Although....if you dissect that one, it completely flips to 2-9 SU (+42.5% roi fade ML / +84.7% roi fade RL) looking only at World Series games, later in the series, road teams only averaging at least a half a run negative run per game SU margin in their last 4 games. The Astros fit that bill as a fade.
Although....if you dissect that one, it completely flips to 2-9 SU (+42.5% roi fade ML / +84.7% roi fade RL) looking only at World Series games, later in the series, road teams only averaging at least a half a run negative run per game SU margin in their last 4 games. The Astros fit that bill as a fade.
Sorry again, was afk for a while and never updated after that last win. That win brought the record to a new all time high for the thread (since 9/6/2012).
Whatever you bet, you doubled your money if you tailed all of it, and then some. MLB is coming to an end now, but I'll most likely be back next year doing the same thing here.
Sorry again, was afk for a while and never updated after that last win. That win brought the record to a new all time high for the thread (since 9/6/2012).
Whatever you bet, you doubled your money if you tailed all of it, and then some. MLB is coming to an end now, but I'll most likely be back next year doing the same thing here.
Originally the thread was dogs only, but the primary objective that is rooted from is the premise: *We are dealing with professional athletics organizations. There shouldn't be a need to lay the chalk really ever. Of course, that is a very loose theory and concept which isn't true in the real world; however, with outliers within the greater sample size filtered out (matchups without any parity. eg. A struggling organization that drafted poorly vs. an ace squad properly funded and managed team does happen, but I say they're outlier situations we're better off avoiding or taking the long shots).
With that said, we will always have a lean towards dogs, but the core idea is to get plus odds assuming all things are created equal and for the interest of MLB as a business and profit making organization: parity within the league is always going to be paramount. Therefore, it would be wise to assume when in doubt: these are professional athletes and the games should, by and large go 50/50...so at a 50% win rate, you're making money on dogs.
Again, very very loose theory and borderline just a person preference with some logic backing it.
Every bet should be plus odds though...parlays, over unders with plus odds, dogs, runlines on favorites, asian handicaps, etc.
Originally the thread was dogs only, but the primary objective that is rooted from is the premise: *We are dealing with professional athletics organizations. There shouldn't be a need to lay the chalk really ever. Of course, that is a very loose theory and concept which isn't true in the real world; however, with outliers within the greater sample size filtered out (matchups without any parity. eg. A struggling organization that drafted poorly vs. an ace squad properly funded and managed team does happen, but I say they're outlier situations we're better off avoiding or taking the long shots).
With that said, we will always have a lean towards dogs, but the core idea is to get plus odds assuming all things are created equal and for the interest of MLB as a business and profit making organization: parity within the league is always going to be paramount. Therefore, it would be wise to assume when in doubt: these are professional athletes and the games should, by and large go 50/50...so at a 50% win rate, you're making money on dogs.
Again, very very loose theory and borderline just a person preference with some logic backing it.
Every bet should be plus odds though...parlays, over unders with plus odds, dogs, runlines on favorites, asian handicaps, etc.
Just a note:Originally the thread was dogs only, but the primary objective that is rooted from is the premise: *We are dealing with professional athletics organizations. There shouldn't be a need to lay the chalk really ever. Of course, that is a very loose theory and concept which isn't true in the real world; however, with outliers within the greater sample size filtered out (matchups without any parity. eg. A struggling organization that drafted poorly vs. an ace squad properly funded and managed team does happen, but I say they're outlier situations we're better off avoiding or taking the long shots).With that said, we will always have a lean towards dogs, but the core idea is to get plus odds assuming all things are created equal and for the interest of MLB as a business and profit making organization: parity within the league is always going to be paramount. Therefore, it would be wise to assume when in doubt: these are professional athletes and the games should, by and large go 50/50...so at a 50% win rate, you're making money on dogs.Again, very very loose theory and borderline just a person preference with some logic backing it. Every bet should be plus odds though...parlays, over unders with plus odds, dogs, runlines on favorites, asian handicaps, etc.I hope you all have been well. Let's rock.Let's rock...
Just a note:Originally the thread was dogs only, but the primary objective that is rooted from is the premise: *We are dealing with professional athletics organizations. There shouldn't be a need to lay the chalk really ever. Of course, that is a very loose theory and concept which isn't true in the real world; however, with outliers within the greater sample size filtered out (matchups without any parity. eg. A struggling organization that drafted poorly vs. an ace squad properly funded and managed team does happen, but I say they're outlier situations we're better off avoiding or taking the long shots).With that said, we will always have a lean towards dogs, but the core idea is to get plus odds assuming all things are created equal and for the interest of MLB as a business and profit making organization: parity within the league is always going to be paramount. Therefore, it would be wise to assume when in doubt: these are professional athletes and the games should, by and large go 50/50...so at a 50% win rate, you're making money on dogs.Again, very very loose theory and borderline just a person preference with some logic backing it. Every bet should be plus odds though...parlays, over unders with plus odds, dogs, runlines on favorites, asian handicaps, etc.I hope you all have been well. Let's rock.Let's rock...
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total<10.5) have gone 100-41 +31.32 units (Take the Cardinals ; consider Indians, Phillies and Red Sox as well today)
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total<10.5) have gone 100-41 +31.32 units (Take the Cardinals ; consider Indians, Phillies and Red Sox as well today)
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total<10.5) have gone 100-41 +31.32 units (Take the Cardinals ; consider Indians, Phillies and Red Sox as well today)
Kicking things off right with a nice big blowout win for the Cardies 8-3 on the road....
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total<10.5) have gone 100-41 +31.32 units (Take the Cardinals ; consider Indians, Phillies and Red Sox as well today)
Kicking things off right with a nice big blowout win for the Cardies 8-3 on the road....
Hi Herbshack, Are you coming out to play today ? Very much looking forward to your keen eye on Baseball Winning plays. A little over 3 weeks to meaningful Football games and am looking to pad the bankroll prior to opening week
Hi Herbshack, Are you coming out to play today ? Very much looking forward to your keen eye on Baseball Winning plays. A little over 3 weeks to meaningful Football games and am looking to pad the bankroll prior to opening week
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