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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: ***GWarner27's Sweet 16 Picks (90-61-3 59.6% YTD)***
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#1
Posted: 3/19/2012 12:58:56 AM
+22.88

Dogs 47-35-1 +9.48
Faves 37-19-2 +15.05
Over 2-2 -0.20
Under 0-0 +0.00
1st Half 2-2 -0.20
Halftimes 2-2 -0.15
Team Totals 0-1 -1.10
Buybacks: 0-0 +0.00

Posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085


Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08U
2011-12: 0-2 -1.491U

Big XII OVER 9.5 Wins (-120): 6

November 23-17 +4.53
December 19-15-1 +2.60
January 17-20-1 -5.62
February 18-4 +13.70
March 13-5-1 +7.67
April 0-0 +0.00
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#2
Posted: 3/19/2012 1:03:01 AM
Dog SU wins: 20
Losses by 
<1: 7
Dog OT losses: 2

Guesses:

Cuse 3-4
UK 10
MARQ 3-4
Sparty 3

interests:
WIS, MARQ over

leans:
WIS +4.5

...will get the rest up tomorrow after a few hours of sleep
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#3
Posted: 3/19/2012 1:05:26 AM

Great call on Wisky

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#4
Posted: 3/19/2012 1:09:16 AM

Hey G...You put up winnas today straight cash my man.....Wisky  VCU......congrats!

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TRoe15
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#5
Posted: 3/19/2012 2:31:35 AM
Interested in Bucky as well. Thought the winner of the Vandy/Sconnie team would beat the Orange, and still do.
Posted using a mobile device.
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GWarner27
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#6
Posted: 3/19/2012 8:37:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GWarner27:

Dog SU wins: 20
Losses by 
<1: 7
Dog OT losses: 2

Guesses:

Cuse 3-4
UK 10
MARQ 3-4
Sparty 3
tOSU 5
Baylor 4-5
KU 5-6
UNC 8-9

Interests:
WIS, MARQ over

Leans:
WIS +4
Ville +4.5
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#7
Posted: 3/19/2012 9:15:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRoe15:

Interested in Bucky as well. Thought the winner of the Vandy/Sconnie team would beat the Orange, and still do.

Felt the same way, think it only helps us that the 4 vs. 5 was a war and the Cuse had a relatively easy time. The badgers looked awful when Vandy switched to the zone, but Bo Ryan has 5 days to get ready for it and I like his chances to get something together...

Gofor-- thanks man, gonna try to keep it going. 8-1-1 was more than I could have expected even though my futures look awful (as usual)
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JFen31
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#8
Posted: 3/19/2012 10:00:25 AM
Agree on that Wisconsin lean. 'Cuse kyrptonite is a team that can stop their transition game and force them to win with jump shots in the halfcourt.
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GWarner27
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#9
Posted: 3/19/2012 11:52:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:

Agree on that Wisconsin lean. 'Cuse kyrptonite is a team that can stop their transition game and force them to win with jump shots in the halfcourt.

Agree and agree. Can't see Wisconsin ever being a popular side considering how they play basketball but I think there is enough there to take now but I will wait to see 3.5 then panic and bite or see if I can get more points...

Leans:
Wis 4
Cincy 7.5
UL 4.5
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#10
Posted: 3/19/2012 11:54:06 AM
what did u have yesterday?
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#11
Posted: 3/19/2012 2:49:46 PM
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#12
Posted: 3/19/2012 3:49:52 PM
I was planning on Vandy or Wisconsin over the Cuse. Either one matches up extremely well, especially with Mello out. Perimeter shooting beats a zone, and both teams have shooters. Wisconsin actually has on better element than Vandy in my opinion, and that is the toughness factor. They will hit the boards hard on missed shots, and should get a ton of second looks in this game. Defensively they will slow down the transition game of Syracuse and make them work their offense in the half court where they don't excel. 

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GWarner27
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#13
Posted: 3/19/2012 11:17:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by winoNV:

what did u have yesterday?


