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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NFL picks
dplewis34 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
dplewis34
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#26
Posted: 9/3/2013 8:45:01 PM
2012:
Detroit- won spread against Chicago in week 7
Kansas City- won spread against Denver in week 12

2011:
Cleveland- won against spread against Cincy in week 12
Minnesota- won against spread against Green Bay in week 7
St Louis- won against spread against SF in week 17

2010:
Washington- won against spread & ML against Dallas week 1
Detroit- won against spread against Chicago in week 1
St Louis- won against spread & ML against Seattle in week 4

I would be happy to compare stats with anybody. I like the feedback, anybody who has tried to come up with a system knows it takes many, many hours looking at a computer screen so errors could happen.

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breezeyo
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#27
Posted: 9/3/2013 8:56:21 PM
He was only looking at the ML
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#28
Posted: 9/3/2013 8:58:29 PM
Wow, I'm a moron forgot about the spread. My humble apologies I'll go crawl in my hole now!  
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#29
Posted: 9/4/2013 5:27:46 PM
Lol no problem.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#30
Posted: 9/11/2013 10:14:04 PM
Week 1 bets (14-7-1)

System 11: 
Minnesota +4.5 (A bet) LOSS
Chicago ML (A bet) WIN
Cincinnati +3 (A bet) PUSH
Green Bay +4.5 (A bet) LOSS
San Francisco ML (A bet) WIN
Seattle ML (A bet) WIN
Indianapolis ML (A bet) WIN
New England ML (A bet) WIN
Washington ML (A bet) LOSS
Houston ML (A bet) WIN

System 12:
New England ML (A bet) WIN
Buffalo +9.5 (A bet) WIN
Minnesota +4.5 (A bet) LOSS
Detroit ML (A bet) WIN
Atlanta +3 (A bet) LOSS
New Orleans ML (A bet) WIN
Arizona +4.5 (A bet) WIN
St Louis ML (A bet) WIN
NY Giants +3.5 (A bet) LOSS
Dallas ML (A bet) WIN
Philadelphia +3 (A bet) WIN
Washington ML (A bet) LOSS

I should have bought .5 points on the Cincy game but I am not worried, they are a good team and will win soon.


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#31
Posted: 9/11/2013 11:25:57 PM
System 11: 
A- 6-3
B- 0-0
C- 0-0
4 systems pending

System 12:
A- 8-4
B- 0-0
C- 0-0
4 systems pending

Week 2 Bets:
System 9:
Baltimore (A) ML
Denver (A) ML
Green Bay (A) ML
San Francisco (A) +2.5
Dallas (A) +3
Giants (A) +4.5
Philly (A) ML
Washington (A) +7.5

System 10:
Cleveland (A) +6.5
Giants (A) +4.5
Washington (A) +7.5
Seattle (A) ML
Kansas City (A) ML
Denver (A) ML
San Diego (A) +7
Green Bay (A) ML

System 11:
Minnesota (B) +6
Cincinnati (A) ML
Green Bay (B) ML

System 12:
Baltimore (A) ML
Cleveland (A) +6.5
Cincy (A) ML
Pittsburgh (A) +7.5
Houston (A) ML
Tennessee (A) +9
Chicago (A) ML
Minnesota (B) +6
Tampa Bay (A) +3.5
San Francisco (A) +2.5
Seattle (A) ML
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#32
Posted: 9/11/2013 11:32:20 PM
I forgot to add that if you played all the games in the 1st week you would be +3 units.
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#33
Posted: 9/11/2013 11:34:51 PM
And I also forgot to add another play

System 12:
NY Jets (A) +11.5
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#34
Posted: 9/18/2013 11:13:12 PM
Week 2 Bets: (20-12)
System 9: (3-5)
Baltimore (A) (ML) LOSS
Denver (A) (ML) WIN
Green Bay (A) (ML) WIN
San Francisco (A) (+2.5) LOSS
Dallas (A) (+3) WIN
Giants (A) (+4.5) LOSS
Philly (A) (ML) LOSS
Washington (A) (+7.5) LOSS

