Posted: 11/25/2013 7:05:36 AM
Originally Posted by System_Grind3r
What is the juice at 6 and 6.5 roughly? My book does not offer other lines. In the future next season I will have to look at getting a book that does those lines so I can play this system. Just going to wait and see how your back test turns out before playing it. When you said it was down 50 units and I seen CHI with like 6 straight overs it scared me a little. Will be hard to do a filtered back test.
My regular book doesn't have them either, I had to open a 5dimes account to do it. If you play this as a straight chase, it looks to lose, but doing it as Dan does, it wins.
The juice on 6/6.5 is around-180 to almost -300. However the win rate is about 65 to 70 percentage.
I made an automated spreadsheet that gives me per team how well they do for each play. I'm using that as a tool for wager size. Example, if Phoenix has a W/R ratio of 37.5% playing under 5.5 (it does), and they lose...I'm not going to chase Phoenix..I'll put their loss on a Carolina play as they are under 5.5 @ 78.5%.