Maybe my most fortunate one of the year, KU -8 (2H)

LB, fsu
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#14
Posted: 3/20/2012 11:55:40 AM
Updated leans:
Wis +4
Cincy +8
MARQ o145.5
LOU +5

add
Kansas to win the Midwest (+125)
-I have this team in my championship game losing to Kentucky, but I'm making this play to grab a number. UNC's terrible luck hit them hardest in this tournament with Kendall Marshall's broken wrist. He has a painful injury my roommate in college once had. It is extremely painful and I doubt Marshall plays a minute more this year. Ohio isn't likely to upset the Heels and NCSU is a tougher matchup in the first round, however this number equates to about a +2.5 and I doubt KU would be dogged by that much with some home court advantage playing 4 hours east on I-70. The home crowd and the big guys who can match up with UNC's greatest strength on the glass limits the advantages UNC has over every other team in the land. I also like releford on Harrison Barnes. Marshall wouldn't be able to guard tyshawn Taylor if healthy so even if he plays there's a huge advantage to KU with the home fans there. Just too much value to wait for a line on Sunday.
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#15
Posted: 3/20/2012 2:53:15 PM
Saw 3.5 on two of my three outs so I jumped in...

add
Wisconsin +4 (-110) vs. Syracuse
-Cuse can't score in the half-court and the zone is susceptible to three-point shooting. The Badgers do both of these well and I don't expect much of a homecourt advantage in Boston. I have the Badgers in my Final Four.
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#16
Posted: 3/20/2012 3:07:08 PM
Good luck Warner... February & March...
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#17
Posted: 3/21/2012 6:09:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

Good luck Warner... February & March...

Preciate that buddy, can't complain about 32-9-1 since Jan 31...
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#18
Posted: 3/21/2012 6:13:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GWarner27:


Preciate that buddy, can't complain about 32-9-1 since Jan 31...
    Firing on all cylinders, GWarner
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GWarner27
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#19
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:25:49 PM
Updated leans:
LOU +5

Fears: frontcourt depth if Dieng gets in foul trouble, appling shutting down Siva, UL's offense if swopshire/price play a lot
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#20
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:29:34 PM
Both of those are my fears and the reason I bet Michigan State. Dieng is ALWAYS in foul trouble (he fouls once every 9 plays) and Appling will bring it to Siva, who will then become spastic and play out of control. I've seen a lot of heart from Siva, but from Green as well. I know Pitino's got a great record in the sweet 16, but this Michigan State team just has everything, all components, together. BOL whichever way you travel!

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#21
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:33:22 PM
GL tonight bro. 
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GWarner27
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#22
Posted: 3/23/2012 8:52:06 AM
Elite 8 guesses:
UL 1
tOSU 2

-hard time making UL a bigger favorite although they are playing extremely good basketball right now. UF wants the fast-paced trapping game to get shooters open while the Cards give up open shots whether in the 2-3 or the matchup zone. Behanan will help on the glass but he's too small and bulky to really affect Murphy if the step-away four makes some shots. I like Pitino as a coach way more though Donovan has been much better in this tournament even with the easy road. Siva vs Walker should be fun to watch, then you have all the shooters who I think can match each other. Obviously gators hitting 3s makes them tough to beat, I wonder what crazy strategy rick has up his sleeve comparable to Siva guarding day-day last night...
-other game is crazy considering how far SU has gotten without melo. If I'm boeheim I let them take all the 3s they want cuz the only one hitting them is deshaun Thomas. I think it's too hard to expect Buford to get right when he hasn't been for a while. If the bucks get it inside keita/Christmas can't guard sully so I expect the zone to sag tomorrow rather than push out like it did late last night against the badgers who were only shooting 3s at that point. Offensively the Cuse won that game because CJ Fair couldn't be stopped on the interior. I think bo Ryan said let him beat us and fair did (that or no one knew he was lefty). Needless to say, the orange wont score that easily inside against sully and ravenel, even amir Williams. I feel that foul trouble on #0 won't kill the bucks without any inside presence on the orange roster and ravenel is the better defender inside. Craft will bother scoop, I wonder if Matta risks craft on the bench for pestering waiters off the bench. I don't like Scott very much but he has the length and quickness to guard jardine if they switch craft to waiters.

I guess I lean to Ohio state after being pretty down on them to start the tourney, not sure what to do with the Ville game

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