Messages

Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Cowboys @ Seahawks.
BuddyIbarra send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
BuddyIbarra
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 746
Location: Nevada
#1
Posted: 9/11/2012 1:54:42 PM
I'm not set on stats, but for you guys who are. The past 10 years Seattle is 8-0 in home openers vs teams outside of the NFC West.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
GucciPRADAlouie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
GucciPRADAlouie
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 3096
Location: West Virginia
#2
Posted: 9/11/2012 2:06:59 PM

COWBOYS won last week they will win again. im finally catching on to nfl after seein ghow th efirst 4 or so games turned out. been hot since go cowboys -2.5 buy half point

 

quote
BuddyIbarra send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
BuddyIbarra
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 746
Location: Nevada
#3
Posted: 9/11/2012 7:05:22 PM
Looks like its public vs sharp. My friend works at the Redrock casino sportsbook. He says all the public bets are on Dallas, and all the well known sharps that bet there are on Seattle.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
Sopranoman27 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Sopranoman27
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 552
Location:
#4
Posted: 9/11/2012 10:39:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuddyIbarra:

Looks like its public vs sharp. My friend works at the Redrock casino sportsbook. He says all the public bets are on Dallas, and all the well known sharps that bet there are on Seattle.


Public is where all the small money bets are...the sharps are the ones who bet large.  You don't think Vegas knows this?  The line seems sketchy, but I still think cowboys win this one easy.  The line could just be a trap to get the big money on Seattle....I'm just sayin.

Good luck fellas
quote
cam2smitty send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
cam2smitty
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 558
Location: Brazil
#5
Posted: 9/11/2012 10:55:05 PM
Big money betters don't just guess if lines stink, and this one isn't that obvious. That's like saying the books moved the Panthers/Saints line the way they did to trick the sharps onto the Panthers. That's foolish. The big money betters have their own systems and are in a network to know where the real lines are. Networking=More Information=Real Line Discovery=>>Sharp Herding. If the big guys are pounding Seattle, they all know this as a fact.
quote
GucciPRADAlouie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
GucciPRADAlouie
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 3096
Location: West Virginia
#6
Posted: 9/11/2012 10:57:02 PM
cowboys easy. the sharps are high betters exactly public is rarely BIG
quote
GucciPRADAlouie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
GucciPRADAlouie
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 3096
Location: West Virginia
#7
Posted: 9/11/2012 10:57:34 PM
bigs that are pub;ic is maybe 3 4 5 u thats it sharps are 10u 20u 3 4 5 are there rounds
quote
GucciPRADAlouie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
GucciPRADAlouie
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 3096
Location: West Virginia
#8
Posted: 9/11/2012 10:59:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cam2smitty:

Big money betters don't just guess if lines stink, and this one isn't that obvious. That's like saying the books moved the Panthers/Saints line the way they did to trick the sharps onto the Panthers. That's foolish. The big money betters have their own systems and are in a network to know where the real lines are. Networking=More Information=Real Line Discovery=>>Sharp Herding. If the big guys are pounding Seattle, they all know this as a fact.



i like bro well said
quote
cam2smitty send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
cam2smitty
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 558
Location: Brazil
#9
Posted: 9/11/2012 11:02:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sopranoman27:



Public is where all the small money bets are...the sharps are the ones who bet large.  You don't think Vegas knows this?  The line seems sketchy, but I still think cowboys win this one easy.  The line could just be a trap to get the big money on Seattle....I'm just sayin.

Good luck fellas

So you basically you just acknowledged that the most accurate cappers are on Seattle, yet your opinion stands strong on Dallas? The whole point is that Vegas discovers who the sharps like, aka who is most likely to cover then they funnel the public money onto the other side. The bets are coming in at 8 Cowboys bets for every 1 Seahawks bet yet the line is indicating they need more money on Dallas?

I don't like to buy into line moves as the basis of my bets. I have this capped at Seattle -1 and I've locked in the +3 at my book. I think the -125 juice is comical, just sending the sheep in to get slaughtered. 
quote
gorays45 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gorays45
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 1015
Location:
#10
Posted: 9/11/2012 11:27:45 PM
How the hell could you have this capped at -1 seattle?? What type of numbers could possibly give you that line?
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
jayheezy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
jayheezy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 483
Location: Texas
#11
Posted: 9/12/2012 2:49:49 AM
Cowboys are the pick. 
quote
BMWSLSMN send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BMWSLSMN
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 163
Location: Ontario
#12
Posted: 9/12/2012 8:35:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cam2smitty:


So you basically you just acknowledged that the most accurate cappers are on Seattle, yet your opinion stands strong on Dallas? The whole point is that Vegas discovers who the sharps like, aka who is most likely to cover then they funnel the public money onto the other side. The bets are coming in at 8 Cowboys bets for every 1 Seahawks bet yet the line is indicating they need more money on Dallas?

I don't like to buy into line moves as the basis of my bets. I have this capped at Seattle -1 and I've locked in the +3 at my book. I think the -125 juice is comical, just sending the sheep in to get slaughtered. 

