/13/2012 10:53:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrMannix:

Philadelphia ml
GLTA
Mr. Mannix you should keep certain things to yourself like the move last night that tipped off the mets... Why tell everyone on the internet??????

Make your picks fine but pls don't give free advice to those who don't know what you may know. It's bad business sir, thx.
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#4
Posted: 8/13/2012 10:53:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrMannix:

Philadelphia ml
GLTA
Mr. Mannix you should keep certain things to yourself like the move last night that tipped off the mets... Why tell everyone on the internet??????

Make your picks fine but pls don't give free advice to those who don't know what you may know. It's bad business sir, thx.
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doctor_alfa
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#5
Posted: 8/13/2012 10:57:06 AM
phillies anota primero
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#6
Posted: 8/13/2012 12:36:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hollywood07:

Mr. Mannix you should keep certain things to yourself like the move last night that tipped off the mets... Why tell everyone on the internet??????

Make your picks fine but pls don't give free advice to those who don't know what you may know. It's bad business sir, thx.

WHAT WAS THE "TIP"? WISH I WOULD'VE KNOWN, GOT BURNED PICKIN' ATL....
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MrMannix
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#7
Posted: 8/13/2012 4:16:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hollywood07:

Mr. Mannix you should keep certain things to yourself like the move last night that tipped off the mets... Why tell everyone on the internet??????

Make your picks fine but pls don't give free advice to those who don't know what you may know. It's bad business sir, thx.
Not in business here- just playing to have some fun! 
Point taken, though. If someone couldn't read that line last night, they deserved to lose.
GL
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#8
Posted: 8/13/2012 4:50:26 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by MrMannix]
Not in business here- just playing to have some fun! 
Point taken, though. If someone couldn't read that line last night, they deserved to lose.
GL
[/Quote

Wasn't on here, but what "would have" i read????]
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MrMannix
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#9
Posted: 8/13/2012 5:01:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by micka466:


Wasn't on here, but what "would have" i read????]
Over 70% of plays were on ATL but the line stuck or moved to favor the Mets. That is called RLM(reverse line movement)- it is wise to take the team that the line is moving towards against the public fav. Most will look at the line and think they are getting a good team at a great value- just what they want you to think.
Spyed that one last night- even a squirrel gets a nut once and awhile!
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MrMannix
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#10
Posted: 8/13/2012 5:02:10 PM
 Under 7.5
GLTA
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#11
Posted: 8/13/2012 5:10:54 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by MrMannix]
Over 70% of plays were on ATL but the line stuck or moved to favor the Mets. That is called RLM(reverse line movement)- it is wise to take the team that the line is moving towards against the public fav. Most will look at the line and think they are getting a good team at a great value- just what they want you to think.
Spyed that one last night- even a squirrel gets a nut once and awhile!

Hmmmm, that wouldn't of made me switch my bet, I mean ATL is better then the METS, AND, they nearly won it, they won for me the first two games, I go with who's the better pitcher (Sheets), who has the better hitters (ATL), not by the line moving. Ya it worked for ya last night, but what about Game 2? The exact same odds were out with the same movment you're talkin about, and ATL won by 9 runs....
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trendon
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#12
Posted: 8/13/2012 5:29:53 PM
Why the hell is this Hollywood clown following you into every thread to tell you not to post your picks?  Did you give 5dimes your covers name?

And, you are right, that line was easy as hell to see and I am an idiot. :)
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MrMannix
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#13
Posted: 8/13/2012 9:16:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by micka466:

 
Hmmmm, that wouldn't of made me switch my bet, I mean ATL is better then the METS, AND, they nearly won it, they won for me the first two games, I go with who's the better pitcher (Sheets), who has the better hitters (ATL), not by the line moving. Ya it worked for ya last night, but what about Game 2? The exact same odds were out with the same movment you're talkin about, and ATL won by 9 runs....
Some good capping on the games but sometimes you have to go a bit further. Learning to read the line movement is just another tool to use. Take a closer look at the line moves of the game taking into consideration the % played on ATL and compare it to the other games in the series. You should see something fishy along with a low opening line on a superior team. 
If ya don't, sorry and the best of luck to you!
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MrMannix
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#14
Posted: 8/13/2012 9:30:48 PM
Don't check %'s on covers either- they just give the % 's of contest plays made here on covers, not actual #'s from books in Vegas.
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