Posted: 12/13/2013 2:06:10 PM
Ya know what ??
somebody said the other day (or maybe today on another thread) that the Caps worried them..
For good reason !!!
Here are a few facts about Washington..
He has points in 21 of the 29 games in which he's appeared..That's goals , assists or both..The team's record in those games (where he's gotten at least one point) is 6 regulation wins, 2 OT wins and 4 SO wins..I'm gonna discard the SO wins .. That means the Caps have a 27.5% chance of winning this game ONLY IF OVI GETS A POINT ...
In their last game, Ovi had to score 4 goals to get his team to a shootout and then he scored there to win it..
These facts tell me a couple of things..Ovi continues to be under a LOT of pressure to carry this team..As good as he is,Caps on the road, are a VERY LOW PERCENTAGE wager..To lay a wager on Washington on the road against a Florida team who is capable of beating anyone with defense, is effectively gambling that Ovi will get enough points to fulfill a 27.5% chance of winning this game..
Being extremely wary of a home underdog like Florida, AND Ovi, I think a large puckline wager here would be both prudent and productive..Florida would still have room to lose by one goal at home but a M/L bet on the Caps at this value would be a flawed thought process..glta