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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: 10/03 NFL - Ray Rice starting? Ravens win straight-up! Love several road dogs today.
HappyKane
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#1
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:14:59 AM
Week 1 1-5 -$909
Week 2 8-1 +$1,466
Week 3 5-3 +$1,168

10 units 1-0 *** GAME OF THE MONTH ***
1-9 units 13-9 *** FLAT BETTING IS GOOD FOR BEGINNERS  ***
YTD +$1725

With Ray Rice being upgraded to probable, i like the Ravens to win straight-up. Flacco is as average as any flyback can be with an average offense. At this point, you can say that the Ravens offense is mediocre, being ranked 17th in the league. That number is about to go up as Anquan Boldin and Todd Heap will find some success against a Steelers pass defense that is not very good this season. On the other side you have a former Lions QB and Hines Ward and Mike Wallace going against the toughest pass defense in the league. And they don't even have the services of Ed Reed yet.

I see lots of road dogs covering the spread this weekend. And there will always be 2-3 home teams that will win in blow-out fashion.

Be back later with the wagers.

Mojo stuff below. Looks like a good day to fade Seneca Wallace and the woeful Browns offense. Carson Palmer has been awful and yet the Bengals are finding ways to win and cover spreads.
quote
HappyKane
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#2
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:16:04 AM
NYJ: C+Mark Sanchez good    C-Shonn Greene ^SUtJU _MEsNE _VEsME _MAsME    B-LaDainian Tomlinson _MEsSU    B/C-Braylon Edwards $$$$$
BUF: A+Ryan Fitzpatrick fair    B+/C-Marshawn Lynch good    B+Fred Jackson fair    A+Roscoe Parrish good
LEAN: Bills +5

CIN: C-Carson Palmer good    B-Cedric Benson ^ME*JU $$ lucky    B-/C+Chad Ochocinco $    C-Terrell Owens ^SUtJU good
CLE: C-Seneca Wallace _MEsVE _MAsSU    A+Peyton Hillis maybe    B-Josh Cribbs $    C+Benjamin Watson $$$$$ good

BAL: B+Joe Flacco good    A+Ray Rice fair    C-Willis McGahee maybe    A+Anquan Boldin ^SUcSU maybe    B+Todd Heap $ lucky
PIT: BCharlie Batch ^SU*NE good    C-Rashard Mendenhall ^SUtVE $    C+Isaac Redman _MEsNE    C+Hines Ward ^SUcPL good    C-Mike Wallace good
LEAN: Over 34.5, PICK: Ravens +2.5

DEN: C-Kyle Orton fair    A+Correll Buckhalter maybe    C+Brandon Lloyd $$$$$ good    B-Jabar Gaffney no align
TEN: B-Vince Young $$$$    BChris Johnson ^ ^MEcME _MEsNE    B+Nate Washington $$ lucky    B/C-Justin Gage ^ ^SUcJU ^SUcSA maybe
quote
HappyKane
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#3
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:16:22 AM
DET: B+Shaun Hill no align    B-Maurice Morris maybe    B+Calvin Johnson _MEsNE    C-Brandon Pettigrew maybe
GB: AAaron Rodgers ^SU*SU _     B+Brandon Jackson _MEsNE _    B+Greg Jennings $$$ lucky    C-Jermichael Finley $ lucky

SF: A/B+Alex Smith _MEsNE _VEcSA    A-Frank Gore $$$    B+Michael Crabtree ^SUcME maybe    B-Vernon Davis ^SUtSU _MEsNE
ATL: B+Matt Ryan good    C-Michael Turner $$ lucky    A+Roddy White $$$ lucky    B+Tony Gonzalez ^SUcPL _MAsME

CAR: C-Jimmy Clausen no align    C-DeAngelo Williams ^SU*JU ??    C-Steve Smith maybe    B-Dante Rosario ^SU*UR _
NO: C-Drew Brees good    B-/C-Pierre Thomas ^SUtVE _MEsNE    B/C-Marques Colston $$    B+Jeremy Shockey maybe
LEAN: Saints -13.5

