Kentucky Oaks Day Selections

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Author: [Horse Racing] Topic: Kentucky Oaks Day Selections
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 12:05:26 PM
Churchill Downs

Race 5: #6 Vera Belle (8/1)

Race 6, La Troienne Stakes: #4 Plum Pretty (4/5) over #1 Afleeting Lady (8/1)

Race 7: Eight Belles Stakes: Great betting race. Although #7 Contested is a solid favorite, the value in the race almost makes me play against her. #5 Volcat is going to get a wicked pace setup with at least half of the field wanting the lead, several of which has never attempted to carry their speed that far. Loved this horses closing efforts the last 2 out and you can never go wrong with McPeek/Leparoux at Churchill

#5 Volcat (12/1) Longshot play of the day

Race 8 Edgewood: #2 Stephanies Kitten (2/1) Needed her last at Keeneland and ran decent for chasing slow lone speed. 2-1 is fair value but I wouldn't play less than 8/5. I like #12 Dame Marie (8/1) in the exotics underneath

Race 9 Alysheba: #4 Mucho Macho Man (2/1) Possibly the best handicap horse in the nation right now. He seems to be getting better with every effort and faces a suspect bunch here. Looking at #1 Nate's Mineshaft to bounce of his latest effort, and I'm not sure how good Successful Dan still is after than long layoff. I like Apart and Fort Larned in the exotics.

Race 10: American Turf: #3 Star Channel (8/1)

Race 11: Kentucky Oaks #3 Summer Applause (15/1)

Horse is consistently improving and the pace setup will be perfect. She has enough pace to stay close enough early and enough late pace to kick past the tiring front runners and stalkers. 2 horses I am worried about are #8 Jemima's Pearl and #13 Amie's Dini.

Best of luck today everyone, I will be looking over some other cards and adding some spot plays from other tracks as the day progresses.






Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 12:51:56 PM
Oaks Pick 5 Starts Race 7

Race 7: 5,7
Race 8: 3,13
Race 9: 4
Race 10: 3,9,13,14
Race 11: 1,3,8,13

50 cent ticket $32
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:02:50 PM
Calder

Race 6: #7 Dreamspell (3/1)

Race 9: #3 Must Be Love (6/1)

Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:14:07 PM
Longshot special at Pimlico

Race 5: #9 Carolina Moondance (20/1)

I hope to be making up such a dance as she crosses the wire.




Crusher13 PM Crusher13
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:20:47 PM
WTF? Johnnny CD Race 5  10-3-5

I need some winnas

I KNOW YOU ARE MUCH BETTER THAN THAT
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:25:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Johnnyg7:

Oaks Pick 5 Starts Race 7

Race 7: 5,7
Race 8: 3,12
Race 9: 4
Race 10: 3,9,13,14
Race 11: 1,3,8,13

50 cent ticket $32


This had a mistake... should have been the 12, not the 13 in Race 8
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:26:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Crusher13:

WTF? Johnnny CD Race 5  10-3-5

I need some winnas

I KNOW YOU ARE MUCH BETTER THAN THAT




#6 had a rough trip, had plenty of horse but Lanerie got her in a fuckload of trouble. Winner are ahead
bail8gent PM bail8gent
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:36:28 PM
How should I wager on race 7 Oaks 
5 & 7 to win an place.  Any recommendations ? Greatly appreciate any info and thanks 
Crusher13 PM Crusher13
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:44:46 PM
C'mon Johnnny I KNOW we are only one EXOTIC play to be back in the GAME

Like I popsted in ROUSED thread last nite, Baffert knows his only sure WINNA . winna CHICKEN DINNA this WEEKEND is #7 CONDENSED? and 1st DEED here in 7th
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 1:59:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bail8gent:

How should I wager on race 7 Oaks 
5 & 7 to win an place.  Any recommendations ? Greatly appreciate any info and thanks 


Looking at the pools, #5 to Place/Show would be a solid wager.

7-5 Exacta pays $31, 5-7 pays just $41??? Fishy stuff there.

I'm on the #5 WPS... if I get beat so be it.
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:02:41 PM
Another angle.... in Volcat's last race... look at the 3rd place finisher, Funny Proposition who came back to romp in today's 4th at Churchill
QBUN PM QBUN
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:04:27 PM
lets do it
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:14:15 PM
Mother darn Leparoux.........

Take a closer and put her near the pace sandwiched between horses.

Horse never had a chance, not that she would have beaten the #7 anyway, but could have gotten place/show.


Crusher13 PM Crusher13
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:21:06 PM
hey JOHNNY , tried givin you the #7 went PUBLIC LAST NITE

I don't DO THAT @ Covers ask PTB only ABUSE follows

Not fair, but HOPE you hit TRI I did $3    Made this bet BEFORE I started drinking 

Cinco de Mayo     GO GRACE HALL

Crusha
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:32:46 PM
I had her in the Pick 5, I'm not one to bet short priced favorites, but that was a nice little tri for 3 bucks

On to the Oaks Pick 4... If Stephanie's Kitten and Mucho Macho Man get beat it's going to pay huge. While I do think they are tops in their respective races, anything can happen, and with a big pool I am going to go a little deeper than usual.

Race 8: 2,3,12,13

Race 9: 3,4

Race 10: 2,3,9,11,13,14

Race 11: 1,3,8,13

$96 ticket
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:43:28 PM
Top Selections Pick 4 Ticket

2,12
4
3,14
1,3,8,13

$5 = $90

pulledclear PM pulledclear
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Posted: 5/4/2012 2:43:50 PM
Oaks

1. Broadway Alibi
2. Summer Applause
3. Hard Not To Like
4. Amies Dinie

No value on the Hall I will stand against! GL
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 3:26:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Johnnyg7:

Longshot special at Pimlico

Race 5: #9 Carolina Moondance (20/1)

I hope to be making up such a dance as she crosses the wire.






No Moondancing today.
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 3:28:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Johnnyg7:

Calder

Race 6: #7 Dreamspell (3/1) $5.20 $3.60 $2.20

Race 9: #3 Must Be Love (6/1)



Got bet down, but a win is a win I'll take it
Johnnyg7 PM Johnnyg7
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Posted: 5/4/2012 3:34:15 PM
Hollywood

Race 5: #6 Sunny Superstition (8/1)

Race 8: #4 ANIMAUX DEL VIENTO (12/1)
QBUN PM QBUN
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Posted: 5/4/2012 7:42:35 PM
anything else on tap Sir??
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