System 10: (5-3)
Cleveland (A) (+6.5) LOSS
Giants (A) (+4.5) LOSS
Washington (A) (+7.5) LOSS
Seattle (A) (ML) WIN
Kansas City (A) (ML) WIN
Denver (A) (ML) WIN
San Diego (A) (+7) WIN
Green Bay (A) (ML) WIN

System 11: (3-1)
Minnesota (B) (+6) WIN
Cincinnati (A) (ML) WIN
Green Bay (B) (ML) WIN
Washington (B) (+7.5) LOSS (i forgot to put this in the previous thread)

System 12: (9-3)
Baltimore (A) (ML) WIN
Cleveland (A) (+6.5) LOSS
Cincy (A) (ML) WIN
Pittsburgh (A) (+7.5) LOSS
Houston (A) (ML) WIN
Tennessee (A) (+9) WIN
Chicago (A) (ML) WIN
Minnesota (B) (+6) WIN
Tampa Bay (A) (+3.5) WIN
San Francisco (A) (+2.5) LOSS
Seattle (A) (ML) WIN
NY Jets (A) (+11.5) WIN
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#35
Posted: 9/18/2013 11:32:38 PM
System 1:
A-
B-
C-

System 2:
A-
B-
C-

System 3:
A-
B-
C-

System 4:
A-
B-
C-

System 5:
A-
B-
C-

System 6:
A-
B-
C-

System 7:
A-
B-
C-

System 8:
A-
B-
C-

System 9:
A- 3-5
B-
C-
5 games pending

System 10:
A- 5-3
B-
C-
3 games pending

System 11: 9-0
A- 7-3
B- 2-1
C-
1 game pending

System 12 (division bets): 17-0
A- 16-7
B- 1-0
C-
15 teams still pending (some have not played a division game yet)

Total profit: 16 units
Plays will be posted next
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#36
Posted: 9/18/2013 11:50:38 PM
Week 3 bets:
System 9:
Philly (A) (ML)
Philly (B) (ML)

System 10:
Philly fade (A) +3

I will post the rest of them later
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#37
Posted: 9/21/2013 11:41:51 AM
Week 3 bets:
System 9:

San Francisco (B) (ML)
NY Giants (B) (ML)
Washington (B) (ML)
Minnesota (A) (ML)
Chicago (A) (ML)
San Diego (A) (+3)
Denver (A) (ML)
NY Giants (A) (ML)

System 10:
Baltimore fade (B) (ML)
Denver fade (B) (+15)
Green Bay fade (B) (+3)
Minnesota fade (A) (+7)
Chicago fade (A) (+2)
San Diego fade (A) (ML)
Denver fade (A) (+15)
NY Giants fade (A) (+1)

System 11:
Washington (C) (ML)

System 12:
Cleveland (B) (+7)
Denver (A) (ML)
Oakland (A) (+15)
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breezeyo
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#38
Posted: 9/23/2013 9:38:41 AM
How was Cleveland a System 12 bet?  I thought this was a division opponent system?
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#39
Posted: 9/25/2013 6:53:31 PM
Breezeyo, you are correct, that should not have been a play. 
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#40
Posted: 9/25/2013 8:13:07 PM
Week 3 bets: (8-14-2)
System 9: (2-7-2)

San Francisco (B) (ML) LOSS
NY Giants (B) (ML) LOSS
Washington (B) (ML) LOSS
Minnesota (A) (ML) LOSS
Chicago (A) (ML) WIN
San Diego (A) (+3) PUSH
Denver (A) (ML) WIN
NY Giants (A) (ML) LOSS
Philly (A) (ML) LOSS
Philly (B) (ML) LOSS

System 10: (4-5)
Baltimore fade (B) (ML) LOSS
Denver fade (B) (+15) LOSS
Green Bay fade (B) (+3) LOSS
Minnesota fade (A) (+7) WIN
Chicago fade (A) (+2) LOSS
San Diego fade (A) (ML) WIN
Denver fade (A) (+15) LOSS
NY Giants fade (A) (+1) WIN
Philly fade (A) (+3) WIN

