#1 Posted: 9/30/2012 10:36:54 PM Season: 22 - 19 - 2 , +2.9 units
Week 5 was rough, and I probably forced a lot of bets where I didn't see anything great. A few games jumped out at me right away this week.
Week 6 AFA (-10) vs. Navy- I know these two have played close games, but AFA is clearly the more talented team and Navy is awful. Iowa State (+12) @ TCU (2 Units)- I don't get this line at all. TCU has been far from stellar on offense since they lost their top RB (yes, I know, they've turned it over in the red zone 5 times), and Iowa State has a very solid defense and a ball-control offense. I think they have a good chance at winning this outright. Texas Tech (+5) vs. Oklahoma- Tech has won the last 3 in Lubbock and they won in Norman last year. I know Tech's defense is not #1 in the country, but they are decent, and Oklahoma has been unimpressive this year. I think it continues with this game.
Looks/Leans: Clemson (-10.5) vs. GA Tech - I might wait to see if this one gets to single digits, but I will probably grab it if it doesn't look like that's going to happen. East Carolina (+14) @ UCF Indiana (+14.5) vs. Michigan State- I don't know that Michigan State can score enough to cover this. BC (-9.5) @ Army- BC was not bad at all this weekend, but Army has also looked a little better the last couple of games. Northwestern (+3.5) @ PSU- PSU has looked strong lately, but Northwestern can score. Texas A&M (-9.5) @ Mississippi- I might just wait and take this one in the first half, since Mississippi has the kind of offense that can make this look closer than it really will be. Purdue (+3) vs. Michigan- I need to look more at how Purdue's defense can deal with Michigan's offense. UTEP (-2) vs. SMU North Texas (+11.5) @ Houston
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