SEA: C+Matt Hasselbeck maybe    C-Julius Jones maybe    B-Deion Branch fair    B+John Carlson _MEsNE _VEoVE _ _
STL: C-Sam Bradford no align    A/B+Kenneth Darby ^ME*JU _VEsMA _MAsMA    C-Mark Clayton good    C-Danny Amendola fair
PICK: Seahawks -1
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#4
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:16:38 AM
you didn't mention Mendenhall.
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HappyKane
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#5
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:16:45 AM
IND: A+Peyton Manning ^SUcPL good    C+Joseph Addai _    C+Reggie Wayne ^SU*MA good    C+Austin Collie ^SUtJU good    B+Dallas Clark ^MEtVE maybe
JAC: B+David Garrard $ lucky    B/C-Maurice Jones-Drew fair    B-Mike Thomas maybe    C-Marcedes Lewis _MEsNE _

HOU: C-Matt Schaub $$    C-Arian Foster maybe    B+Kevin Walter _MAsSU    C+Owen Daniels fair
OAK: B-Bruce Gradkowski $    C-Darren McFadden maybe    B-Louis Murphy $ lucky    C+Zach Miller ^ME*ME ^SU*VE maybe

WAS: C-Donovan McNabb maybe    C-Clinton Portis good    C-Santana Moss ^SUtSU _MAoMA    A+Chris Cooley maybe
PHI: C-Michael Vick no align    B/C+LeSean McCoy _MEsME _MEoMA    C-DeSean Jackson good    B-Brent Celek fair

ARI: B-Derek Anderson $$$    C-Tim Hightower no align    B+Larry Fitzgerald ^SU*MA $$$    C-Ben Patrick ^SU*UR _
SD: C-Philip Rivers good    CRyan Mathews maybe    C-Malcom Floyd fair    A+Antonio Gates $ lucky
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HappyKane
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#6
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:17:19 AM
CHI: C-Jay Cutler $    C+Matt Forte _MAsJU    C-Chester Taylor maybe    C-Johnny Knox good    B+Devin Hester fair    CGreg Olsen _    A+Brandon Manumaleuna
NYG: A+Eli Manning ^SUcJU ^SUcSA good    C-Ahmad Bradshaw ^SU*SA $$    CBrandon Jacobs maybe    B-/C-Hakeem Nicks $$$$    B-Steve Smith _    C+Kevin Boss _MEsME _MEsNE _    A+Travis Beckum no align

Bears O-Line:

LTB+Frank Omiyale, LGC-Roberto Garza, CC+Olin Kreutz, RGC+Lance Louis, RTC-Kevin Shaffer

Bears defense:

DEC+Israel Idonije, DTC-Tommie Harris, DTA+Anthony Adams, DEC-Julius Peppers

LBAPisa Tinoisamoa, LBB-Brian Urlacher, LBC-Lance Briggs

CBATim Jennings, SSB+Danieal Manning, FSB+Chris Harris, CBB+Charles Tillman

Giants O-Line:

LTB+David Diehl, LGC+Rich Seubert, CD-Adam Koets, RGC-Chris Snee, RTA+Kareem McKenzie

Giants defense:

DECJustin Tuck, DTB/C-Barry Cofield, DTC+Chris Canty, DEC-Osi Umenyiora or C-Mathias Kiwanuka

LBB-Clint Sintim, LBCJonathan Goff, LBB+Michael Boley

CBBCorey Webster, SSB-Kenny Phillips, FSC+Antrel Rolle, CBC-Terrell Thomas
quote
HappyKane
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#7
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:17:37 AM
NE: C-Tom Brady ^SU*SU ^SUtMA _MEsVE    B+BenJarvus Green-Ellis maybe    BSammy Morris ^ ^ _ _    B+Randy Moss _ _    C+Wes Welker $$ lucky    C+Aaron Hernandez _MEsVE
MIA: B+Chad Henne maybe    CRonnie Brown fair    B-Ricky Williams ^SUtJU ^SU*SA _VEsSA    B+Brandon Marshall good    C-Davone Bess _MEsNE    B+Anthony Fasano _VEcSA

Patriots O-Line:

LTB-Matt Light, LGB/C+Dan Connolly, CB+Dan Koppen, RGB-Stephen Neal, RTB-Sebastian Vollmer

Patriots defense:

DEA+Gerard Warren, NTA+Vince Wilfork, DEB-Ron Brace

LBB-Rob Ninkovich, LBB-/C+Jerod Mayo, LBB-Brandon Spikes, LBB/C+Tully Banta-Cain

CBB/C+Devin McCourty, SSC+James Sanders, FSC+Pat Chung, CBB+Kyle Arrington

Dolphins O-Line:

