Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14
dallasm PM dallasm
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quote#526
Posted: 3/20/2014 3:15:26 AM
Monday results: La loses on the C game.

Tuesday: No games qualify
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#527
Posted: 3/20/2014 11:31:03 AM

Looking back over the results from when I was out is ugly. Way too many losses on this system. I think at this point we call it and save bankroll for baseball.

If anyone wants the possible remaining plays for the season let me know and I will post them on here, but I'm personally done with this system.

TheBeefMan PM TheBeefMan
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quote#528
Posted: 3/20/2014 2:03:51 PM
I've personally been chasing teams that have a winning percentage of over .530 and are starting a home stand. Basically this system but ignoring the -130 rule. It's still ugly, but not as bad. The breakdown:

53-5
A. 42-16
B. 10-6
C. 1-5

As you can see, the winning percentage is actually pretty good. The C games are what's holding it back - but those are bound to catch up soon.

If like the plays for the rest of the year if you don't mind Dan.
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Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#529
Posted: 3/20/2014 2:22:54 PM

Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

  • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
  • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
  • Calgary 3/24
  • Van 3/25, 5 games
  • Florida 3/25
  • STL 3/27, 5 games
  • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
  • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
  • LA 3/29
  • Detroit 3/30
  • Anaheim 3/31
  • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
  • SJ 4/1
  • Florida 4/4, 5 games
  • Columbus 4/4
  • NYR 4/5
  • Edm 4/6, 4 games
  • Minn 4/8
  • Pitt 4/9

Good luck.

Goodsy PM Goodsy
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quote#530
Posted: 3/20/2014 4:39:20 PM
Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

I like the look of ur results.

Results have been tough lately..
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TheBeefMan PM TheBeefMan
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quote#531
Posted: 3/20/2014 8:53:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Goodsy:

Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

I like the look of ur results.

Results have been tough lately..

No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 
Goodsy PM Goodsy
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quote#532
Posted: 3/20/2014 9:50:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheBeefMan:


No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 

I got tired of the juice and switched from ML to regulation win... you will get the extra ABorC loss.. but overall it has been working out better with the friendlier odds.. 

I just figured that a loss is a loss ML or regulation.. when I go to OT I often lose anyways.. so got jack of it and just started on the regulation win.. I labby it as well, mix of aggressive and standard..the more favourable odds I come out ahead.

I feel more comfortable with homes teams.. 

I bet on strong home teams and fade weak away teams. 

Ducks have been pissing me off lately with 2 series (3 games each) home losses just before and after break.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#533
Posted: 3/27/2014 2:04:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

  • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
  • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
  • Calgary 3/24
  • Van 3/25, 5 games
  • Florida 3/25
  • STL 3/27, 5 games
  • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
  • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
  • LA 3/29
  • Detroit 3/30
  • Anaheim 3/31
  • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
  • SJ 4/1
  • Florida 4/4, 5 games
  • Columbus 4/4
  • NYR 4/5
  • Edm 4/6, 4 games
  • Minn 4/8
  • Pitt 4/9

Good luck.

For those still following this, I made an error on the above post. Van on 3/25 should have been 3/29, 5 game homestand.

Chicago won on the double dip A game and were done. Pitt won on the A game on 3/22, did not qualify for double dip. Cgy and Fla did not qualify for their games, which brings us to STL today.

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