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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Money Ball and KEYMetrics, Wednesday 10.03.12
TheBuddah
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TheBuddah
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#26
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:15:07 PM
Key - very much love the data analysis and thank you.  Ever look at sagarin rankings?
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#27
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:37:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Lean Orioles (Tillman / Hellickson)

Not much to say about this one except that he line is right where it should be. Like most of these games today it should be a good one to watch, but not much of a wagering edge either way.

Lean Cardinals (Bailey / Miller)

I don’t have enough form on Shelby Miller in a starters role to back him but I do feel Bailey does not have the offensive backing to be a -143 favorite. It is also possible the Reds lose a little attitude if the Nationals hold on versus the Phillies and secure Home field advantage. It is also possible the Reds change strategy at that point, sit Bailey, etal., and just play it out. Too many unknowns for me.  


Since 2001, after a no hitter/perfect game, UNDER is 19-9. what you think?  

i believe the next outing for the pitcher, 9-19 

http://www.beyondthebets.com/weaver-tosses-no-hitter-how-does-losing-team-fare-day-after-getting-no-hit/
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JEG53
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#28
Posted: 10/3/2012 4:20:33 PM
Yeh I was thinking Bailey might be a good fade,and after Hamilton gets shut down today Det.will let the triple crown winner sit out,so which leads me to think that a fade of Det.and Cinn.and the over in the Yanks game might be a way to go on this last day,and maybe a few unders in a couple others that I have not picked today yet,lol.
Nice call on my Giants yesterday,might be my only 2 bets on Zito this year and I took Balt.to win and might do it again or the under in that one is a big possible.
And Im sure I will play your KC game in some form.
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JEG53
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#29
Posted: 10/3/2012 4:26:38 PM
O and I think its about 90% Yanks win,but I dont think Ive ever passed on a +300,but that Dice 0 is just bad,but who knows it could happen,its baseball after all,and I also think Boston is wrong to start this never-was pitcher,almost seems like they are giving it to the Yankees.
Go Balt.,told you they would not fold this year,have not seen our friend in here talking up his Boston bets much this year, might be why,
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Donnie_Baseball
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#30
Posted: 10/3/2012 4:27:02 PM
when you say 'KeyMetrics' and bold and italicize that, can I get a better idea of what exactly you're referring to?
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#31
Posted: 10/4/2012 10:54:27 AM
Thnaks Key!! Correst comment about the power of the dogs too!! Great season!! 6% ROI +
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