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[Horse Racing] Topic: WHY DO HORSEPLAYERS LOSE? IT'S THE TAKEOUT! |
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outsmart smarty |
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#51 Posted: 9/1/2010 12:51:27 AM im young all my friends bet big on the kentucky derby and dont know how to spell preakness and they think the breeders cup is a dog show young people dont care no more becuase of the networks not covering less young people less handle isnt that what happened to john wayne fans? |
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wizardofroz |
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#52 Posted: 9/1/2010 3:33:28 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by wkufan:
I'm 28 and love going to the track, I go to Ellis Park every Saturday during live racing and bet the ponies year round on TVG. I have friends my age who bet the ponies too as well as sports. The main problem with horse racing from a younger generation standpoint is not so much the takeout, but the complex bets in relation to other forms of gambling. Try teaching a 20something year old female about tri box's and superfecta partial wheels, she'll understand the show bet and get back 5 cents on the dollar and be disappointed. It's a tough sport to learn how to bet and the casual gambler in today's simplistic society isn't going to want to think that much to bet, they want to pull a lever and let the fruits line up to see if they win. The takeout is high, but let's face it the takeout on the most popular casino game is also comparable to a lot of horse bets...the slot machine. The average house edge on a quarter slot machine is 10.2% and 8.1% on a dollar slot machine. That may not be as high as most horse bets but based on how popular those mindless games are and knowing the younger crowd, most want a simple form of gambling that requires little thinking regardless of the house edge. If you decreased the house edge in horse racing I honestly don't think there would be a dramatic change in interest toward a younger generation. Education about the industry is the key but how to do so is the problem. I seem to confuse some of my friends when explaining bets to them at the track...they want to stick with straight WPS and usually don't walk away a big winner.
Welcome to the board, fellow Kentuckian, but I completely DISAGREE with your assessment of the horse industry. I will occasionally use sports betting examples to illustrate my points. There is nothing complex about a WPS wager. So why encourage someone new to horse betting to explore exotics and Pick3s and 4s? Also, who cares if women hate the track? Horse betting, and most betting in general, is geared towards MEN. Do you think the offshore books are aggressively trying to pursue more women bettors or actually marketing to the people (men) who are going to bet anyways?
Also, people say the horse industry is dying (which I wholeheartedly agree with) and people are betting on other things instead. The BEST solution would be to increase the HANDLE by lowering the take out, not raising it. Would the track be happier with 20% of $100K or 10% of 500K? Pinnacle was a leader in the industry taking sports bets due to its reduced juice. Also, with simulcasting, the wagering pools should increase due to people easily being able to bet on their computer instead of having to drive out to the track.
The tracks need to give people who wager a decent amount of money per month rake backs or prizes like they do in poker. Slots at the track would be most beneficial in keeping the women entertained while the husband/boyfriend is playing the ponies. But having slots solely to increase revenue is a bad idea.
And if people still do not bet the ponies with the reduced take out (ideal 10% IMO on ALL wagers), then shut down the industry for good. But I firmly believe the market is there for the ponies. After all, for the most part, what else is there to wager on in the early afternoons? Take care of the people who currently play the ponies, and more and more people will eventually catch the fever. |
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wizardofroz |
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#53 Posted: 9/1/2010 10:55:36 AM With the advent of simulcast wagering, players do not have to drive to the track like they used to. Instead, one can sit in front of the computer and shop for the tracks with the best pay back. Thus, local tracks no longer have a monopoly on the action.
I equate this to going out to purchase a 12-pack of beer. Two convenience stores are side-by-side and both have the same product you are looking for. Store A charges $7.99 and store B charges $9.99. Obviously, you would purchase the $7.99 beer, as it is cheaper.
The same philosophy should hold true for the degenerate horse player that keeps the sport alive by betting throughout the week. If Del Mar offered 20% take out on all wagers, but Saratoga only took out 10%, the players would flock to Saratoga and ignore Del Mar all together. This would then cause Del Mar to lower their take out to similar numbers in order to compete with the other track.
