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Author: [College Football] Topic: Buffalo at Western Michigan (10/12/2013)
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#1
Posted: 10/6/2013 5:48:43 AM

Away:  Buffalo [3-2 ATS]
Home:  Western Michigan [2-4 ATS]

Game Time: 2:00 PM
Stadium: Waldo Stadium

Recent Meetings:
11/10/12 - WMU 24 vs. BUFF 29
10/24/09 - BUFF 31 vs. WMU 34
10/11/08 - WMU 34 vs. BUFF 28

Team Leaders:

Buffalo:
Passing: Joe Licata (993)
Rushing: Brandon Oliver (345)
Receiving: Alex Neutz (508)

Western Michigan:
Passing: Tyler VanTubbergen (906)
Rushing: Brian Fields (380)
Receiving: Corey Davis (296)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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greeneyeddevils
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#2
Posted: 10/7/2013 2:20:43 PM
Bulls...-10

W Mich looks like crap this year...

Bulls have been putting it together the last few weeks...this team might sneak in & get a bowl game this year...need this win...

Licata & Oliver will hopefully beat up a pour W Mich team


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LonghornHoosier
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#3
Posted: 10/7/2013 4:45:49 PM
but, can Buffalo dominate a bad team on the road.   the buffs are legit, but this is the MAC and anything can happen on the road.   I would appreciate insight from folks that know both of these teams.   it appears that Buffalo has TCB'd at home and 10 points does not seem too much against a bottom five WMU team...
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#4
Posted: 10/7/2013 5:31:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

but, can Buffalo dominate a bad team on the road.   the buffs are legit, but this is the MAC and anything can happen on the road.   I would appreciate insight from folks that know both of these teams.   it appears that Buffalo has TCB'd at home and 10 points does not seem too much against a bottom five WMU team...


I was at the Bulls game 2 weeks ago when they played Uconn..anything like that game & it's lights out for W Mich...don't know what's up with Vantubbergen this year for W Mich...guess he's got nothing to throw to...if this game was last year it could go either way...I just think the Bulls are too strong this year for W Mich..If the Bulls click early W Mich will be playing catch up all day

GL
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#5
Posted: 10/7/2013 6:07:49 PM
Buff played two reputable teams on the road, Baylor is kicking behind, playing mediocre on the road shouldn't be a bump in the road....
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#6
Posted: 10/8/2013 1:28:12 AM

WESTERN MICHIGAN   +  10

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#7
Posted: 10/8/2013 8:29:20 PM

Buffalo - 29                                  Western Michigan - 24

Broncos+12                

Maybe first year coach Fleck gets his first win as the Bronco head coach. Then again maybe not.  I'll take them to give an all out effort at home this week.

Western Michigan -

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#8
Posted: 10/9/2013 1:29:23 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by vue21849]

WESTERN MICHIGAN   +  10

I read through these and compare them to my picks and I noticed vue is pretty accurate.  That being said, I would really like to know what you see in Western Michigan here.  This is a team that has lost to everyone they have played, including division AA Nicholls State.  They have a yard-per-point average of 21.42 and their defense gives up an average of 440 yards per game.  Granted Buffalo's defense gives up a boat-load of yards also but they seem to be able to keep the ball out of the endzone.  Kicking out Buffalos first two games as they played teams who SHOULD have beat the crap out of them, they have averaged 36 points of offense and given up an average of 16 points.  My power rankings call for a 20 point Buffalo win.  I am eager to hear what you see in Western Michigan........

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#9
Posted: 10/9/2013 7:39:15 PM

AC - I'd go with your gut.   The only possible justification to back WMU would be going against a fellow MAC that is a DD dog at home...

I think that would be a risky proposition against a respectable Buffalo team.  With Mack they have LB who will probably be at least a 3rd round draft pick or better.   With Oliver, you have a potential NFL roster player.    Tell me one player at WMU who will play in the NFL.   That's what I figured...

WMU is 0-6 and is a bottom 5 team.  If Buffalo plays any where near the way they played the last two weeks, this will be covered by the half...

 

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#10
Posted: 10/9/2013 9:38:49 PM

Buffalo is the play...

vue is a contrarian

and col jim is a nut, in all due respect...

bs and no substance...buffalo is a bowl team this year...Buff's only close win was against Stony Brook, where Oliver did not play...Buff wins this by 3+ TDs on the road...

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#11
Posted: 10/10/2013 4:02:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

Buffalo is the play...

vue is a contrarian

and col jim is a nut, in all due respect...

bs and no substance...buffalo is a bowl team this year...Buff's only close win was against Stony Brook, where Oliver did not play...Buff wins this by 3+ TDs on the road...



Agree 100% with you
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#12
Posted: 10/11/2013 5:15:08 PM
Buffalo went down 23 to 0 in the first quarter in Columbus and lost that game 40 to 20 (outscoring the Buckeyes the final 3 quarters).  The went down to Waco and, like every other team that has faced Baylor, they got whacked.

They give up almost 32 points per game and 446 yards per game.  Take out the two games above, and that drops to 16.3 points per game and 329.7 yards per game.

Western Michigan played at Iowa and NW, 2 teams that are not Baylor or Ohio State.  To be fair, if we remove these games, WMU is giving up 33 points per game (from 38) and 431 yards per game (from 440).

So, defensively, Buffalo has a big edge.  On offense, Buffalo scores 13.5 more points per game and averages 30 yards more.  

So we have a WMU team averaging 15 ppg against a Buffalo squad who has surrendered 16 ppg to like opponents.  We have a Buffalo offense scoring 28.4 ppg against a WMU defense surrendering 33 points to like opponents.

Add the big advantage Buffalo has in turnovers (+6 to WMU -8) and I think the answer is clear.  This will probably be a 14 to 17 point Buffalo win.

Probably more information than you all wanted....
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#13
Posted: 10/11/2013 10:50:13 PM
good stuff Tommy!
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#14
Posted: 10/12/2013 10:38:34 AM

Obviously Buffalo is the better team, but is 12 points too many?  Stability wise Buffalo is much stronger.  On my charts Buffalo is far from being a "top team" on both sides of the ball, offense is solid, but def needs work.  I think 12 points is too many for this matchup and anticipate Buffalo not being "up" for the matchup.  I think this is a bad spot for Buff and as they shuold win the game, I dont see them covering this line.  I have a trend with teams (Buff) having very high stability giving 11-12 points over the past 5 seasons are 3-9 ats.  I took WM +12 earlier this week.  gl

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#15
Posted: 10/12/2013 12:10:39 PM

2 team teaser this one with 7 points

Buffalo -3 and the Under 57.5

Buffalo should win by at least 6 or more points

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#16
Posted: 10/12/2013 12:21:23 PM
Buffalo's O line continues to dominate.  Leaning Buffalo.

Buff 35
WMU 17
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