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Author:	[NFL Betting] Topic: DON JUAN makes his legendary SUPERBOWL PICK, record 11-1
duongtommy	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 348 Location: Pennsylvania	#51 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:55:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Keylow: Hey don why did they lose to the rams...? go home ask your mom
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mrquija27	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: betED.com \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 2333 Location: Michigan	#52 Posted: 2/1/2013 8:27:07 AM Wow no wonder he dont come on here. You guys are annoying as hell. If you guys dont comprehend why they lost to the Rams and Seattle then do yourself a favor and QUIT gambling now. My goodness what is San Fran suppose to go 16-0 now? Why did Baltimore lose to Pitt lead by Batch at home!!!!??? Thats a better question and I will answer with one word. DIVISION If you still dont understand just leave.
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NONEED4LUCK	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 18029 Location: Germany	#53 Posted: 2/1/2013 8:31:07 AM Good luck.
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Area51	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2009 Posts: 707 Location: Texas	#54 Posted: 2/1/2013 9:05:58 AM BOL on other side catching +4.5 when the line came out. I do think you have made some good points and I think it will be close. If I was playing SF I would buy the hook or ML. Good Luck
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ROVIN56	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 2072 Location: Florida	#55 Posted: 2/1/2013 9:29:58 AM class act .... over-rides any confusion with the avatar (Anita Bryant or Jimi?? ).......... thinking you are right ON the money....taking the teaser route myself as the kicking game of S.F. may come back to haunt.....
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Crusher13	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 2727 Location: Texas	#56 Posted: 2/1/2013 10:08:33 AM DJ, fantastic writeup focusing on CK angle, something totally different in Super Bowls past. I totally concur as you described. Cowboys RAN the ball right down the Ravens throat and I see 49ers trying to do the same. I agree the total is about right except for the turnovers aspect I easily envision this game a slugfest and battle of running wills like you said Good luck and keep your winning streak alive
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croyal1964	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 1225 Location:	#57 Posted: 2/1/2013 10:38:14 AM agree with ya Don, these guys talk about balty D in last 2 games but those QBs have NO mobile abilty at all. Coach Jim will have this Balty D guessing which way ball will be going it might take part of game but in the end i believe SF will pull away in 4th Q and not look back. GL all
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Raidernator76	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Dec 2003 Posts: 16109 Location: United States	#58 Posted: 2/1/2013 11:44:01 AM ive been waiting to see if you were going to show up. i remember you don
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Vapor9	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Nov 2012 Posts: 344 Location: Ghana	#59 Posted: 2/1/2013 12:00:31 PM DJ - I agree with SF. I think this will be a close low scoring first half with the Niners opening a can 'o woop behind in the 2nd half. Watch James run for 60, Gore and Crabtree to spread the old Balty D, and the Niners pressuring Flaccco in the pocket to not allow the deep ball. Niners by 10.
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gamblerluke	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 71 Location:	#60 Posted: 2/1/2013 12:13:22 PM [Quote: Originally Posted by duongtommy] go home ask your mom Why did 49ers lose to rams in the 1989 season? 49ers will win big!
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sfg8	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Nov 2012 Posts: 135 Location:	#61 Posted: 2/1/2013 4:27:52 PM DJ, thxs for sharing your breakdown of the gme. i liked the 9ers before your write up now more confien than ever...your analysis was very similar to mine...9ers too much speed with too man players in their prime...like u state 9 PRO BOWLERS too....bol will look for u nxt yr. GO NINERS!!!
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PJay24	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Feb 2013 Posts: 60 Location:	#62 Posted: 2/1/2013 4:36:42 PM GL Don with you on the niners. 34-17
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CC12	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2013 Posts: 91 Location: California	#63 Posted: 2/1/2013 5:22:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mrquija27: Wow no wonder he dont come on here. You guys are annoying as hell. If you guys dont comprehend why they lost to the Rams and Seattle then do yourself a favor and QUIT gambling now. My goodness what is San Fran suppose to go 16-0 now? Why did Baltimore lose to Pitt lead by Batch at home!!!!??? Thats a better question and I will answer with one word. DIVISION If you still dont understand just leave. i think everyone agrees that most Divisional games are tough games. But Super Bowl game is even tougher, no ? We were simply pointing out that Niners and CK are not invincible like some of the homers think. if Ck can have a "let down game after an emotional win or simply lost because it was his first-away-divisional-game" (Don's words), then isn't it possible for him to under-achieve in the SB ? As great as CK may be, some of us are not ready to crown him Champ, yet. Same reason Flacco has performed admirably in this playoff but yet have not earned the 'elite' level. I do not care who wins... I only care about who has better chance to cover the spread. best of luck
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Hypnos2004	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Stations \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2005 Posts: 3342 Location: California	#64 Posted: 2/1/2013 5:25:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mrquija27: Wow no wonder he dont come on here. You guys are annoying as hell. If you guys dont comprehend why they lost to the Rams and Seattle then do yourself a favor and QUIT gambling now. My goodness what is San Fran suppose to go 16-0 now? Why did Baltimore lose to Pitt lead by Batch at home!!!!??? Thats a better question and I will answer with one word. DIVISION If you still dont understand just leave. well said. good luck Mr. Juan
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DaBestEver24	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 1697 Location: Hawaii	#65 Posted: 2/1/2013 5:29:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CC12: i think everyone agrees that most Divisional games are tough games. But Super Bowl game is even tougher, no ? We were simply pointing out that Niners and CK are not invincible like some of the homers think. if Ck can have a "let down game after an emotional win or simply lost because it was his first-away-divisional-game" (Don's words), then isn't it possible for him to under-achieve in the SB ? As great as CK may be, some of us are not ready to crown him Champ, yet. Same reason Flacco has performed admirably in this playoff but yet have not earned the 'elite' level. I do not care who wins... I only care about who has better chance to cover the spread. best of luck ravens backers r using the ole "kaep will fold" tactic that gb and atl backers used. He hasnt. If anything flucco is more likely to fold than kaep. Flucco had the lowest qb rating in history this year.
