Cy Young futures

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Cy Young futures
Castellani14 PM Castellani14
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Posted: 3/4/2011 9:52:14 AM
Does anybody know where to find or bet on the cy young winner?  I think Josh Johnson will be the best pitcher in baseball after this season is said and done. And this is coming from a Phillies fan.
DaThunder84 PM DaThunder84
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Posted: 3/4/2011 10:56:38 AM

Bet365 will probably offer this close to April 1st.

I know they have in the past

depressed PM depressed
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Posted: 3/4/2011 10:58:44 AM
Poor bet IMO, he will starve for wins just like last year

He had 28 starts last year but only 11 wins because he plays for Florida. That was with a 2.30 ERA and 186 strikeouts


wizardem PM wizardem
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:27:16 AM
Starve for wins? Remind me again how many wins Felix Hernandez had last year? And how many Greinke had the year before? Wins is just a small factor in a bigger equation.
cubicman PM cubicman
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:28:25 AM
depressed PM depressed
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:33:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by wizardem:

Starve for wins? Remind me again how many wins Felix Hernandez had last year? And how many Greinke had the year before? Wins is just a small factor in a bigger equation.
Yeah, I'm only concerned with wins. Ok

He will starve for wins. All the eyes will be on the Phillies and Giants starters - don't kid yourself with Johnson. His best chance was last year, so let's be real here. The Marlins aren't making the post-season, and unlike the Mariners, Johnson was shutdown last year and will be again this year if it's even that kind of season again for him. Plus the Florida defense gets worse.

Terrible bet at anything lower than +2000
wizardem PM wizardem
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:36:40 AM

You have to remember this with the Phillies and Giants.

Halladay will get votes,Lee will get votes,Hamels will get votes thus stealing (for the lack of a better word) votes from each other. Same goes for Lincecum and Cain. This happened with Wainwright and Carpenter 2 years asgo. Johnson has a legitimate chance, just don't dismiss him because his team sucks! Just saying.

depressed PM depressed
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:39:23 AM
I love Johnson, but realistically he can't win this. He didn't even sniff votes last year with his outstanding season! It's all about the wins in the NL and when you got any of those aces on the Phillies and Giants picking up wins most of the time they start, it's unlikely Johnson can not only match the wins, but match last season's blistering form he had.


wizardem PM wizardem
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Posted: 3/4/2011 11:53:10 AM
He was shut down for all of September. So he only started 28 games. he gets over a k/inning. It is foolish to just say he can't win the cy young. He has shutout potential every time he takes the mound! He is only 27 years old. That is the ripe age most major leaguers peak. I don't bet on "prop bets", but I certainly would not tell anyone it is dumb to bet on Johnson for Cy Young.
tomsan73761 PM tomsan73761
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Posted: 3/4/2011 12:43:25 PM
gOoD lUcK
Castellani14 PM Castellani14
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Posted: 3/4/2011 1:24:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by depressed:

I love Johnson, but realistically he can't win this. He didn't even sniff votes last year with his outstanding season! It's all about the wins in the NL and when you got any of those aces on the Phillies and Giants picking up wins most of the time they start, it's unlikely Johnson can not only match the wins, but match last season's blistering form he had.


I dont think you realize just how good johnson is. 20/1 odds that would be a steal. Johnson was lights out last year and is only going to get better. Guy is 6-7 with the nastiest stuff around
yeayea77 PM yeayea77
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Posted: 3/4/2011 6:53:15 PM

i'd like to know what the odds on cole hamels will be because i'd take him. 

depressed-- have you not realized that the cy young has nothing to do with wins in recent years (Grienke, Felix)...with all these new pitching stats and sabermetrics and for that matter common sense...baseball voters have realize that wins is almost irrelevant next to era, whip and the rest of em...  to me it sounds like your'e saying if a guy goes 30 starts with a 1.20 era but his record is only 12-11 he won't get votes? FOOLISH

squinta1 PM squinta1
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Posted: 3/4/2011 8:19:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by depressed:

Poor bet IMO, he will starve for wins just like last year

He had 28 starts last year but only 11 wins because he plays for Florida. That was with a 2.30 ERA and 186 strikeouts




What was the W/L stat of the winner last year?
KOAJ PM KOAJ
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Posted: 3/4/2011 10:04:12 PM
i would take whatever money you want to throw on JJ and double that on Clayton Kershaw

he was a monster last year and if he gets a little better control he will be close to unhittable. plays in a pitchers division with 4 big parks + coors. 15 starts against SF SD, Col Arizona
DTher85 PM DTher85
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Posted: 3/5/2011 1:31:10 AM
What about Greinke this year? I think the Brewers could be contenders for the Central and Greinke should benefit from moving to the NL. It's worth a shot if the price is right.

Lester could be a solid bet too if the odds are attractive enough.
thorpe PM thorpe
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Posted: 3/5/2011 10:49:31 AM
I like Johnson, but there are a ton of great pitchers in the NL this year. 

Ubaldo
Halladay
Oswalt
Lee
Hamels
Lincecum
Cain
Kershaw
Latos
Carpenter
Greinke


Plus, there are always a few guys that breakout.  20-1 would be good odds on Johnson, but there are always a lot of juice on these types of bets, and I don't think you get more than 12-1.
wizardem PM wizardem
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Posted: 4/20/2011 3:39:23 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by depressed:

I love Johnson, but realistically he can't win this. He didn't even sniff votes last year with his outstanding season! It's all about the wins in the NL and when you got any of those aces on the Phillies and Giants picking up wins most of the time they start, it's unlikely Johnson can not only match the wins, but match last season's blistering form he had.


I know they don't crown the CY award in April, but Johnson is off to a great start!

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