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Author:	[NBA Betting] Topic: Miami spread only 3 from last game
budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#1 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:15:22 AM I don't think ANYBODY can explain Miami goes from an away game to a home game and THE SPREAD ONLY GOES UP 3 POINTS It was -8 last time, -11 now
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followmylead	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.com \|
Banned Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 1554 Location: Massachusetts	#2 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:18:12 AM I saw it at -12.5
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Degen55	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2011 Posts: 577 Location:	#3 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:18:20 AM Well they didn't cover the last one. 11 is a lot.
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dizdoti	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 759 Location:	#4 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:19:10 AM Knicks is a must win.
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Jet_Life	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 19 Location:	#5 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:19:35 AM Amare is back. maybe Lin and they lost game 4??? maybe?
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#6 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:21:09 AM it's -10.5 and -11 everywhere it was -7.5 and -8 last time spread from home/away is usually about 8 points for the playoffs
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#7 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:22:14 AM yeah it doesn't pass the smell test does it. vegas must be shading the knix. you can say stoudemire, but then no baron davis either
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#8 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:25:42 AM what you can say on the other side is the knix won the last game, it was -8. public remembers the last game and stoudemire so they're set on betting knix anyways bizarre to see a difference of only 3 points home-to-away in the playoffs
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followmylead	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.com \|
Banned Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 1554 Location: Massachusetts	#9 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:26:16 AM Indi covered 10
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aar0ntan	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 81 Location:	#10 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:29:05 AM davis is out
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Jet_Life	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 19 Location:	#11 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:31:52 AM I try and stay away from how I feel vegas is thinking and go strictly on how I feel about matchups/situation, however that said my theme song for the night is Echo Friendly - Same Mistakes
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TsikenBreast	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 723 Location: Philippines	#12 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:37:53 AM lol. it was -10/11 the first two games. then shifted to nyk for game 3 and was -5. where the knicks got battered. so it would be normal for vegas to increase the line to -8 in game 4. to equal out action. HCA just accounts for 5-8 points in the spread in these playoffs. miami -16 would just be ridiculous.
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#13 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:45:43 AM if it's miami -8 at msg it should be miami -16 in miami both teams suck on the road/great at home obviously miami -8 was a joke. but if u remember public was ALL OVER miami at -8
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randumbdesign	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Oct 2011 Posts: 293 Location:	#14 Posted: 5/9/2012 3:08:19 AM Miami cashed those early two for me this series. Didn't they cover both games and the 1H's? I think I played 3 out of the 4 of those and they all hit. I'm thinking this game is like those ones. Nvm I just looked and the second game pushed. Knicks are spotty as hell and that last game played like that just so they could save some pride. Melo's gonna get all his usual shots plus more, and they'll still lose by DD.
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composite	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 2705 Location:	#15 Posted: 5/9/2012 3:55:14 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by budwiser: it's -10.5 and -11 everywhere it was -7.5 and -8 last time spread from home/away is usually about 8 points for the playoffs Miami won G3 easily and then line got inflated from -5.5 to -8. Then they lost outright. So it adjusts back to NYK. If you compare -11 to -5.5, then the disparity isn't so bad. NYK made such a huge deal about ending the 13 game playoff losing streak. Woodson talked about it. So did Melo and Amare. They accomplished their main goal of the playoffs being down 3-0. There's no way they'll have any energy left for G5. Plus, all the decent ballhandlers are hurt. Miami should crush NYK tomorrow.
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FlamingoBarnes	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2011 Posts: 1011 Location:	#16 Posted: 5/9/2012 9:06:49 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by composite: Miami won G3 easily and then line got inflated from -5.5 to -8. Then they lost outright. So it adjusts back to NYK. If you compare -11 to -5.5, then the disparity isn't so bad. NYK made such a huge deal about ending the 13 game playoff losing streak. Woodson talked about it. So did Melo and Amare. They accomplished their main goal of the playoffs being down 3-0. There's no way they'll have any energy left for G5. Plus, all the decent ballhandlers are hurt. Miami should crush NYK tomorrow. I agree with composite on this one. I like Miami to come out strong tonight. 11 is a lot of points to lay though. I do have them as the last leg of a teaser at -4.5. Not sure if I will play Miami straight up or pull together another teaser for them.
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theclaw	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2008 Posts: 1865 Location:	#17 Posted: 5/9/2012 9:21:07 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast: lol. it was -10/11 the first two games. then shifted to nyk for game 3 and was -5. where the knicks got battered. so it would be normal for vegas to increase the line to -8 in game 4. to equal out action. HCA just accounts for 5-8 points in the spread in these playoffs. miami -16 would just be ridiculous. kudos to a guy who understands lines..............................
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theclaw	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2008 Posts: 1865 Location:	#18 Posted: 5/9/2012 9:24:53 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by composite: Miami won G3 easily and then line got inflated from -5.5 to -8. Then they lost outright. So it adjusts back to NYK. If you compare -11 to -5.5, then the disparity isn't so bad. NYK made such a huge deal about ending the 13 game playoff losing streak. Woodson talked about it. So did Melo and Amare. They accomplished their main goal of the playoffs being down 3-0. There's no way they'll have any energy left for G5. Plus, all the decent ballhandlers are hurt. Miami should crush NYK tomorrow. kudos to another guy who understands lines.............................. The -8 in game 4 was nothing more than a reaction to Miami winning by 33, 10 and then winning 17 in NY, after these 3 wins what would you expect the lines to do ? The -8 in game 4 in NY is not a realistic line, you can not compare that to this game in Miami.
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budwiser	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 4821 Location:	#19 Posted: 5/9/2012 1:35:23 PM Good stuff guys. Amazing everyone says "this is a good line". I've heard "wow the Knix are getting double digits!" I mean WOW didn't they just win the last game? lol If you guys remember, as I said, EVERYONE was on Miami thinking the Knix were gonna fold And with that...I'm on Miami -6.5 1st half
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