Baylor at UCLA (12/27/2012)

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Baylor at UCLA (12/27/2012)
Covers PM Covers
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Ireland
 
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Posted: 12/2/2012 9:53:12 PM

Away:  Baylor [8-4 ATS]
Home:  UCLA [8-5 ATS]

Game Time: 9:45 PM
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Baylor:
Passing: Nick Florence (4121)
Rushing: Lache Seastrunk (874)
Receiving: Terrance Williams (1764)

UCLA:
Passing: Brett Hundley (3411)
Rushing: Johnathan Franklin (1701)
Receiving: Shaquelle Evans (795)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

osu200200 PM osu200200
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Posted: 12/6/2012 2:58:17 PM
baylor pick em
imaxfli PM imaxfli
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Posted: 12/24/2012 9:49:17 AM
Lean UCLA and the over.............
combato PM combato
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Posted: 12/25/2012 9:55:30 PM
My numbers make this game UCLA 51 vs Baylor 42 which seems reasonable.  UCLA can actually pressure the QB and Baylor cannot which makes the UCLA the likely winner if they can only get 3-4 stops during the game.  Also, consensus numbers are virtually 50/50 and would not indicate a public side yet but I would not be surprised to see either side get the public money before game time.  My scoring numbers and UCLA sack % makes UCLA a 1 unit play unless something changes before game time such as a rush of steam money on Baylor right before kick off.
Coloneljim PM Coloneljim
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Posted: 12/26/2012 9:13:41 AM

Might as well make it a complete dog day afternoon and evening

Baylor - 44                                      UCLA - 41

Bears +1                                       over 80.5

Bears last 3 games Oklahoma St, Texas Tech & Kansas St all wins. Pretty convincing to me. Let's add UCLA to that list.

Baylor - Over

ncdcbag PM ncdcbag
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Posted: 12/26/2012 9:49:50 PM
Baylor and over
mak104 PM mak104
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Posted: 12/26/2012 11:01:30 PM
81? UCLA has had 7 overs but only 1 was over 81.Baylor has had many over that.I have no play on this game yet.I'll be reading all of your opinions.Thanks.
ApocalypseLater PM ApocalypseLater
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Posted: 12/26/2012 11:48:26 PM
UCLA by a considerable margin... best play of the bowl season... line has already shot up from a pick 'em to UCLA (-3) -120, so you've missed the boat if you didn't get it already...
JayCast0719 PM JayCast0719
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Posted: 12/27/2012 12:25:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:

My numbers make this game UCLA 51 vs Baylor 42 which seems reasonable.  UCLA can actually pressure the QB and Baylor cannot which makes the UCLA the likely winner if they can only get 3-4 stops during the game.  Also, consensus numbers are virtually 50/50 and would not indicate a public side yet but I would not be surprised to see either side get the public money before game time.  My scoring numbers and UCLA sack % makes UCLA a 1 unit play unless something changes before game time such as a rush of steam money on Baylor right before kick off.
i like your analysis, would you post your lean again tomorrow closer to game time?
oahuboy808 PM oahuboy808
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Posted: 12/27/2012 12:47:27 AM
UCLA.. Offenses are affected by bowl games usually.. At least UCLA has a D to fall back on.. Going with them here..
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Moolaplz PM Moolaplz
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Posted: 12/27/2012 2:19:14 AM
UCLA is clearly gonna have the home atmosphere with this game in San Diego, i think this will help the defense against that potents bears attack.  Jonathan Franklin is gonna run all over the baylor defense that gives 190 yards per game on the ground giving jim mora an edge at controlling the clock and keeping that baylor offense on the sidelines.

Just wish i wouldve bet it earlier UCLA -2.5
dyamamoto PM dyamamoto
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Posted: 12/27/2012 3:02:03 AM
2k ov-81 $$$$$
Dinitalian PM Dinitalian
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Posted: 12/27/2012 5:53:21 AM
Lmao okay huge play on the UNDER!!! May not seem like it on stats but these two teams are going to play tough and it will not go over!!!
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booyahz123 PM booyahz123
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Posted: 12/27/2012 8:32:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Dinitalian:

Lmao okay huge play on the UNDER!!! May not seem like it on stats but these two teams are going to play tough and it will not go over!!!


LMAO at you on the under

W8LIFTER PM W8LIFTER
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Posted: 12/27/2012 11:05:10 AM
UCLA -3 
bamaman41 PM bamaman41
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Posted: 12/27/2012 11:21:06 AM
Under 81 all day. Took under 84 in Baylor/ OK st. And was never in danger. Gl to all
Tommy_gunnz PM Tommy_gunnz
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Posted: 12/27/2012 11:30:49 AM
UNDER!!!!$$$$$
moneymagoo PM moneymagoo
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Posted: 12/27/2012 11:44:41 AM

Teaser Time:

Bowling Green +16   Duke +18   UCLA  + 6  =

dte421 PM dte421
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Posted: 12/27/2012 1:41:59 PM
Tough to see Baylor winning on grass, much less scoring enough points to put this game over!
shacorie PM shacorie
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Posted: 12/27/2012 2:01:23 PM

ucla-3 1/2

un 82 1/2

combato PM combato
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Posted: 12/27/2012 3:03:07 PM
To follow up on the UCLA Baylor game - The line has moved all the way to UCLA -3 which affects my original analysis of UCLA Pick em for 1 unit.  I think the best play now is to pass the game because there at least 10 or 11 really good plays coming up over the next week so there is no reason to play a favorite on a game that is less than optimal at the current line.   This is clearly a steam play on UCLA and would have been a solid play at Pick 'em but I am not as confident laying 3 or more points against a wide open offense like Baylor.  If you HAVE to play the game, UCLA is probably the better pick but no more than -3.  Personally, I am passing and waiting for tomorrow's games.
Buddhabud PM Buddhabud
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Posted: 12/27/2012 3:10:25 PM
Look for UCLA to play a little bit of defense even though Baylor doesnt.UNDER the 82.5Somewhere in the 70's.GLEout
booyahz123 PM booyahz123
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Posted: 12/27/2012 4:56:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bamaman41:

Under 81 all day. Took under 84 in Baylor/ OK st. And was never in danger. Gl to all

the difference is the Ok St game was at 12 noon est. and had gusty winds.  This is the Holiday bowl with good weather and will most likely be the most points ever scored in this bowl.
smitt12 PM smitt12
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Posted: 12/27/2012 5:28:15 PM
This favorite covers in the late game tonight!  Points being scored all over the place with the Bruins pulling it off late with something like a 42-35 outcome.

UCLA -3

GL to all!!!
oahuboy808 PM oahuboy808
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Posted: 12/27/2012 6:38:00 PM
UCLA and under for me.. I see UCLA running the ball a lot and killing the clock.. Baylor has no D whatsoever and if UCLA can wear them down by pounding the ball, they'll easily win this one..
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