Your going to see this line climb by Friday to push money back on the SEA side.  The fact of the matter is, the Cowboys are in a  good spot. 10 days rest to get over the emotional win and start the season 2-0.  Vegas can't control what happens on the field, they can only control how people bet.
quote
RazorSharps send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
RazorSharps
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 1158
Location: United States
#13
Posted: 9/12/2012 8:48:37 AM
Dallas has had their way with the Hawks since that awful defeat in 07' Romo isn't losing to this team again for the rest of his career
quote
Sopranoman27 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Sopranoman27
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 552
Location:
#14
Posted: 9/12/2012 9:01:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cam2smitty:


So you basically you just acknowledged that the most accurate cappers are on Seattle, yet your opinion stands strong on Dallas? The whole point is that Vegas discovers who the sharps like, aka who is most likely to cover then they funnel the public money onto the other side. The bets are coming in at 8 Cowboys bets for every 1 Seahawks bet yet the line is indicating they need more money on Dallas?

I don't like to buy into line moves as the basis of my bets. I have this capped at Seattle -1 and I've locked in the +3 at my book. I think the -125 juice is comical, just sending the sheep in to get slaughtered. 


I believe the line welcomes the small public bets, and while 8 to 1 might seem like a lot, it's not when you consider how much more the sharps bet.  I'm not saying I'm right, I'm just bringing a different perspective.....I like Dallas here period.
quote
Sopranoman27 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Sopranoman27
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 552
Location:
#15
Posted: 9/12/2012 9:01:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BMWSLSMN:


Your going to see this line climb by Friday to push money back on the SEA side.  The fact of the matter is, the Cowboys are in a  good spot. 10 days rest to get over the emotional win and start the season 2-0.  Vegas can't control what happens on the field, they can only control how people bet.


I don't know about that bro lol
quote
BMWSLSMN send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BMWSLSMN
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 163
Location: Ontario
#16
Posted: 9/12/2012 9:10:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sopranoman27:



I don't know about that bro lol

LMAO....I wouldn't be surprise if I was wrong 
quote
CannedGoods
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
CannedGoods
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 591
Location:
#17
Posted: 9/12/2012 9:32:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cam2smitty:

I don't like to buy into line moves as the basis of my bets. I have this capped at Seattle -1 and I've locked in the +3 at my book. I think the -125 juice is comical, just sending the sheep in to get slaughtered. 


Me too!  I actually have Seattle -2 lol.
quote
ShadowWarrior send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ShadowWarrior
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 7067
Location: Hawaii
#18
Posted: 9/12/2012 11:26:43 AM
Rookie qb?  What in the world could he possibly do against the defense that just beat Eli.  Like when they beat NO in the first round of playoffs few years ago?  I had NO then, have Dallas now.  It is okay, I am a square, not a sharp.  If I lose, well you trap guys were right and I was wrong.  It is cool, many other games to wager.
quote
BuddyIbarra send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
BuddyIbarra
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 746
Location: Nevada
#19
Posted: 9/12/2012 11:40:13 AM
Seattle may have a rookie qb. If you look closer its Seattles D and special teams that get it done at home. Everyone is on Cowboys D, but Seattles D is not no push over. They are pretty good too. I see a Defensive low scoring battle.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
Grimmmm send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Grimmmm
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 87
Location:
#20
Posted: 9/12/2012 11:46:51 AM
This game reminds me of the Atl-KC line. From a square side it was obvious before the game started that Atl was just the better team. From the Sharp side there was this grand science of home opener, tough stadium, stats and records, etc. At the end of the day Atl won by 16.

My point is this line is set low and not DAL-6 or -7 because of that "grand science" that the books know the sharps are aware about. Of course the public is gonna pound the Cowboys. 10 days rest, just beat the defending superbowl champs in NY, "Romo's Revenge", rookie QB against Rob Ryan D and DeMarcus Ware, etc. 

Thus, they open with -3 to prevent the "sharps" from capitalizing on the potential to win money on a possible close game because of the science of "the 12th man", home opener, Cowboys sleeping, mobile QB, "They beat NO in the playoffs", etc.

At the end of the day if the Cowboys show up prepared, they're going to win. What more would you need to prepare then 10 days of rest? Rookie QB's first NFL game against 3-4 and I'm sure they're ready to really introduce him to the NFL. In preseason he "lit it up" against second and third string, and we should all look to the Jets when we want to factor how preseason is different than regular season.

I won money on ARI against this team, and the line should be much bigger for the boys. 

DAL -3(2 units)
quote
BuddyIbarra send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
BuddyIbarra
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 746
Location: Nevada
#21
Posted: 9/12/2012 11:47:19 AM
This game comes down to one thing. Which team will turn it over more. Plus which Romo shows up. Enough said
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
mikesomoney send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mikesomoney
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 1395
Location: California
#22
Posted: 9/12/2012 12:13:08 PM
Bro u should ask ur friend where all sharp bets are going on each game and post here :)
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.