LTA+Jake Long, LGC-Richie Incognito, CC+Joe Berger, RGC-Pat McQuistan, RTC+Vernon Carey

Dolphins defense:

DEBKendall Langford, NTBPaul Soliai, DEC-Randy Starks

LBB-Koa Misi, LBC-Bobby Carpenter, LBA+Karlos Dansby, LBA+Cameron Wake

CBCVontae Davis, SSCYeremiah Bell, FSC-Chris Clemons, CBC-Jason Allen
quote
HappyKane
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#8
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:18:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jerseyboy89:

you didn't mention Mendenhall.


Rashard will be fine, i think.

As will be Troy Polamalu's hair.
quote
HappyKane
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#9
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:46:08 AM
108/100 Bills +6 -108
130/100 Bengals -1.5 -130
355/357 Ravens +2.5 +103, -105
115/100 Broncos +6.5 -115
120/100 Seahawks -1 -120
115/100 Raiders +3.5 -115
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#10
Posted: 10/3/2010 6:58:41 AM
hate ravens
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#11
Posted: 10/3/2010 7:30:57 AM
GL HK
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#12
Posted: 10/3/2010 7:46:43 AM
I like it.  Nice start Kane
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#13
Posted: 10/3/2010 7:52:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HappyKane:

108/100 Bills +6 -108
130/100 Bengals -1.5 -130
355/357 Ravens +2.5 +103, -105
115/100 Broncos +6.5 -115
120/100 Seahawks -1 -120
115/100 Raiders +3.5 -115


I'm on the other side of all of your plays except for Raiders

The PIT -2.5 line has me very puzzled.  Sure Rice will play, but it's his first game back against the stingiest run defense at their house.  I cannot predict a great game from him.  He will help sure, but now all of a sudden BAL is a better team than PIT?  That's really hard for me to swallow.  Sure Batch is a former Lion, but what does that matter?  He is playing really good football.  As for SEA/STL, well I'm starting to drink the Bradford koolaid - he's a smart guy, and playing very well.

BOL
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HappyKane
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#14
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:04:10 AM
Another way to put it is Batch is just an average QB, in which case his numbers will most likely regress in terms of QB rating. He's having success because he's NOT playing for the Lions. Or are we really watching Batch in his prime?

Flacco is average [or slightly above average] but this year is different because he has 2 outlets where he can just toss the ball down the field and Boldin and TJ have the skills to win jump-balls. Boldin is an awful matchup for the Steelers defensive backs.

According to my mojo charts, the addition of Ray Rice improves the Ravens' team mojo tremendously. McGahee can't ever be successful as the main back. Ray Rice makes the team much better.

Sam Bradford will have much more success Clausen and/or McCoy. If Seattle had to cross another time-zone, i'd be a lil wary of the situation. Seattle just own the Rams and i see a great spot for 'em to pick up another win.
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#15
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:05:29 AM
Ravens


Steelers by 400
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HappyKane
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#16
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:07:37 AM
If Jake Delhomme starts...

CIN: C-Carson Palmer good    B-Cedric Benson ^ME*JU $$ lucky    B-/C+Chad Ochocinco $    C-Terrell Owens ^SUtJU good
CLE: B+Jake Delhomme ^SU&NE good    A+Peyton Hillis maybe    B-Josh Cribbs $    C+Benjamin Watson $$$$$ good

I may put $150 on the Browns and make it like i never played the Bengals.
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#17
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:33:28 AM
Quoth the Raven nevermore.....
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#18
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:40:09 AM
GL
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#19
Posted: 10/3/2010 8:52:56 AM
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HappyKane
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#20
Posted: 10/3/2010 3:36:18 PM
Adding:

236/200 Washington Redskins +5.5 -118
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#21
Posted: 10/3/2010 3:37:34 PM
Stay thirsty
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HappyKane
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#22
Posted: 10/3/2010 4:06:09 PM
Hate the Ravens now. Hate the Ravens later.

Most road teams kickin' behind against the spread today.
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HappyKane
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#23
Posted: 10/3/2010 7:58:01 PM
Sunday night:

122/100 Bears +4 -122
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#24
Posted: 10/3/2010 7:59:39 PM
gl bud
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