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[College Football] Topic: Week 1 Line Guesses 2012----DEGEN Special |
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QBUN |
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#101 Posted: 6/13/2012 1:23:58 PM  |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#102 Posted: 6/14/2012 1:00:31 PM
Yeah I have USC winning it this season
But Florida St . does look loaded was has Steele's 70th rated schedule
The Defense put up some sick numbers last season
83 Yards rushing allowed (2.3) 40 Sacks 15.1 PPGA Everyone returns up front and they add some top recruits ( PS 1,3,12 DL)
EJ Manuel has not thrown a Pick in 5 Str. games
WR Christian Green could be a breakout star this season ,
Hoping they can lose 2+ of these
at USF at NC St at Miami at Va Tech Florida
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#103 Posted: 6/14/2012 1:07:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
few lines i think will be lower than what you have...
LSU (-38)
UGA (-37)
Tx A&M (-4)
Penn St (-10)
just think those lines are a bit inflated on your end...
Not sure how LSU and Ga will be under 40 ... North Texas is horrible , and while Buffalo should be a better this season the Bulldogs should name their score
Maybe we split the Difference on A&M .. somewhere around 7 >?
Giving PSU around 6-7 Points for HF ... Ohio is likely the class of the MAC but this has to be 2 TD's + IMNHO
Thanks for adding some insight Brother |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#104 Posted: 6/14/2012 3:40:16 PM so dufl, normally giving 40+ by any team on almost any week is for chumps, but do you think since UGA came off the humiliating loss to LSU and lost a hard fought game to a good Mich St team, even with the marginal experience on the O Line, and 3 subs in the secondary and 1 LB (I looked it up. all 4 replacements were 4 star recruits), do you think UGA and Richt will roll over Buffalo. Buffalo is starting a new QB, and though they return 15 starters from any otherwise bad team along with Oliver at RB, do you think UGA will cover this game. I think the spread will be 40. Also, on LSU, the Bama beat down was so bad for LSU, I perceive that they will come out for a 1 September 2012 (noon game, I wish it was a night game) and destroy N Texas.
If it were any other week than week 1, I would probably look for other matchups. I just think the talent differential is so huge here, and the motivation of the favorites so significant, I am thinking about laying the points. I will not take LSU in week 3 over Idaho regardless of the points. Mettenberger was a backup for LSU last year. Granted, he got mop up time experience, but at least he knows the system. The D he faced in spring ball should have prepared him for the season and N Texas. I doubt any of the N Texas players on D could make even the 3rd team on LSU.
Right now, here are my plays for week 1
UCF -19 over Akron
UGA -39 over Buffalo
LSU -41 over N Texas
Nebraska -13 over S Miss
I think a lot of the openings will be slightly less than P Steele based on the perception of the general public. I know it is early, but I will appreciate your thoughts on those 4 matchups. Thank you, sir!
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#105 Posted: 6/14/2012 8:10:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier: so dufl, normally giving 40+ by any team on almost any week is for chumps, but do you think since UGA came off the humiliating loss to LSU and lost a hard fought game to a good Mich St team, even with the marginal experience on the O Line, and 3 subs in the secondary and 1 LB (I looked it up. all 4 replacements were 4 star recruits), do you think UGA and Richt will roll over Buffalo. Buffalo is starting a new QB, and though they return 15 starters from any otherwise bad team along with Oliver at RB, do you think UGA will cover this game. I think the spread will be 40. Also, on LSU, the Bama beat down was so bad for LSU, I perceive that they will come out for a 1 September 2012 (noon game, I wish it was a night game) and destroy N Texas.
If it were any other week than week 1, I would probably look for other matchups. I just think the talent differential is so huge here, and the motivation of the favorites so significant, I am thinking about laying the points. I will not take LSU in week 3 over Idaho regardless of the points. Mettenberger was a backup for LSU last year. Granted, he got mop up time experience, but at least he knows the system. The D he faced in spring ball should have prepared him for the season and N Texas. I doubt any of the N Texas players on D could make even the 3rd team on LSU.
Right now, here are my plays for week 1
UCF -19 over Akron
UGA -39 over Buffalo
LSU -41 over N Texas
Nebraska -13 over S Miss
I think a lot of the openings will be slightly less than P Steele based on the perception of the general public. I know it is early, but I will appreciate your thoughts on those 4 matchups. Thank you, sir!
