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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Stricker vs. Casey
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
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#1
Posted: 8/12/2011 10:21:43 AM
Casey is right on the cut line and he was penalized by playing the par 3's at 3 over par yesterday.  Stricker played out of his mind and almost carded a 62.

With the current line sitting at:

Stricker (-195)
Casey (+175)

I see a lot of value in Casey to have a bounce back round, maybe shooting 68.  Stricker will be hard pressed to have anything close to a repeat performance.  I'd be surprised if he shot better than a 69 today.  I see a lot of value in what could be a toss up round between these two.  The motivational edge is probably stronger for Casey trying to make the cut than it is for Stricker.
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Jarrett75
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#2
Posted: 8/12/2011 10:25:53 AM
I agree, I have a stricker future to win, but waiting to see how my early morning bets sort out. So far I am losing both. But do like Casey a lot.
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scsiegel89
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#3
Posted: 8/12/2011 10:36:48 AM
Not sure if any of you follow Happy Kane's Mojo-Charts, but Stricker has amazing mojo the next 3 days, especially on Sunday where his mojo is literally off the charts.
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Blackhawk4
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#4
Posted: 8/12/2011 10:39:44 AM

I'm with you guys, I just have a hard time seeing Stricker put together another round like yesterday. Casey shot himself in the foot, I see a pretty even match between the two today. I'll be on Casey +160.

Also like Van Pelt over Senden.

BOL

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#5
Posted: 8/12/2011 11:18:21 AM
I check out HK's thread as well. But his mojo isn't 100%. Plus we don't need stricker to have a terrible round, he just needs to be 1 shot worse.

Also I would wait to put in this bet if you are planning on it. You have to imagine there will be some people chasing after losing bets in the morning and jumping on what looks like a sure thing in Stricker.
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scsiegel89
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#6
Posted: 8/12/2011 11:20:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jarrett75:

I check out HK's thread as well. But his mojo isn't 100%. Plus we don't need stricker to have a terrible round, he just needs to be 1 shot worse.

Also I would wait to put in this bet if you are planning on it. You have to imagine there will be some people chasing after losing bets in the morning and jumping on what looks like a sure thing in Stricker.


on Sunday, Stricker's mojo is as close to 100% as you can get. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I do believe I'm right.
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#7
Posted: 8/12/2011 12:33:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jarrett75:

I check out HK's thread as well. But his mojo isn't 100%. Plus we don't need stricker to have a terrible round, he just needs to be 1 shot worse.


Also I would wait to put in this bet if you are planning on it. You have to imagine there will be some people chasing after losing bets in the morning and jumping on what looks like a sure thing in Stricker.

Actually, Stricker's high line scares me.  I'm concerned that Vegas put the enticing value on Casey predicting that many people will be fading Stricker after his stellar performance yesterday.  I'm having a hard time reading if this line is bait, or the product of public money.  Why do you guys think this line is so juiced for Stricker?  Trap or public bet? 
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Jarrett75
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#8
Posted: 8/12/2011 12:38:08 PM
juiced for Stricker. I won't be putting a lot on Casey, but think it's definitely worth a few units.
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scsiegel89
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#9
Posted: 8/12/2011 4:48:47 PM
good call. Stricker looks like friggin dog-garbage. I hope he friggin falls off a cliff today
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#10
Posted: 8/12/2011 4:49:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scsiegel89:

good call. Stricker looks like friggin dog-garbage. I hope he friggin falls off a cliff today


A real cliff. Not metaphorically speaking, because he already has done that.
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Jarrett75
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#11
Posted: 8/12/2011 7:12:38 PM
casey on the green, stricker in the water on 18. We had a 1 shot lead going in. I needed this one cause I lost everything else. I should have just played my Casey lean and left everything else alone. Oh well.
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#12
Posted: 8/12/2011 7:41:08 PM
Nice call, Si1ly! 
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