Posted: 6/19/2011 9:20:41 AM
Last week: 2-3, but down 2 units as I was a chalk eating weasel. If you guys every see me betting anything over -125 again please come to my house and threaten me with a tire iron.
YTD: 28-29, -3.65 units. Start a new turnaround this week. Hopefully.
On these matchups today. With this race seemingly ALWAYS a fuel mileage affair, it can be as dicey as a plate race sometimes on where they end up. So be careful.
Truex -125 over Ambrose-first one I locked in today. Ambrose looked a bit better in practice, but Truex avg. finish is 15th vs. 28th for Ambrose
Martin -105 over Ragan-let's not get carried away with the Ragan hype. Remember when Paul Menard was in the top 5 after like 5 races? He's on a good run and looks fast in practice, but so does the 5 car and I think he's due to start making a move in the standing. Good value here.
Kurt -125 over Biffle-The 22 has been much more consistant then Biffle, who only has 1 top 5 this year. He's flying everytime he's been on the track so far, like him for a top 5 today.
Johnson -105 over Edwards-99 team has looked a bit lost so far this weekend. Sure they'll get it much better as he's been so good here historically, but the 48 team has been no slouch and looks good so far this weekend.
Kyle +115 over Stewart-bit of a value play here. Smoke has a much better history, but Kyle actually looked a little better in practice. Seems to me the 14 team hasn't been great at making adjustments this year so I'll take a shot here at a nice price.
That's it for me. Happy Father's Day to all the dad's out there! Wish mine wasn't in Alabama and I could see him more than once or twice a year. Looking forward to my little one getting home from the Grandparents shortly. GL to everyone out there today, let's win some cash.