#39 Posted: 2/24/2012 10:09:55 AM Barbs!! Good job on those ovas!
Rek BOL today!
Mala Let's hit 'em hard next week
Be2 Hope to see you post more regularly! You have a lot to add!!! Like they used to tell me when I was a bouncer in an all nude titty bar . . . "Stop working so hard!"
COPA Update for 2/23
THE STRONGEST o/2.5 (-124) 1 unit 
THE STRONGEST -1.5 (+105) 3 units 
Olimpia o/2 (-127) 2 unit 
Olimpia pk (-102) 1 unit 
Universidad Catolica v. Junior o/2.5 (-102) 1 unit. 
Universidad Catolica -1 (+125) 
LOL - a one unit profit for 2/23 . . . 3 unit losers hurt and sting like name calling and VD.
COPA Picks: 30/22/1
COPA YTD: +25.19
Observations
1. 27 matches have been played in Group play . . . Overs are the rule so far and not the exception - this will likely change but so long as there are still several "2nd games" for a lot of teams, the trend likely will continue. So ... let's look for teams playing their second Copa match and think "over."
2. Of the 27 matches, the goal breakdown has been as follows:
0-0 1 match . . . shitty Zamora v. boring Boca
0-1 0 matches
1-0 3 matches
1-1 4 matches
All the rest have gone over 2 goals . .. that's 19 matches. 
Need to look at offensive output last year for round 3 matches of Group play to see if things tighten up like my butt at the proctologist's office.
3. Teams who are held scoreless away generally perform well and score in their second game ... excluding shitty teams like Chivas and Zamora.
4. Last year's runner up, Penarol . . . is having a dreadful start . . . losing 1-0 to Godoy and getting their garbage packed Richard Gere style 0-4 at home. They tee up at home against La U next Tuesday ... the manager has got to be under tremendous pressure to produce offense . . . ova much??? However, third start for both ... I just don't think La U loses this match - they may draw it but shouldn't lose it.
Just musings . . .forgive an old man's mutterings . . . |