Posted: 6/21/2013 4:01:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrMannix:
I just saw Degengamblers thread. He has a great angle with the 1st inning score. Will back test that when I have a chance & post some results over there.
We should combine forces MrMannix - I am still looking into improving and adding additional data points to the system. If you could backtest to see what works that would be great. Download the latest version (V2)
I included logic to download "by inning scoring" from Don Best (Don Best Data Tab) - you may be able to use it to Back Test.
Right now i'm only looking at the following:
However, I was thinking maybe looking at the following as well:
% that team scores in 1st inning in each series
% that team scores in A or B game in series
Pitcher % scoring in 1st inning
For the first one - the idea is to filter out teams that only score in 1 game in the series - we want teams that score in more than one game in a series
For the 2nd one we want to filter out teams that only score in 1st inning on C games - would rather win on the A or B
For the 3rd one - maybe we can also look at pitchers in the series and make sure their 1st inning scoring is over / under a certain %