Posted: 12/17/2008 9:26:01 PM
Hey all in looking at the last game Jacksonville had a pick return for TD which happens but rarely returned the distance for the touch so minus -7 for Jacksonville (now at 16). Fred Taylor (not playing )broke a run of 34 yards to set up Scobbes 51 yard game winning field goal for the game winner. Given the fact Taylor's out and 51 yarders are not that common, I'll deduct another 3 points (now at 13), I leave Jacksonville there because I figure they'll be good for a touchdown and a couple field goals. Now to Indianapolis..the last game they only had the ball approximately 18 minutes and still put up 21 points. If we split it which wont happen because with Taylor out and Jacksonville's poor 3rd down efficency, I see Indy having a lot more time on the offensive ....I see at least another 7-10 pts for Indy
(now at 28-31) so Indy covers this game easily. The O/U is not so easy. I see a couple different scenairios happening.....with Taylor and Matt Jones out for Jacksonville they will probably attempt to control the clock best they can with short passes and a heavy dose of Jones-Drew thus trying to keep the ball out of Indys hands, but given the poor 3rd down coversion rate and the absence of a couple key offensive players I dont see them being very successful soooo.....Indy may try to mix it up in which I see that happening given Jacksonsville 25th ranked run defense thus keeping Jacksonville nearly out of the game. Folks I simply see a Indy blowout coming here probably 31-10 it wont fall far under the 44 line so
on the under. Given the combined last 3 totals it looks like 37-38 range as the Colts D seems to be stiffining, well enough jibbering Im riding the UNDER but it will be a
all the way!