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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Czech's Bringing Down The Books 101
CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#601
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:32:21 AM
Guys I basically decided to share the basis of this in my original 101 post with everyone and then hold myself to the same basic parameters, trying to keep it basic myself also, but that proved to be flawed based on how last couple days went. I have reread all my posts and realized that things were missing that i normally incorporate, such as my half bet and even middles like I saw with clips tonight, which is why i have talked about the complete version 2.0 that i will be moving forward with from now on. 

You guys have everything here already though to kill it, I swear you do, but under strictest accordance with the rules might not have as many plays as you want. But you watch in the next year how 101 kills it. Wait til reg season bball starts and you see a game drop 2 points with everyone on the other side, then tell me what you think. That ALONE happens plenty of times per week and they hit way more than their fair share. 

If you can discipline yourself to just follow the system and no-play the ones that don't fit you'll kill it. Take mostly dogs and unders, which is usually where you find the sharp plays. Czech's bringing down the books with this info. All of you can be more profitable in the future. If nothing else back check your plays with the system. If something doesn't match right then leave it alone. 

Alright that's it czech_razor over and out 
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#602
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:32:32 AM
Hey was your Memphis -6 and the Under system plays??
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#603
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:33:32 AM
Hell yeah my man. 2-0 for the system. Did the 2nd half under hit I didn't see the line?

Vision,

Thas wassup. It went 2-0 tonight. So lets see where it takes us
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#604
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:33:50 AM
Boom Baby!! What a game. Thats why we always follow sharp money. Good work bro. 
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#605
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:35:18 AM
I spoke to soon on the Under. That proves even morw the early movements hold higher weight. I like it
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LT90 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#606
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:37:51 AM
Great Call on Under 2H Czech!!
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CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#607
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:38:18 AM
    3-0 tonight guys!    
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#608
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:39:27 AM
I'll be the first to girl, but I'll also be the first to applaud you.  Great read on the 2H Under.  1-2 and I make 60 bucks!  I'm happy for you guys!  Good garbage!
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#609
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:43:35 AM
hot tonight, tout tomorrow


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#610
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:44:46 AM
CZECH great calls tonight. I only rode with the total game under, same as other poster said before on SI it was holding at 182.5 but moved up to 183 late. I didn't think it was too significant and rode with your call. Very happy I did. 

Meant to bet -6 Memphis but fell asleep, that first quarter was concerning but just goes to show.

Keep up the great work!
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#611
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:46:29 AM
Not really sure why I decided to start a new record tonight, but I was frustrated that I didn't "officially" call a couple plays yesterday "system plays". So old system record was 5-3, not including anything from yesterday.

New system record:

3-0 YTD

I can't lie, that feels good. Everyone's gonna be excited. Remember tomorrow we could have a bad day. Or not. Just keep your head and be disciplined and I'll try and give you sharp plays. 

Good night tonight! We rode hard and rescued the women and killed those savages!





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CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#612
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:46:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Degen55:

Hey was your Memphis -6 and the Under system plays??

yes they were and the under second half.
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#613
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:48:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vision23x:

I'll be the first to girl, but I'll also be the first to applaud you.  Great read on the 2H Under.  1-2 and I make 60 bucks!  I'm happy for you guys!  Good garbage!

Thanks Vision nice turn around. I can do without the garbage talking but glad you came around.
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#614
Posted: 5/10/2012 12:50:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kendawg:

Boom Baby!! What a game. Thats why we always follow sharp money. Good work bro. 

Thanks kendawg good night tonight.
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#615
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:08:56 AM
So far we have post #584 in contention for Buster Comment of the Day later today 
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#616
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:09:34 AM
Sorry fortmax
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#617
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:14:12 AM
Great night keep up the good job ...............................
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misterstats send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#618
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:18:25 AM
Sample size lookin' good sir!  

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CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#619
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:22:27 AM
Hey whoever likes the thread and is following and commenting and contributing and is a part of it, send me a friend request, in case you want to pm or anything in the future.  

I put a lot out there already for everyone here and with 46,000 views and counting that's cool but that means 99% of covers busters are in here viewing and not a part of it all, just benefiting and throwing in their bullshit when they get a chance. 

I'm not going anywhere gonna keep posting but may not be posting as actively every day, getting back to the grind on poker tomorrow. 
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#620
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:35:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mortgage:

CZECH great calls tonight. I only rode with the total game under, same as other poster said before on SI it was holding at 182.5 but moved up to 183 late. I didn't think it was too significant and rode with your call. Very happy I did. 