UCF "should" hammer crappy Akron , But you just never know if who will come out flat week 1 ... Maybe the backdoor is left open in this one ... Sometimes MAC teams have bankroll burning trends at home vs OOC Foes ... If you really like UCF pound it , but I am not sure I would wanna lay more than 2 TD's UGA hmmm Might name their score , or they rest everyone at Half time and win by 24-35 Points ... I don't see How the Bulls will score more than 7 Pts .... My Current Prediction is 48-6... But again not sure I would lay 40+... if this spread is around 35 then yeah why not LSU should be pissed after getting Raped in the Championship ... North Texas will feel the wrath ... Maybe 55-3 ???? anything less than 42 is tempting
Nebraska should laying at least 20 IMNHO ... already on this one for $120/100 ...Southern Miss lost so much from LY... Might be my Biggest Wager for week 1 .... Gulp , be careful normally I lose my behind week 1
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LonghornHoosier |
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#106 Posted: 6/14/2012 8:18:47 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
UCF "should" hammer crappy Akron , But you just never know if who will come out flat week 1 ... Maybe the backdoor is left open in this one ... Sometimes MAC teams have bankroll burning trends at home vs OOC Foes ... If you really like UCF pound it , but I am not sure I would wanna lay more than 2 TD's
UGA hmmm Might name their score , or they rest everyone at Half time and win by 24-35 Points ... I don't see How the Bulls will score more than 7 Pts .... My Current Prediction is 48-6... But again not sure I would lay 40+... if this spread is around 35 then yeah why not
LSU should be pissed after getting Raped in the Championship ... North Texas will feel the wrath ... Maybe 55-3 ???? anything less than 42 is tempting
Nebraska should laying at least 20 IMNHO ... already on this one for $120/100 ...Southern Miss lost so much from LY... Might be my Biggest Wager for week 1 .... Gulp , be careful normally I lose my behind week 1
thank's man...I know I may be redundtant in my requests. but, i know there are only a few weeks to consistently beat the books and i am trying to make the most of the opp...i concur with your score on LSU. Though I don't have any wagers yet, I love Nebraska. I checked today on 5D and it is still 13. When are the sharps going to come in and bid that up? In week's one and two, I will wager with Heritage. I am also registered with 5D, Legends and Bookmaker. Do you have any other reputable offshore books that you can recommend? Thanks again! |
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#107 Posted: 6/15/2012 12:36:53 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
Not sure how LSU and Ga will be under 40 ... North Texas is horrible , and while Buffalo should be a better this season the Bulldogs should name their score
Maybe we split the Difference on A&M .. somewhere around 7 >?
Giving PSU around 6-7 Points for HF ... Ohio is likely the class of the MAC but this has to be 2 TD's + IMNHO
Thanks for adding some insight Brother
i can't honestly remember the last time i saw a 40+ line in week 1... it just doesn't happen, and it will not happen this year, either... i can pretty much guarantee it!
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#108 Posted: 6/16/2012 1:44:20 PM Hi DU4F,
You get the honor of my first post...when do cfb moneylines come out for week 1 |
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#109 Posted: 6/18/2012 8:58:34 PM Thursday august 30th
S Bama 5.5 UTSA SC 9.5 *Vanderbilt UCLA 24 *Rice UCF 18.5 *Akron Ball St 8.5 EMU Minnesota 7 *UNLV Texas A&M 9.5 *La Tech BYU 12.5 Washington St UConn 17.5 UMASS
Friday Temple 4.5 Villanova *Tennessee 7 NC St Michigan St 7.5 Boise St |
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#110 Posted: 6/18/2012 9:00:45 PM Saturday *Notre Dame 14.5 Navy Troy 4.5 *UAB Arizona 17.5 Toledo Stanford 27 SJ St CAL 17.5 Nevada USC 33.5 Hawai'i Florida 34.5 Bowling Green Georgia 38 U at Buffalo Iowa St 6.5 Tulsa LSU 42.5 N Texas Syracuse 2.5 Northwestern Ohio St. 28 Miami Oh Penn St 14.5 Ohio Texas 31 Wyoming Washington 14.5 SD St. WVA 23.5 Marshall Illinois 13.5 WMU *Iowa 12.5 N Illinois Oregon 33.5 Arkansas St Oklahoma 32.5 *UTEP Rutgers 7.5 *Tulane Nebraska 14.5 So. Miss UVA 10.5 Richmond Maryland 11.5 W&Mary Miami Fl 4.5 *BC Duke 6.5 FIU *Clemson 4 Auburn *Alabama 14 Michigan |
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#111 Posted: 6/19/2012 3:39:49 PM *Colorado 8.5 Colorado St Louisville 9.5 UK Baylor 8.5 SMU Monday Va Tech 8.5 Ga Tech |
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#112 Posted: 6/22/2012 8:38:33 AM nice work DU , agree on quite a few....different on a couple...have FL closer to 20 and UCLA around 10....UGA maybe 35 |
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#113 Posted: 6/23/2012 2:15:10 PM nice work DU, agree on quite a few....different on a couple...have FL closer to 20 and UCLA around 10....UGA maybe 35 [/Quote
Great to hear from ya Brother Boom
UCLA at -10 would be a very big wager for me ... 
