Firstly, if this game were played week 1 I think SMU would be about a 7 point favorite. That means either SMU must've played worse than expected so far or UTEP has exceeded expectations. For the most part I think both have done about what one would expect. SMU is 2-2 ats and UTEP is 2-3 ats. I know UTEP backers will say they played Oklahoma and Wisconsin close but I'm not sold. They ended up losing to Oklahoma 24-7 and their only score was a punt blocked returned for a touchdown. They lost 37-26 to Wisky as 17.5 point dogs but it's clear it's a down year for the Badgers.
SMU's only bad loss was vs Texas A&M where they were clearly outmatched. They only loss to TCU by 8 last week by 8 despite 6 turnovers. Gilbert has been moving the ball well but does need to cut back on his interceptions. I think he will be able to put up points with relative ease against UTEP's secondary.
Second, the public is all over UTEP with 63% of the covers community picking them to cover. This plus the fact that the line is 2.5 (my favorite number to take a dog) makes it seem like Vegas is begging for money on UTEP. I think SMU will start conference play with a TD+ win on the road but will gladly take the 2.5 points insurance.
Firstly, if this game were played week 1 I think SMU would be about a 7 point favorite. That means either SMU must've played worse than expected so far or UTEP has exceeded expectations. For the most part I think both have done about what one would expect. SMU is 2-2 ats and UTEP is 2-3 ats. I know UTEP backers will say they played Oklahoma and Wisconsin close but I'm not sold. They ended up losing to Oklahoma 24-7 and their only score was a punt blocked returned for a touchdown. They lost 37-26 to Wisky as 17.5 point dogs but it's clear it's a down year for the Badgers.
SMU's only bad loss was vs Texas A&M where they were clearly outmatched. They only loss to TCU by 8 last week by 8 despite 6 turnovers. Gilbert has been moving the ball well but does need to cut back on his interceptions. I think he will be able to put up points with relative ease against UTEP's secondary.
Second, the public is all over UTEP with 63% of the covers community picking them to cover. This plus the fact that the line is 2.5 (my favorite number to take a dog) makes it seem like Vegas is begging for money on UTEP. I think SMU will start conference play with a TD+ win on the road but will gladly take the 2.5 points insurance.
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