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[Website Promotions] Topic: Czech's Bringing Down The Books 101 |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#751 Posted: 5/11/2012 6:17:12 PM
We're in the post-season of NBA, and so far so good, but right now I'm just making some decent money and ironing out the couple kinks. I never even released the new System 2.0 guidelines, and don't have to. You guys have everything you need for the rest of this season.
Next season is when I truly bring down the books. I'm not kidding either. I'm a poker player and Florida has gotten to be a great spot for poker but there's no sports betting, and I want both at the palm of my hands. Right now I'm using an offshore site. But that won't be good enough next year because I'm going for big money.
I want to be playing a 10-20 nl game at the Bellagio or Aria or something and walk to the counter to bet my sharp play, then cash the ticket on my way out. That's the life I want. I want to move to Vegas later this year. I'd be ready to do it now, had I not went close to broke late last year. But I'm rebuilding now and gonna do it eventually.
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Rotps159 |
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#752 Posted: 5/11/2012 6:22:21 PM
I don't think we know that the public is not taking Memphis. Clips have injury issues, almost lost 2 of their wins in the series so far, and lost last game. Add to that Memphis is favored now, and public usually take favorites. I think public is on Memphis now.
This doesn't mean Memphis won't win or that I don't like them. I do personally like them actually. But what I like doesn't really mean anything, anymore than who wins tonight means anything. We're tracking system plays and for the reasons listed above, there isn't a system play at this time on the game and most-likely won't be later either.
If we see numbers coming in on Clips and Memphis goes higher then maybe, but so far I'm seeing everyone jumping on Memphis and the under, making both moves suspect and hence no-plays.
Hey Czech you say that everyone is jumping on Memphis and the under but it has 62 percent of the public on over for the game tonight... |
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Raiderpug |
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#753 Posted: 5/11/2012 6:27:33 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: Next season is gonna be SICK.
We're in the post-season of NBA, and so far so good, but right now I'm just making some decent money and ironing out the couple kinks. I never even released the new System 2.0 guidelines, and don't have to. You guys have everything you need for the rest of this season.
Next season is when I truly bring down the books. I'm not kidding either. I'm a poker player and Florida has gotten to be a great spot for poker but there's no sports betting, and I want both at the palm of my hands. Right now I'm using an offshore site. But that won't be good enough next year because I'm going for big money.
I want to be playing a 10-20 nl game at the Bellagio or Aria or something and walk to the counter to bet my sharp play, then cash the ticket on my way out. That's the life I want. I want to move to Vegas later this year. I'd be ready to do it now, had I not went close to broke late last year. But I'm rebuilding now and gonna do it eventually.
I live at Aria, actually at the Veer towers in front of Aria  |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#754 Posted: 5/11/2012 6:42:22 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Raiderpug:
I live at Aria, actually at the Veer towers in front of Aria
Nice. I visited in October. Had the best time there lost like $7K playing roulette and made it all back in NFL. Crazy weekend and came home even. |
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Daywalker331 |
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#755 Posted: 5/11/2012 7:30:11 PM |
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Guaji |
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#756 Posted: 5/11/2012 7:43:13 PM
59% on over.
It was 181.5 and now 179.
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#757 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:03:17 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Guaji:
56% on Memphis
59% on over.
It was 181.5 and now 179.
Guaji, I see this also according to Covers consensus data.
I was assuming these line moves were injury related, and that the public was jumping on the under and memphis. I could be totally wrong on that though.
Be back shortly someone do a little digging on it
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curtis07 |
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#758 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:05:57 PM Great system and its betting 101.......its pretty much 1-Respecting the line movements 2-Fading the public when u see them both its a play......
Great stuff my man best of luck |
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#759 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:07:45 PM |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#760 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:20:58 PM |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#761 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:22:35 PM | 5Dimes | Odds (Line) | Over/Under (Total) | | 05/11/12 10:27:44 AM | 0/-110 (Open) | 180.5 -110 (Open) | | 05/11/12 10:37:43 AM | 0/-110 | 179.5 -105 | | 05/11/12 10:57:42 AM | 1.5/-105 | 179.5 -105 | | 05/11/12 11:07:44 AM | 1.5/-105 | 179 -105 | | 05/11/12 1:07:43 PM | 1.5/-102 | 179 -105 | | 05/11/12 1:47:43 PM |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#762 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:24:31 PM
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#763 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:28:30 PM
Looks like a big fat no-play system-wise. Personal picks are Memphis and the under. |
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misterstats |
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#764 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:29:47 PM
Yeah, I can't see this game being a system play. This is as 50/50 as you're gonna get. People pounding LAC because both CP3 and Blake are playing in an elimination game at home and have no desire to go back to MEM. People also pounding MEM because they know CP3 and Blake aren't 100% and they want to survive in this series and bring it back. NBA totally siding with Memphis so they can have a game 7 for ratings.
It just doesn't make much sense to me that the road team is the favorite here unless Vegas knows something we don't. As far as the total, I think I'm taking the under (always a solid play on a Friday night considering Busters love OVER action).
For me it's going to be MEM and UNDER. Definitely not based on the system considering this game should be a NO PLAY.
GL everyone and have a great weekend! |
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pinoy1da |
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#765 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:33:15 PM |
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pinoy1da |
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#766 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:33:17 PM |
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Thebookieluvsme |
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#767 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:35:14 PM |
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Guaji |
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#768 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:35:22 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: This is why I said to avoid injury-related line moves, because now we're playing a guessing game trying to figure out who the public is betting, why the line moved, is it because of Blake Griffin, etc etc.
Looks like a big fat no-play system-wise. Personal picks are Memphis and the under.
I like also Memphis and might play only that... I am a little afraid about the movement like the Lakers one.
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Guaji |
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#769 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:37:39 PM
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#770 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:43:26 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by misterstats:
I use 2 sources to see where the public money is going. Usually they're consistent with one another but this game's been a total nightmare. Once place has Memphis at 53% and the other 59%. Over at 67% and the other at 45%. This info is totally out of wack. I think it doesn't help that this is the only game tonight on a Friday night (where Busters in Vegas are dying for action).
Yeah, I can't see this game being a system play. This is as 50/50 as you're gonna get. People pounding LAC because both CP3 and Blake are playing in an elimination game at home and have no desire to go back to MEM. People also pounding MEM because they know CP3 and Blake aren't 100% and they want to survive in this series and bring it back. NBA totally siding with Memphis so they can have a game 7 for ratings.
It just doesn't make much sense to me that the road team is the favorite here unless Vegas knows something we don't. As far as the total, I think I'm taking the under (always a solid play on a Friday night considering Busters love OVER action).
For me it's going to be MEM and UNDER. Definitely not based on the system considering this game should be a NO PLAY.
GL everyone and have a great weekend!
This was a pretty good breakdown thanks dude. We just don't have any sharp info to make a system play.
I also like Memphis and under and think we have indicators on both but they are no-plays according to the system. Good luck to whoever you take. |
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PTOTOUR |
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#771 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:44:06 PM  |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#772 Posted: 5/11/2012 8:55:32 PM Hey started new record the other night and forgot to post results yesterday (1-1 personal picks) since there were no system plays.
3-0 system 1-1 personal
Both picks tonight mem and under are personal picks. |
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misterstats |
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#773 Posted: 5/11/2012 9:02:37 PM
Enjoy the game guys. |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#774 Posted: 5/11/2012 9:05:16 PM
--SYSTEM PLAYS--
MEM -2.5 UNDER 178.5 |
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CZECH_RAZOR |
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#775 Posted: 5/11/2012 9:05:59 PM
I'm working a new angle on the 2.0 picks. We'll see. |
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