System 11: (0-1)
Washington (C) (ML) LOSS

System 12: (2-1)
Cleveland (B) (+7) WIN
Denver (A) (ML) WIN
Oakland (A) (+15) LOSS

I again did not say to buy points on the +3 games that resulted in a Push. Some people might have gotten better lines on those games and  on the Denver/Oakland game. I am counting those as a Push and the Denver/Oakland game as a Loss.
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#41
Posted: 9/25/2013 8:43:42 PM

System 1:
A-
B-
C-

System 2:
A-
B-
C-

System 3:
A-
B-
C-

System 4:
A-
B-
C-

System 5:
A-
B-
C-

System 6:
A-
B-
C-

System 7:
A-
B-
C-

System 8:
A-
B-
C-

System 9:
A- 6-7
B- 0-4
C-
8 games pending

System 10:
A- 9-5
B-0-3
C-
5 games pending, all fade

System 11: 9-1 (total of -2.8 units)
A- 7-3
B- 2-1
C- 0-1
Completed

System 12 (division bets): 19-0
A- 17-8
B- 2-0
C-

13 teams still pending (some have not played a division game yet)


Total profit: -10.5 units

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#42
Posted: 9/25/2013 8:46:17 PM
Week 4 Bets:
System 9:
San Francisco (C) (ML)

I will post the rest of them later.
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breezeyo
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#43
Posted: 9/26/2013 12:10:38 PM
SF should also be a play under System 12.
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breezeyo
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#44
Posted: 9/26/2013 12:10:50 PM
SF should also be a play under System 12.
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#45
Posted: 9/26/2013 1:15:17 PM
You are correct, I was just getting ready to post that play as long with the rest of them. Thanks for reminding me.
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#46
Posted: 9/26/2013 1:35:29 PM
Week 4 Bets:
System 1:
NY Giants (A) (+4)
Jacksonville (A) (+8)
Pittsburgh (A) (ML)
Washington (A) (ML)

System 2:
NY Giants (A) (+4)

System 3:
NY Giants (fade) (A) (ML)

System 4:
Jacksonville (fade) (A) (ML)

System 7:
Denver (A) (ML)
Chicago (A) (+3.5)

System 8:
Denver (A) (Over 57.5)
Chicago (A) (Over 47.5)

System 9:
San Francisco (C) (ML)
NY Giants (C) (+4)
Philly (C) (+11)
Washington (C) (ML)
Minnesota (B) (+3.5)
Philly (B) (+11)
NY Giants (B) (+4)
Cincinnati (A) (ML)
Chicago (A) (+3.5)
Pittsburgh (A) (ML)
Jacksonville (A) (+8)
Seattle (A) (ML)

System 10:
Baltimore (fade) (C) (+3.5)
Denver (fade) (C) (+11)
Chicago (fade) (B) (ML)
Denver (fade) (B) (+11)
Cincinnati (fade) (A) (+4)
Chicago (fade) (A) (ML)
Pittsburgh (fade) (A) (+3.5)
Jacksonville (fade) (A) (ML)
Seattle (fade) (A) (+3.5)

System 12:
Jacksonville (A) (+8)
Indy (A) (ML)
Cleveland (A) (+4)
San Francisco (B) (ML)
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#47
Posted: 10/6/2013 10:40:26 AM
Week 4 Bets: 21-15
System 1: 3-1
NY Giants (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Jacksonville (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Pittsburgh (fade) (A) (+3.5) WIN
Washington (fade) (A) (+3.5) LOSS
System 1 should have been fading these teams, my apologies on the confusion.