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EDDIEW	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 2386 Location:	#66 Posted: 2/1/2013 5:53:17 PM beat brady beat manning beat luck.....I'll take BALT TO THE BANK
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Hypnos2004	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Stations \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2005 Posts: 3342 Location: California	#67 Posted: 2/1/2013 6:26:09 PM how many times have we seen joe flacco look like joe montana one week and then come back the next game and look like a bumbling stooge? too many for me to count.
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#68 Posted: 2/1/2013 6:28:05 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Hypnos2004: how many times have we seen joe flacco look like joe montana one week and then come back the next game and look like a bumbling stooge? too many for me to count. EXACTLY. It's all about Joe Flacco's effectiveness, IMO. I don't see Rice having anything more than an average game. But Flacco is unpredictable, great one game, terrible another.
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#69 Posted: 2/1/2013 6:28:32 PM The key to Flacco is whether or not you can get pressure on him, IMO. When he's pressured he sucks, and vice-versa.
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gamblerluke	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 71 Location:	#70 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:00:48 PM Ravens beat broncos? Broncos record against winning teams were not that good. Manning throws were way off target because of surgery. Cold weather affect him that day. Ask a nuero surgeon. Patriots? Either Welker sucks in big games or getting paid to drop balls. Kapernick is very accurate with throws. 49ers will not drop balls. 49ers win big. will not be close game
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don juan	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2001 Posts: 3581 Location: Florida	#71 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:31:25 PM Thanks you all for all your nice comments... CC12.. No, I don't think it's tougher to choose a SB winner. The game is much more evenly matched.. No home field partiality. Two weeks for everyone to get healthy. Coaches have more thime to prepare. And no weather issues in this case. Just a pure chess match. I love it. Next year it will be much harder because it's outdoors. Those little town blues keep slipping away.
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BadGnOmens	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2012 Posts: 1009 Location: Massachusetts	#72 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:31:57 PM You may be right in the end.... But your write up smelled like a rant on a San Fran sports talk show in the last week, maybe that is your profession You say Baltimore should "run the ball up the gut" and hope for turnovers correct? What was the halftime score of the Atlanta game? Exactly! Atlanta showed the blue print for large wide Ravens to run right down the field and backs + tightends expose deep middle..... Niners deserve all the credit in the world but apart from 1 matt Ryan dropped snap and another interception, that game was a convincing Atlanta win.......Go back and look! They missed 3 +30 yard line trips in the second half and only lost by 4! Not saying niners D doesn't deserve alot of the credit but to think Baltimore would be afraid of the deep ball...... Like I said at the beginning, you may be right in the end But just because you can do nothing but foam at the mouth for daddylonglegs and Co. does not make for a convincing write up...... BOL
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cmod123	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sports Interaction \|
Rookie Joined: May 2011 Posts: 913 Location: Newfoundland	#73 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:32:37 PM Great write up Don! Much appreciated insight. Bol with your pick!
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BadGnOmens	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2012 Posts: 1009 Location: Massachusetts	#74 Posted: 2/1/2013 7:35:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by budwiser: EXACTLY. It's all about Joe Flacco's effectiveness, IMO. I don't see Rice having anything more than an average game. But Flacco is unpredictable, great one game, terrible another. You guys know he is not "off and on" in the playoff's last 2 years right??? Dude should have been in SB last year and is having an alltime playoff run..... Rubbing shoulders with Montana and Young I believe for that TD-INT ration for a playoff runDude is not breathing the same air as all the haters........
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theclaw	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2008 Posts: 1863 Location:	#75 Posted: 2/1/2013 8:55:34 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Hypnos2004: how many times have we seen joe flacco look like joe montana one week and then come back the next game and look like a bumbling stooge? too many for me to count. Past 7 playoff games, Flacco has 15 TD's to 2 int's. That is all-time great, not exactly on one game and off the next.
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