Meant to bet -6 Memphis but fell asleep, that first quarter was concerning but just goes to show.

Keep up the great work!

I never saw it go back to 183 just 182.5, but this interesting. If it did it obviously didn't matter in this case. But even if it did it didn't get back to the open, which is worth noting by itself, providing the big majority on the over. 

See this is an example of why it is determined sharp pre-game. After that first quarter I think we were ALL not so confident in the under anymore, and obviously it slowed down and we called the second half under but still, say the game would have landed at 184? That coulda happened with 99 first half. How would the discussion be going then? 

So the second half part is a good backup in its own right, but to the point I was making before, the under was still the right play regardless, based on the system and how 3/4 of the game went. That first quarter was nuts and for it to go under by 10.5 after that is crazy. 

Even had it lost you'd have to still know this one was right. Almost impossible to hit that under after that 1 quarter and it wasn't even close. It was the sharp play last game also and earned Scooby Buster Comment of the Day for saying it wasn't. 
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#621
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:36:36 AM
You play poker a lot? I grind No limit holdem 20-30 hours a week. Sending friend request.
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CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#622
Posted: 5/10/2012 1:59:42 AM
41, 43, 30. 

That's how the 2nd 3rd and fourth quarters went. Wow. 

Had Memphis choked and found themselves in OT again the game woulda went over and I might have went 0-3 tonight. Some buster in here would have said the over was the play lol and in reality both unders should have hit but got sucked out in OT. 

This is good info to reflect on in the future if that happens. I was dead wrong on the Utah over 2 nights ago but not on Memphis under the last time, even though it lost in OT. 

When you evaluate a game afterwards it's not always about who won or lost, sometimes you know you just got lucky and sometimes you were on the right side and lost. And sometimes it's just sports. 

I'm not "afraid" to lose tomorrow or anything but it could happen. I know that though just hope you guys do too. Win or lose we're gonna ride hard though through the rest of this post season and then I may even delve into baseball idk. Sigh. Wish basketball was year round.  
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CZECH_RAZOR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGGlobal.eu |
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#623
Posted: 5/10/2012 2:11:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by genosteaks05:

Czech,

If Memphis goes over its all good. Looks like the spread will hit. Vizion: either post picks or shut up, no one here cares what you say, go get some friends or give input. I just want to say i saw on sportsinteractions that the Memphis line started at 183.5 went down to 182, then back up to 183. But maybe on your site it just went down half a point and stayed there. I think we need to incorporate multiple sites for the movement and not just one place. The Sharps use more than one site and shop around. And maybe the half pt jump back late is good but 1pt we stay away. Busters wont move it an entire pt late. That had to be Sharps at end. Meaning Sharps were divided and no one really knew, and thats fine we just wait for the next or only 1 play that day

The Busters don't necessarily have to move anything late to 183. Like I was saying before Vegas already anticipates that late buster action and can adjust it up anyways. How many people out there really wait until last minute to take an under. You're afraid it's gonna go down more and bet it early. That late move up is for the late buster over money. 
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#624
Posted: 5/10/2012 2:21:15 AM
Geno 

One last thing I replied to your post above but didn't get to your last sentence. I don't think it was sharp money at all pushing it up late. It was most likely late buster money in my opinion, and/or Vegas adjusting it late in anticipation of this buster money. 

But what I wanted to add was you coulda laid off the total to your point had you wanted to, and I would've no-played it myself under the old parameters especially had I seen it go to 183. This is why I no-played Denver and indi yesterday. I changed things but it coulda been a lay off, and maybe just a second half under play if there was a good value spot like we saw tonight. But under my new 2.0 version the play remained as long as it didn't come all the way back to the open of 183.5. The point with all this garbage and I said it before was once I see a play is sharp I don't want to get kicked off it unless there's good reason. We know about late buster money so it going to 183 isn't good enough. 
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#625
Posted: 5/10/2012 2:35:29 AM
I guess I didn't even really think this before but it does take some kind of thought process to work this. There are most likely some busters that can read the entire system and not apply it correctly. And some will read it and say wow I've never thought about it like that before. 

I should explain that I'm not a person and don't mean anything by busters. My feeling is that we are ALL busters. Think about it, we like sports and get involved and learn stats and remember past games and think we have it all figured out. 


The truth is they have it figured out quicker and better than you do, and know how you're gonna see it as well. All of that has the potential to skew the line a little bit. If Vegas put out the true line every day I wouldn't be exploitable and I'd be wasting my time. But it's the busters that make it work. 
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