On another note, with new laws, the lack of easy accesibility to bet with your debit/credit card may destroy the industry any how. Take out will not matter if you cannot wager via your computer. |
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wkufan |
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#54 Posted: 9/1/2010 3:14:55 PM Wizardofroz...greetings from Owensboro fellow Kentuckian. I respect your opinion. Certainly a lower takeout would increase handle and coming from an economics major I know for a fact that is true. I just don't think that the takeout is the major issue with attracting a younger crowd toward horse racing as the education of the sport is. It used to be the only legal form of gambling was going to the track and betting on the ponies. Going to the track IS much more than betting and that's part of what hurts attract new fans. There are 25 to 30 minutes between races...in that time it's meant for you to socialize, read the form, talk to fellow horse players about their opinions and have a good time. There is only action going on is for 2 minutes per race with 10 races per day so a grand total of 20 minutes you have action taking place at an average track on an average day (this doesn't include simulcasting of course). the other 180 or so minutes is when people are bored who are used to constant action from the blackjack table, or from the slot machines. I used a women as an example in my previous post as to how hard it is to explain bets to, and you are right that men are who gambling is aimed toward. The fact still remains that most men I know who haven't been to the track still can't understand anything beyond WPS bets and they may throw 2 bucks on the favorite across the board and get back $12 if they're lucky from the orginal $6 they invested. That isn't enough to excite them for the 30 minutes they waited to win that. Now I understand and you understand why they won so "little"...but the problem is THEY DON'T understand why and it's tough to teach them why their profit wasn't hundreds of dollars without turning them off due to being confused. I don't believe toward a younger generation (for the majority at least) that the takeout being decreased is going to send them running toward the track...and I honestly don't know if there's much that can get them to do so, but education of the track is the key. |
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sacstar03 |
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#55 Posted: 9/2/2010 4:55:42 AM WKU's point was somewhat valid, Danno tried to say the same thing earlier. There are many CASUAL gamblers who play horses, sports, slots and other forms of gambling, I should mention the lottery too. And probably most of this group don't know what the takeout or house take or simply said, they dont know what the odds are against them are. Unless they are degenerate gamblers, they will play til they lose too much or NEVER win. If they hit a big score, they might play a little longer. But this is the internet age. The real gamblers insist on value. And I'm not talking about the $2 bettor or the $5 parlay card sports better. I'm talking about people who study hard and try to get any edge they can. Sports is a good example. This website is devoted to getting the edge on sports. I rarely make a sports bet without looking at stats on covers. Nor will I make a horse bet without looking at the form. These serious are horse racing's bread and butter. And many of them WILL NOT PLAY THE PONIES WITHOUT GETTING REBATES. Correct me if I'm wrong, many betting companies offer points or betting rebates. The best rebates are offshore, some as high as 10%! Without these rebates, the Horse Racing handle would PLUMMET. So, from WKU's perspective, he and his friends don't know what the odds against them, but most BIG bettors DO! The strange thing is that the race tracks KNOW about these rebates and tolerate them, because some of these offshore bets go into the track's pool. In other words, while California is raising the takeout, they accept bets from rebate shops knowing that these players WILL NOT PLAY AGAINST A 20% TAKE. |
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JimRockford |
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#56 Posted: 9/2/2010 6:51:55 PM churchill has tried night racing and while they draw over 20k to the track(night racing) most of the young people are more concerned about drinking beer and watching bands play between races.
keenland also draws a huge college crowd but most are there to be seen and party.
the attendance went through the roof at churchill night racing, but the handle did not increase accordingly.
i agree with sac and wiz, the track take gives even the best handicapper little or no chance to beat 18%-25% vig.

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JimRockford |
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#57 Posted: 9/2/2010 6:58:39 PM http://www.horseracingnews.net/usa-horse-racing/ellis-park-drops-pick4-takeout-to-4.php
Ellis Park used to offer a Pick 4 with a 4% take out.   |
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wizardofroz |
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#58 Posted: 9/3/2010 12:09:49 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by JimRockford:
churchill has tried night racing and while they draw over 20k to the track(night racing) most of the young people are more concerned about drinking beer and watching bands play between races.
keenland also draws a huge college crowd but most are there to be seen and party.
the attendance went through the roof at churchill night racing, but the handle did not increase accordingly.
i agree with sac and wiz, the track take gives even the best handicapper little or no chance to beat 18%-25% vig.

The tracks need to market to the hardened gamblers who bet the horses on a daily basis, not the young, hip crowd that is just there for the social aspect on a given weekend. The regular players keep the track in business, not the idiotic $2 across the board bettor .
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sacstar03 |
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#59 Posted: 9/3/2010 10:41:39 AM Wizard, the track makes more profit off of a $4 hot dog than a $20 bet, so when Churchill or Del Mar draws 30,000, the tracks make a healthy profit. Think about admission too. But when they get those big crowds of beginners, they have a chance to make regular fans out of them. Winning or streching out their gambling dollar would help. Anybody who wins their first visit to the track, 99% chance they will come back. |
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josbran |
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#60 Posted: 9/5/2010 7:25:49 PM This is a good forum about racing and I have some points to make about the game.
1. Racing needs to run shorter meets and only maybe 3 days a week.
2. Eliminate all claiming races!!! the reason for this it that trainers have a tendency to run their horses at above their heads so they won't lose them. Most countries in the world run almost no claiming races and the sport survives. If people want to buy a horse the buy it privatly.
3. Bring back true Handicap racing. It's a joke that Rachel or other top horses run in races carrying only 5lbs more than the rest of the field. If say she carried 15lbs or more against the other runners you may get more horses to run in those races.
4. Allow bookmakers back on the tracks like in England. I know this is radicle but if people can shop for odds it could help lower the takeout beatdown that kills most horseplayers.
5. I've been to the track with novice bettors who lose interest because if they bet to win and their horse wins and pays $4.00 they say what did I get for my money? Even exacters and triples don't come back big with the Favorite on top.
6. We need exchange betting NOW!!!!!!
7. Another joke this year was the meet at Monmouth park. The purses were good but paying horses running $1500 for finishing last is a joke. there was a horse that finished last in all 4 of his races and earned $6000. If it were up to me you have to finish in the top 4 to get any money all other runners get nothing. If owners can't make money then get out of the game.
8. People in racing think that slots are saving the game which is not the case the only thing that slots do is raise purse levels. Look at the tracks that have slots and you'll see a reduction in how much money is given to racing. States need more money for other things so their giving less slot money to racing and reducing the total races run at the tracks.
I love the game but I find myself betting sports and playing cards more and more. |
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sports1000 |
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#61 Posted: 10/12/2010 2:54:26 PM horse racing is such a great sport. my only real problem is the TAKEOUT. it's like loan shark rates. my question is what and where can you get the biggest rebates. i have heard of rebates as high as 12 percent. that's a necessity.
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