I am sure I am way off on several ... First couple weeks usually give me more trouble with the Guesses ....
anyone stand out as a Nice play week 1 >??? |
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#114 Posted: 6/23/2012 2:22:28 PM |
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#115 Posted: 6/24/2012 7:23:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life: Thursday, August 30thSouth Carolina 8.5 at Vanderbilt ESPN networkNorthern Colorado at Utah Southeast Missouri State at Central Michigan Texas A&M 15.5 at Louisiana Tech (Shreveport, LA) UCF 12.5 at Akron UMass at Connecticut Friday, August 31stBoise State at Michigan State 8.5 ESPN networkWagner at Florida Atlantic Saturday, September 1stArkansas State at Oregon 41.5 (ESPN or ESPN2) (HD)Auburn vs. Clemson 4.5 DisneyCo network (HD)Navy vs. Notre Dame 13.5 (Dublin, Ireland) CBS (HD)North Carolina State vs. Tennessee 8.5 (Atlanta) DisneyCo network (HD)Alabama 14 vs. Michigan (Arlington) Appalachian State at East Carolina Bowling Green at Florida 39.5
Buffalo at Georgia 40.5
Would take UCF at -12.5 |
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#116 Posted: 6/24/2012 9:25:45 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by nc1capper:
Would take UCF at -12.5
I Keep updating my Guesses
Thinking this line will be somewhere between 17-21.5 |
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#117 Posted: 6/24/2012 9:27:22 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:
thank's man...I know I may be redundtant in my requests. but, i know there are only a few weeks to consistently beat the books and i am trying to make the most of the opp...i concur with your score on LSU. Though I don't have any wagers yet, I love Nebraska. I checked today on 5D and it is still 13. When are the sharps going to come in and bid that up? In week's one and two, I will wager with Heritage. I am also registered with 5D, Legends and Bookmaker. Do you have any other reputable offshore books that you can recommend? Thanks again!
Right now Brother I am just going with 5 Dimes and my Local ....
Little afraid of starting with a another online book right now
sorry for the delay |
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Laroja |
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#118 Posted: 6/24/2012 10:25:02 PM
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#119 Posted: 6/27/2012 2:52:28 PM Thursday august 30th
S Bama 5.5 UTSA SC 9.5 *Vanderbilt UCLA 24 *Rice UCF 18.5 *Akron Ball St 8.5 EMU Minnesota 7 *UNLV Texas A&M 9.5 *La Tech BYU 13 Washington St UConn 17.5 UMASS
Friday Temple 4.5 Villanova *Tennessee 7 NC St Michigan St 7.5 Boise St |
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#120 Posted: 6/27/2012 2:53:57 PM Saturday *Notre Dame 14.5 Navy Troy 4.5 *UAB Arizona 17.5 Toledo Stanford 28.5 SJ St CAL 17 Nevada USC 33.5 Hawai'i Florida 34.5 Bowling Green Georgia 37 U at Buffalo Iowa St 6.5 Tulsa LSU 42.5 N Texas Syracuse 2.5 Northwestern Ohio St. 28 Miami Oh Penn St 14.5 Ohio Texas 31.5 Wyoming Washington 14.5 SD St. WVA 23.5 Marshall Illinois 13.5 WMU *Iowa 12.5 N Illinois Oregon 33.5 Arkansas St Oklahoma 32.5 *UTEP Rutgers 17 *Tulane Nebraska 14.5 So. Miss UVA 10.5 Richmond Maryland 11.5 W&Mary Miami Fl 4.5 *BC Duke 6.5 FIU *Clemson 4 Auburn *Alabama 13 Michigan |
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#121 Posted: 6/27/2012 2:54:45 PM *Colorado 8 Colorado St Louisville 9.5 UK Baylor 9.5 SMU Monday Va Tech 8 Ga Tech |
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#122 Posted: 6/27/2012 3:02:24 PM
Nebraska -13 for $240 which will be my Largest wager for week 1
Leaning on /if
UCLA if -21 or less Might be worth $125-150
The rest of them will likely be less than $65 wagers
Tennessee if 6.5 or less
Toledo if 20+
Ohio if 17+
Washington if 13 or less
Iowa if 13 or less
Colorado if 6 or less |
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#123 Posted: 6/27/2012 9:08:09 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life: Already on
Nebraska -13 for $240 which will be my Largest wager for week 1
Leaning on /if
UCLA if -21 or less Might be worth $125-150
The rest of them will likely be less than $65 wagers
Tennessee if 6.5 or less
Toledo if 20+
Ohio if 17+
Washington if 13 or less
Iowa if 13 or less
Colorado if 6 or less
UCLA, TENN, WASH
scared of : Iowa, Colo, Tol... |
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#124 Posted: 6/28/2012 9:59:57 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by QBoption:
UCLA, TENN, WASH
scared of : Iowa, Colo, Tol...
Colorado St. looks like even a bigger pile of Poop than the Buffs
Thinking Arizona will need plenty of time to adjust to Rich Rod's system ...
Iowa is flying way under the radar this season
None of these leans would be bet for more than $30-60 |
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#125 Posted: 6/30/2012 12:44:50 PM |
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