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Author: [College Football] Topic: Florida /Vandy line is only at 7
jwheels86
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jwheels86
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#1
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:16:10 PM
I understand that this is a classic trap spot and Vandy just won a game but this line is too low. Vandy will go through hell and back trying to move the ball consistently and they simply will not be able to stop the Gator running game. It would take a really bad showing Vandy to cover this line. This is the same team that lost to Northwestern


Jimmy, time for your rebuttal. 

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Laroja
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#2
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:22:32 PM
Really boring game where the Gators Defense will most likely dominate. Can the Gators score enough to prevent a possible backdoor? Bad spot for Florida and Vandy does play better at home.
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#3
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:36:59 PM
I'm with Laroja.  Think UF goes through the motions here and this game is close with a possible Vandy cover.   Awaiting Freak's analysis as well. 


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jwheels86
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#4
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:52:03 PM
Vandy has history working in their favor somewhat, they always play Florida better when we are unbeaten or highly ranked. 1996 it happened, 2006 it happened.. Florida won the NC both those seasons and I was at both of those games oddly enough and will be at this one. The different thing about this year is we never play Vanderbilt this early in the season, for as many years as I can remember now UF plays them in November.
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jwheels86
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#5
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:54:42 PM
The 2008 NC team beat Vandy really and the last two visits there have been blowouts but they have much better teams now obviously so history only goes so far. Usually the problem with this game is UF is ALWAYS coming off of a big game and the players have said playing in that atmosphere is laughable after the stadiums they see in the SEC. I imagine this time Vandy will have some fans there for a night game against a top 5 team.
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#6
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:01:00 PM
will either team reach 20?  may think under is worth a look instead of worrying about a spread
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jwheels86
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#7
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:04:08 PM
LSU's defense is a world of difference compared to Vandys.. 
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#8
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:10:10 PM

Tough spot for Gators normally, but I'm not buying it..  I like the Gators big

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#9
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:10:46 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jwheels86:

LSU's defense is a world of difference compared to Vandys.. 

no doubt about that but Vandy's is on par with Texas A&M and its better than Tennessee's

Florida is impressive to me but not an explosive team, I would lean Florida -7 if I had to play the game for sure, no way I would bet Vandy but I may feel more comfortable on the under as I don't see Vandy moving the ball very well

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#10
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:16:36 PM
My initial thought agreed with you jwheels.  I don't expect many points.  Could be a 24-10 type of game.  I jumped on UF -7, but it does somewhat concern me that UF sometimes plays down to their competition (like the BG game earlier) and this game is sandwiched between LSU & So Car.
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jwheels86
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#11
Posted: 10/8/2012 9:41:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WahooS:

no doubt about that but Vandy's is on par with Texas A&M and its better than Tennessee's

Florida is impressive to me but not an explosive team, I would lean Florida -7 if I had to play the game for sure, no way I would bet Vandy but I may feel more comfortable on the under as I don't see Vandy moving the ball very well


but A&M's offense and UT are top 15 in the nation and UF held them to less than half of their normal average per game. That is the difference.
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#12
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:35:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WahooS:

will either team reach 20?  may think under is worth a look instead of worrying about a spread


but you're not a gator fan. 
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#13
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:43:12 PM
Gators deliver!   
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#14
Posted: 10/8/2012 6:44:34 PM
Florida's offense is God awful. One solid performance against a Tennessee team that couldn't stop anybody even if they put 15 guys on the field. If LSU doesn't lose most of their LBs, I highly doubt Florida even scores in that game. The only other time Vandy played a good team at home this year, they put the clamps down on SCar and barely lost.

So many better games out there. Under is probably good at anything more than 41. Otherwise why even make a play on this game?
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#15
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:18:47 PM
just wait for the second half and pound florida.....coaching staff makes great adjustments at the half...
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#16
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:20:51 PM
Florida historically struggles their like LSU at Kentucky does not make since just look at past visits. 
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#17
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:25:14 PM

IMO, Vandy is decent but not in Florida's class.  I expect the Gators to be bored but still win by 17+.  Vandy might have 3 players max that Florida would want.  Don't over-think the home field advantage here.  Have you ever been to a Vandy game in Nashville?  I've been to a lot.  The few fans that are there are sitting on their hands waiting on Vandy to lose the game.  Nuff said. 

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#18
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:26:54 PM
Ultimate sandwich game..

Vandy or nothing for me


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#19
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:27:21 PM
I agree the environment sucks and lends itself to a boredom effect!
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#20
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:56:45 PM
My 5* this week is Vandy +9. UF may win, but it will be a nail-biter. But GL with whatever you decide.
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#21
Posted: 10/8/2012 9:07:08 PM
Vandy D can be nasty at home
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jwheels86
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#22
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:20:47 AM
I see the public on UF at a good percentage and my line has moved to 8.5..

Thoughts?

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