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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Looks like everyone will be on the Phillies Sat.
PrenticeGT	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 1757 Location: Georgia	#1 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:22:12 AM Not sure why. But good luck.
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VegasVandal	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 6471 Location: Nevada	#2 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:33:07 AM Dominant pitcher vs weak/unknown pitcher Phillies top 4 in all offensive categories Revenge from loss yesterday Phils 7-1 in last 8 games following a loss Phils are 23-8 in last 31 road games Braves have good trends as well but they phils are yet to drop 2 games in a row and cant ignore pitching advantage
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PrenticeGT	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 1757 Location: Georgia	#3 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:34:51 AM Why is the line so even then, Vegas? Oddsmakers know everyone will take Oswalt over Beachy in this spot, right?
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KOTBO	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2008 Posts: 1558 Location: Florida	#4 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:42:59 AM
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Trigg	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2011 Posts: 1392 Location: United Kingdom	#5 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:46:55 AM Apparently the Braves have a very good home record, according to the commentator I've been listening to. Their win last night backs that up but on the other hand, they were probably handed the victory on a plate last night.
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PrenticeGT	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 1757 Location: Georgia	#6 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:50:22 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Trigg: Apparently the Braves have a very good home record, according to the commentator I've been listening to. Their win last night backs that up but on the other hand, they were probably handed the victory on a plate last night. They did have one of the best home records last year, but this Roy Oswalt the veteran vs. Brandon Beachy the rookie. The Braves were not handed anything, Tim Hudson shut down the Phillies after the 2nd inning. Braves at home with this price is good value, IMO.
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goldens	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 113 Location: Hawaii	#7 Posted: 4/9/2011 2:50:29 AM dont be surprised if the braves win the NL this year
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StraightShooter	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 23227 Location: United States	#8 Posted: 4/9/2011 3:10:30 AM Pretty much everything favors the phillies yet the line is -110. Vegas seems to be begging for you to take the phillies.
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Cover Hog	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 5943 Location: United States	#9 Posted: 4/9/2011 3:22:18 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by VegasVandal: Revenge from loss yesterday Braves have good trends as well but they phils are yet to drop 2 games in a row and cant ignore pitching advantage There really isn't a revenge factor here. Other wise every game would be a revenge factor when the team lost the game before. And not dropping 2 games in a row trend isn't that overwhelming since we're only 7 games into the season.
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Cover Hog	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 5943 Location: United States	#10 Posted: 4/9/2011 3:25:37 AM People will jump on the Phils anytime they can get them at that price. They were a popular pick before the season, they'll be a popular pick now.
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misfits	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 3720 Location: Nevada	#11 Posted: 4/9/2011 4:02:38 AM i think everyone is jumping on the kc/det over
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StraightShooter	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 23227 Location: United States	#12 Posted: 4/9/2011 4:23:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by VegasVandal: Dominant pitcher vs weak/unknown pitcher Phillies top 4 in all offensive categories Revenge from loss yesterday Phils 7-1 in last 8 games following a loss Phils are 23-8 in last 31 road games Braves have good trends as well but they phils are yet to drop 2 games in a row and cant ignore pitching advantage In 4 career starts the kid has a career ERA of 2.57 (including two starts against the Phillies) and if he gotten any kind of run support (he’s gotten 4 total runs of support in his 4 starts) he would be 4-0. I’m not sure how that constitutes being “weak.” Also “revenge?” Seriously?
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slikstiks99	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Sep 2006 Posts: 5090 Location: Zambia	#13 Posted: 4/9/2011 4:25:04 AM A fresh unimpeded Oswalt is a great asset. Beginning of the season, no wear and tear. He should dominate and the offense should respond.
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BusinessTime	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 126 Location: Nevada	#14 Posted: 4/9/2011 5:28:17 AM Oswalt VS. Atlanta for career W-L ERA G IP H ER BB SO 0-3 6.21 8 37.2 48 26 9 38
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Fishscale	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 5413 Location: California	#15 Posted: 4/9/2011 5:36:43 AM Brandon Beachy is nice with it. I faded him the first time and paid the cost. Maybe a sophmore jinx though?
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RJ89	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Aug 2009 Posts: 538 Location:	#16 Posted: 4/9/2011 5:46:01 AM Beachy is actually a pretty good pitcher. The Braves are also at home and have the better bullpen.
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StraightShooter	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 23227 Location: United States	#17 Posted: 4/9/2011 5:58:51 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by RJ89: Beachy is actually a pretty good pitcher. The Braves are also at home and have the better bullpen. And if I remember correctly the phillies bullpen had an ERA around 7 against the braves last season at turner field.
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ballinx23	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Oct 2010 Posts: 129 Location: California	#18 Posted: 4/9/2011 6:14:58 AM oswalt has NEVER dominated atl. ill take the home team.
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StraightShooter	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 23227 Location: United States	#19 Posted: 4/9/2011 6:44:00 AM I took the braves for the series and ML yesterday so I’ll be on them again today. I can’t wait for tomorrow’s game though. Lowe (0.77 ERA) vs. Hamels (20.25 ERA). Braves for anything less than -130 and I'll be all over it.
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slikstiks99	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Sep 2006 Posts: 5090 Location: Zambia	#20 Posted: 4/9/2011 6:55:33 AM I know that baseball is a stupid excuse for a sport but I do feel Oswalt is a great pitcher when healthy. This is a question of whether Oswalt is over the hill or not. This early in the season you would think he would be fresh any way about it though. This guy has the potential to pitch 7 with 2 runs allowed and that is about what I expect for tomorrow. Who knows. We shall see. Again, baseball is stupid.
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StraightShooter	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 23227 Location: United States	#21 Posted: 4/9/2011 8:06:46 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by slikstiks99: I know that baseball is a stupid excuse for a sport but I do feel Oswalt is a great pitcher when healthy. This is a question of whether Oswalt is over the hill or not. This early in the season you would think he would be fresh any way about it though. This guy has the potential to pitch 7 with 2 runs allowed and that is about what I expect for tomorrow. Who knows. We shall see. Again, baseball is stupid. It’s kind of funny those are the numbers you picked since that is exactly what Beachy is averaging over his MLB career. And if they both do that, then, obviously, it comes down to the bullpens. Advantage: Atlanta.
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