Posted: 2/5/2012 4:02:19 PM
What up, Andy?
Last night I was in my local mall parking lot waiting for my stepdaughter and her friends(figured I chill in lot with radio bumping and do last minute research on my phone rather than drive home, hang out a half hour, and then drive back).
Anyway I'm cocking around in my car passing time, I found this thread, started from the beginning, and read the entire thing. friggin awesome! Fantastic info from day 1 of the playoffs! Wish I could have contributed more, but work blocks Covers again, and I've been so busy lately after work and the weekends. Next year I vow to bring it like past years. Your threads are KEY to my weekly NFL capping and I want to go back to GIVING as much as I TAKE from them.
Anyway, I'm rolling with the G Men. I know a lot of people are a bit worried at the line, and there's so much Giant love it is scary, but I thought the line was spot on. You have to consider early prop bets, so -3 was spot on. Personally, I think PK was the true line, or even Giants -1 or 2, but Pats -3 is where it should be.
Hit the Giants for a unit at +3.5 when it opened. Added another couple units at +3 throughout the last couple weeks. Someone who is a master of totals(Sharp) leans under so I tailed him with a Giants +10 UNDER 63 teaser. Also just threw in Giants -10.5 in the alternate line(around +550 or so, I believe).
I'm not big on props, but did a few. A few are mine, and a few I'm tailing Sharp as he was on the same page as me.
Rolle over 6 tackles. Philips over 4.5 tackles. NE has that short passing attack and I believe the safetys are both gonna heap up tackles.
Over 3.5 FGs. Hoping they can hit a few of those early in the game when both teams are a bit conserative and feeling each other out.
Under in receptions and yards for Gronk(5.5 and 77). In all my years of watching sports, I've never seen anyone come back from that kind of injury so fast(with the exception of Big Ben but he is a different breed and was extremely hobbled). Taking a shot he gives it a go, but winds up ineffective.
First TD scored went with Welker, Aaron Hernandez, and Travis Beckum.
Total KO returns UNDER 6.5. Love this one(tailing Sharp here). This is something I never would have thought of, but his writeup made perfect sense(dome, two strong legs, etc).
If Gronk is a non factor like I think he is gonna be, I think the Giants focus on Hernandez leaving Welker to roam around underneath so OVER 7 receptions and OVER 80.5 yards.
Over 12 yards for Beckum. He has become a target for Eli the last few games. I think I quick hit over the middle wins this prop.
Good luck to all and I hope everyone finds a way to finish the season on a strong note!