System 2: 0-1
NY Giants (A) (+4) LOSS

System 3: 1-0
NY Giants (fade) (A) (ML) WIN

System 4: 1-0
Jacksonville (fade) (A) (ML) WIN

System 7: 1-1
Denver (A) (ML) WIN
Chicago (A) (+3.5) LOSS

System 8: 2-0
Denver (A) (Over 57.5) WIN
Chicago (A) (Over 47.5) WIN

System 9: 4-8
San Francisco (C) (ML) WIN
NY Giants (C) (+4) LOSS
Philly (C) (+11) LOSS
Washington (C) (ML) WIN
Minnesota (B) (+3.5) WIN
Philly (B) (+11) LOSS
NY Giants (B) (+4) LOSS
Cincinnati (A) (ML) LOSS
Chicago (A) (+3.5) LOSS
Pittsburgh (A) (ML) LOSS
Jacksonville (A) (+8) LOSS
Seattle (A) (ML) WIN

System 10: 6-3
Baltimore (fade) (C) (+3.5) WIN
Denver (fade) (C) (+11) LOSS
Chicago (fade) (B) (ML)  WIN
Denver (fade) (B) (+11) LOSS
Cincinnati (fade) (A) (+4) WIN
Chicago (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Pittsburgh (fade) (A) (+3.5) WIN
Jacksonville (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Seattle (fade) (A) (+3.5) LOSS

System 12: 3-1
Jacksonville (A) (+8) LOSS
Indy (A) (ML) WIN
Cleveland (A) (+4) WIN
San Francisco (B) (ML) WIN
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#48
Posted: 10/6/2013 10:49:58 AM

System 1:
A-3-1
B-
C-

System 2:
A-0-1
B-
C-

System 3:
A-1-0
B-
C-

System 4:
A-1-0
B-
C-

System 5:
A-
B-
C-

System 6:
A-
B-
C-

System 7:
A-1-1
B-
C-

System 8:
A-1-0
B-
C-

System 9:
A- 7-11
B- 1-6
C-2-2

System 10:
A- 13-6
B-1-4
C-1-1

System 11: 9-1 (-2.8 units)
A- 7-3
B- 2-1
C- 0-1

System 12: 22-0
A- 19-1
B- 3-0
C-

Total Profit -12 units

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#49
Posted: 10/6/2013 10:59:00 AM
Week 5 Bets:
System 1:
Philly (fade) (A) (ML)
St Louis (fade) (A) (+11)

System 2:
NY Giants (B) (ML)

System 7:
Chicago (B) (ML)

System 9:
Green Bay (A) (ML)
Chicago (B) (ML)
Jacksonville (B) (+11)
Philly (C) (+2)
NY Giants (C) (ML)
Chicago (A) (ML)
Detroit (A) (+7.5)
Philly (A) (+2)
Denver (A) (ML)

System 10:
Green Bay (fade) (A) (+7.5)
Seattle (fade) (B) (+3.5)
Denver (fade) (C) (+7.5)
Cincinnati (fade) (B) (ML)
Chicago (fade) (A) (ML)
Detroit (fade) (A) (ML)
Philly (fade) (A) (ML)
Denver (fade) (A) (ML)

System 12:
Oakland (B) (+4)
San Diego (A) (ML)
NY Giants (B) (ML)
Green Bay (A) (ML)
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#50
Posted: 10/10/2013 7:55:09 PM
Week 5 Bets: 11-14
System 1: 0-2
Philly (fade) (A) (ML) LOSS
St Louis (fade) (A) (+11) LOSS

System 2: 0-1
NY Giants (B) (ML) LOSS

System 7: 0-1
Chicago (B) (ML) LOSS

System 9: 4-5
Green Bay (A) (ML) WIN
Chicago (B) (ML) LOSS
Jacksonville (B) (+11) LOSS
Philly (C) (+2) WIN
NY Giants (C) (ML) LOSS
Chicago (A) (ML) LOSS
Detroit (A) (+7.5) LOSS
Philly (A) (+2) WIN
Denver (A) (ML) WIN

System 10: 5-3
Green Bay (fade) (A) (+7.5) LOSS
Seattle (fade) (B) (+3.5) WIN
Denver (fade) (C) (+7.5) WIN
Cincinnati (fade) (B) (ML) LOSS
Chicago (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Detroit (fade) (A) (ML) WIN
Philly (fade) (A) (ML) LOSS
Denver (fade) (A) (+7.5) WIN 

System 12: 2-2
Oakland (B) (+4) WIN
San Diego (A) (ML) LOSS
NY Giants (B) (ML) LOSS
Green Bay (A) (ML) WIN
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