Posted: 10/5/2012 10:28:44 PM
Army +7 - I don't know how Army lost to Stony Brook last week but I'm hoping they bounce back with a good effort at home vs BC. Army played Wake and Northern Illinois tough in losses so I don't think they are that bad despite the loss to SB. BC is 1-3 ats. They have played tough opponents like Northwestern and Clemson last 2 weeks so they might not really be up for this game.
Kentucky +10 - I don't think Kentucky is as bad as their 1-4 record. They lost to South Carolina, Florida and Louisville which was expected. They lost to Western Kentucky on road in overtime but WK is a pretty good team at 4-1. Kentucky did blow out Kent St and KS is actually decent. On the other hand, I don't think Miss St is as good as their 4-0 record. The Auburn win was nice but other than that they haven't played anyone. In their only road game they only beat Troy by 7 and were outgained by 115 yards. They have a good D but I don't think it's as good as it was last year.
Eastern Michigan +3 - Eastern Michigan is winless but they've played a pretty tough schedule. They didn't get up for Illinois St and lost but the other 3 were road games at Ball St at Purdue and at Mich St. And in their last game they only lost to MSU 23-7 and it was pretty close until the in so they seem to still be playing hard. KSU has had 2 big wins in a row including an emotional 45-43 win over Ball St and could have a letdown here.
Akron +4.5 - I watched some of Akron's game vs Miami of Ohio last week and while their defense was brutal they did rack up 629 yards of offense. I'm still not sold on Bowling Green. Their only wins are against Idaho and Rhode Island.
Central Michigan +11.5 - Toledo has been impressive so far but I see this as a potential let down spot for them after their big win at Western Michigan last week.
Marshall +4 - Marshall's QB Cato leads the nation in passing. I'm starting to think this team is pretty good despite the 2-3 record. They lost at West Virginia and at Purdue and a close loss at home to Ohio. Last week at Purdue they outgained Purdue despite the 10 point loss. Tulsa is 0-2 ats on road.