Week 7

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Week 7
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/10/2012 4:29:05 PM
ND -7

Pitt +3

Purdue -2.5

Colorado +23


34-17 Ats

Maybe I'll do some small writeups when I feel better, caught a bad cold last night.
abizzo24 PM abizzo24
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Posted: 10/10/2012 4:38:59 PM
get well 165.   love your Pitt play.  ND looks good.  not sure about the others.  

why the buffs? 
Gordon Gekko PM Gordon Gekko
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Posted: 10/10/2012 4:43:39 PM
Colorado..yes...haven't looked into the others 
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/10/2012 4:47:43 PM
abizzo real quick.....ASU coming off their biggest win so far on the road and playing Oregon next week.  Coming off a bye laying DD points is never a good spot.  They'll play vanilla and do enough to get the win and prepare for Oregon next week.  Can't see them getting up to play Colorado in a game I'm sure they think they can just show up and win.  

165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/10/2012 4:48:57 PM
It's also an outrageous line abizzo.  ASU is in one of the worst spots this week of anyone.
FadeOnly PM FadeOnly
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Posted: 10/10/2012 5:07:34 PM
23 is a lot of points.  Colorado stinks, doesn't matter if ASU shows up or not.  Scary play.  I like it.  Also like Pitt.

austintx11 PM austintx11
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Posted: 10/10/2012 5:26:04 PM
Talk to me about vandy. 
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/10/2012 5:39:30 PM
Keep up the great work!
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/10/2012 5:46:41 PM
raychard PM raychard
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Posted: 10/10/2012 6:06:02 PM
why Pitt?
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/11/2012 11:12:23 AM
I wish Vandy had lost SU or they would've been an auto bet. Problem is they won last week on the road and makes them the lesser of two evils spot wise.  Gators coming off their biggest win in years but can't pull the trigger.  Lean Vandy but not enough to bet.

Cards have played nobody, not their fault but first real game of the year.  They are an average middle of the pack team, no way they should even be near the top 25.  Pitt's problem is they beat themselves mentally more than anything and have more talent than Lousville.  As long as Pitt doesn't turn it over 5 times they should win.


RetainLane PM RetainLane
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Posted: 10/11/2012 11:15:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

abizzo real quick.....ASU coming off their biggest win so far on the road and playing Oregon next week.  Coming off a bye laying DD points is never a good spot.  They'll play vanilla and do enough to get the win and prepare for Oregon next week.  Can't see them getting up to play Colorado in a game I'm sure they think they can just show up and win.  


 Agreed.  Like Pitt as well. 
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/11/2012 11:23:41 AM
Wisky was lucky they covered last week, tried running the clock out and broke a huge run.  This team is trash and will be hard pressed winning any games on the road.  More of a fade of Wisky than anything.

ND and Stanford both play similar styles, ND just does it better. Stanford will try and run and get stopped, can't see their QB making enough plays to keep this game close.  Not sure why fans and gamblers are doubting this team yet again but don't care, Stanford is outclassed and over matched everywhere on the field.  ND should win by 3 TD's.  We'll here more excuses as to why ND won so easily like we've heard all year on Covers.

Starting to like Mizzou more and more.  Value has shifted and their run defense should do enough to keep this game close.  Game will be shortened and fast with all the running.  Saban is a class act, don't see him trying to run the score up.  
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/11/2012 11:56:05 AM
Not sure where the line is headed but just took Mizzou +21.5

Mizzou +21.5

ND -7

Pitt +3

Colorado +23

Purdue -2.5

Won't be adding any games, content with this card.  GL everyone.
shark_apreza PM shark_apreza
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:01:20 PM
mizzou  IS GARBAGE

165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:03:17 PM
shark that's not how I bet.  Most of the teams I take you could argue are garbage.  Thanks for the insight.
LasVegasLord PM LasVegasLord
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:20:20 PM
Good luck brother.
LonghornHoosier PM LonghornHoosier
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:49:15 PM
not with you on Colorado...i think too much emphasis in placed on look aheads...ASU has exceeded expectations,though the Mizzou loss still stings...I think ASU is ready and will come out and dominate on both sides of the ball...Col emotion will last half a quarter then reality will set in...
Cooler999 PM Cooler999
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:51:01 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 165yds:

shark that's not how I bet.  Most of the teams I take you could argue are garbage.  Thanks for the insight.


Honestly 165, didn't expect something like that from S_A.

In my opinion the best cappers see the situational openings and factor them in as huge part of there considerations. The rookie betters can never see that angle for some reason.  They only see the teams reputation and what they did the prior week.  Always enjoy reading you.

C
captjohn67 PM captjohn67
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:46:35 PM
what do you mean the value has shifted on missouri?? While i agree on their run defense, they might be hard pressed to move the ball at all on the ground. Center Morse and guard/tackle Meiners both being gone and the two deep consisting of 3 sophs, 3 redshirts and one true freshman along the line might make for tough sledding and thusly a winded run defense. Not giving you garbage, trying to see where you see where anything has improved for the tigers this week. And good luck on your plays  
Getty3 PM Getty3
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Posted: 10/12/2012 5:35:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by captjohn67:

what do you mean the value has shifted on missouri?? While i agree on their run defense, they might be hard pressed to move the ball at all on the ground. Center Morse and guard/tackle Meiners both being gone and the two deep consisting of 3 sophs, 3 redshirts and one true freshman along the line might make for tough sledding and thusly a winded run defense. Not giving you garbage, trying to see where you see where anything has improved for the tigers this week. And good luck on your plays  
and I hate to say it, but the line is absolutely inviting money for the home underdog at better than 3 TDs. I just don't see anything other than an Alabama cover either.
Elsewhere, I think you'll need to consider adding one more play. A play against Miami (3-0 in conference) getting 7.5 at home vs. North Carolina. Carolina runs the heck out of the ball, and Miami is incapable of stopping it. The Canes are also coming off a worldwind tour of emotions, culminating in a well-deserved beatdown by Notre Dame, a game which I know you were smartly on the Irish. The Canes are young and fragile and won't answer the opening bell with the Tarheels. A second smackdown in a row, maybe worse than last week. 
Great season so far, keep up the smart decisions. 
JBender PM JBender
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Posted: 10/12/2012 8:12:07 PM
My book has Purdue -1. Anybody out?
165, Just curious if this bothers you

austintx11 PM austintx11
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Posted: 10/12/2012 8:33:44 PM
man that mizzou game is scary to bet. It's one of those where alabama seems like a no brainer, 52-3 win, i've heard on several reports that sharp money has come on mizzou @ +21 and +20.5
ludz PM ludz
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Posted: 10/12/2012 9:27:49 PM
  Tailing you on ND   
J_cash PM J_cash
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Posted: 10/13/2012 8:59:19 AM
GL
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