Posted: 4/27/2009 2:46:24 PM Caps are at 250 for game 7 on home ice. They've lost 2 out of 3 so far on home ice, if SJ win tonight, they'll be for sure around 200 ( Top seed on the West should'nt be forgotten).
I'm facing the same problem as you do. I won't hedge my bet since I think the Ducks will close it tonight at home. If they lose tonight and in SJ on game 7, it was the risk I was taking when I placed my bet @ +263.
If you wish to hedge
Initial Bet : 1000 $
Expected return : 4000 $ ( to make 3000 )
Place 2238 $ on SJ @ 127 for a 761 $ guaranted
If SJ win it, then you'll probably have to place so money on them @ 200 let's say.
Initial Bet : 1000 $
Expected Return: 4000 $ ( to make 3000 )
You'll have to place 2666 $ on the SJ @ 200 for a 333 $ guaranted.
Therefore, with 2 hedges you'll get out with aroud 1100 $ profit which is a 1000 bet for a 1100 return.
3 options for you:
1 Hope for a win in the next 2 games > +3000 $
2 Hedge and lose (Ducks win) > +761 $
3 Hedge and win (SJ win) > +1100 $
If to make means a 3000 $ return:
1 Hope for a win in the next 2 games > +2000 $
2 Hedge and lose (Ducks win) > +321 $
3 Hedge and win (SJ win) > +321$
