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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 1st Inning Score Chase System
NoSoLucky
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#126
Posted: 7/27/2013 12:42:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flwareagle:


In that case, the system has a loss.  I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.


Incorrect. According to teamrankings.com on the 12th when that chase would have started, TB 2013 record was 33.33%. That and the other stats must be below 33% to be a play. The only stat that is rounded down from 33.33% is the "last 3" stat.

Like I said before, that is most likely because there would be very few plays if that had to be 0%.

Oh and the 2nd game of the double header was a win today.
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#127
Posted: 7/27/2013 1:15:26 AM
7/26/13 Results

OFFICIAL (30-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet - W

No new series till Monday
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#128
Posted: 7/27/2013 9:08:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:



The only stat that is rounded down from 33.33% is the "last 3" stat.


Not trying to argue, but I went back through the thread and did not see where it said to round the last 3 only.  Is that a revision?  I understand why, but just didn't see where it was posted to only round the last 3.  Either way...I really like this chase system.
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#129
Posted: 7/28/2013 4:09:38 PM
so maybe this will clear up some confusion here is the criteria I use - as far as rounding down I do that especially if the individual stat is 33.3% or something.

SCR Y PLAY - Must have a total of 63% or more for 2013, last 3 and Hm/Awy (All Individual team % must be more than 30%)

SCR N PLAY - Must have a total of 55% or less for  2013, last 3 and Hm/Awy AND (All Individual team % must be less than 33%)


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NoSoLucky
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#130
Posted: 7/28/2013 11:37:43 PM
So the CIN/SD series is a YES? And the only play I assume?
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#131
Posted: 7/29/2013 4:48:48 PM
so one official play today?
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#132
Posted: 7/29/2013 6:53:33 PM
teamrankings updated their site. CIN's last 3 is now 0% which makes this a no play
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#133
Posted: 7/30/2013 11:17:32 AM
Looks like a good system will keep an eye on it. Thanks
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#134
Posted: 7/30/2013 3:54:11 PM
anything today?
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#135
Posted: 7/30/2013 4:19:08 PM
7/30/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (30-0 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - A Bet
CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - B Bet
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#136
Posted: 7/30/2013 4:19:50 PM
Sorry for the late posts - on vacation until Sunday - so may not post in a timely manner
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#137
Posted: 7/30/2013 4:59:57 PM
Forgive me Degen, but I thought WAS/DET qualified as a no score wager today as well per the system parameters?  

Thank you, and enjoy your vacation!   
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#138
Posted: 7/30/2013 6:48:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Forgive me Degen, but I thought WAS/DET qualified as a no score wager today as well per the system parameters?  

Thank you, and enjoy your vacation!   

WAS / DET was close for a SCR N - except DET home % is 35.3% which is clearly over the 33% criteria - but all the other stats line up

PLUS - pitching match up looks good for the N SCR - sanchez vs strasburg.

I couldn't fault any one for putting money on todays game as a one off - for a N SCR 1st inning - but as far as official plays go - it's a no go.
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#139
Posted: 7/31/2013 4:47:05 PM
was cincy an official play or not?
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#140
Posted: 8/1/2013 9:53:26 AM
7/31/13 Results

OFFICIAL (31-1 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - W
CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - L

So the first loss for the official plays this season - depending on what line you got it was probably around a 9-10 unit loss
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NoSoLucky
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#141
Posted: 8/1/2013 5:06:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/31/13 Results

OFFICIAL (31-1 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - W
CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - L

So the first loss for the official plays this season - depending on what line you got it was probably around a 9-10 unit loss

Not so sure about that. The CIN/SD series started on the 7/29. According to teamrakings.com CIN was at 0% for "last 3." I checked just before making the bet and it was at 0% then and not just at the end of the day. It must be over 30% right? Which I guess means the system is still undefeated.
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#142
Posted: 8/1/2013 5:22:13 PM
I believe Lucky is correct Degen.  I noticed that too and stayed away.  

Your system is still undefeated! 
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Moneycash
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#143
Posted: 8/1/2013 5:23:22 PM
i want play whis this system help me to use this system :(
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#144
Posted: 8/2/2013 3:05:44 PM
does anybody know if there is anything today?
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#145
Posted: 8/2/2013 3:36:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I believe Lucky is correct Degen.  I noticed that too and stayed away.  

Your system is still undefeated! 

To be honest I don't know - I may have missed the Last 3 stat - as I said I'm on vacation so - may have just over looked it - I will keep it in for now - but good catch by you guys and laying off.


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NoSoLucky
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#146
Posted: 8/2/2013 3:43:46 PM
I believe HOU/MIN is a play on the NO
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#147
Posted: 8/2/2013 3:47:45 PM
8/2/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (31-1 YTD)

HOU / MIN (SCR N)
KC / NYM (SCR N) 
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#148
Posted: 8/2/2013 3:59:50 PM
Isn't COL/PIT a Yes play?
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NoSoLucky
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#149
Posted: 8/2/2013 5:18:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flwareagle:

Isn't COL/PIT a Yes play?

PIT is 29.63% for 2013. It must be above 30%.
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NoSoLucky
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#150
Posted: 8/3/2013 1:40:12 PM
Best new system on the board in my opinion. 

hou/min win game A and kc/nym win game B. Still undefeated.
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