Post All-Star Home System

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 19 of 37 «  17 18 19 20 21   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Post All-Star Home System
hawk007 PM hawk007
Joined: Aug 2008
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Kansas
 
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quote#451
Posted: 9/18/2013 2:27:23 PM
So....How many units is this system down?
TheBeefMan PM TheBeefMan
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quote#452
Posted: 9/19/2013 10:11:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hawk007:

So....How many units is this system down?

Don't know how many units the Texas series would've costed had you played a 6- game chase. Probably in the ballpark of 150-200. But I doubt anyone played it like that.

I'm personally up 6 units with the betting structure I outline earlier. I would really recommend it. 
Luckydan PM Luckydan
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quote#453
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:30:10 PM
Game 1  -164
Game 2  -125
Game 3  -129
Game 4  -121
Game 5  -160
Game 6  -134

Do the math. It ain't pretty.

GL

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
Joined: May 2012
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Nevada
 
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quote#454
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:44:28 AM
How is anyone not profiting off this system?
Luckydan PM Luckydan
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quote#455
Posted: 9/20/2013 6:53:36 PM
Depends if one went the distance last week with Texas. If you cut off after game 2,3 or 4, you are still fine. If you went to the mat with the system, you are singing a different tune. A dollar player was up about 3K before the implosion.

GL
conrad63 PM conrad63
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quote#456
Posted: 9/23/2013 6:15:35 AM
Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

GL
conrad63 PM conrad63
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quote#457
Posted: 9/23/2013 6:26:57 AM
Sorry, ST Louis not Pittsburgh.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#458
Posted: 9/23/2013 9:57:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by conrad63:

Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

GL


Since the Braves just won the division, I may wait to see what kind of lineup they throw out there. They do have a 1.5-game lead for the best record so still do have something to play for.  As for the others, I'll be on them.  I'm sure the Rangers will once again work their magic.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#459
Posted: 9/24/2013 10:41:30 AM
Rangers, Reds and Cardinals all clear out. Braves on Game 2, then Orioles for Game 1.  That will do it for this season, which won't be profitable for some due to the Rangers.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#460
Posted: 9/26/2013 12:57:50 AM
Well, that will do it for the season as the Orioles clear on Game 2.

Unfortunately, the system endured its first loss since I started tracking in 1999.

2013 season:
Record: 37-1
Game 1 wins -- 23
Game 2 wins -- 11
Game 3 wins --  1
Game 4 wins --  2

The overall record stands at 488-1.
Game 1 wins -- 290
Game 2 wins -- 139
Game 3 wins --  43
Game 4 wins --  10
Game 5 wins --  4
Game 6 wins --  1

There always are tweaks to made, ways to manage your money and learn as you go. For me, I'll never endure a six-game chase even though that's what the system says. Depending on how I'm doing, I'll reinvest my money elsewhere or cut teams earlier.  I cut Texas after four games.  Hopefullly, no one got destroyed with them.

In the last three seasons, the system has produced 84 wins, with 82 of them in the first three games.  Perhaps that's the way to go in the future, just cut things after three games.  You would've lost twice there but things would've been OK.

I'm always open to suggestions for the future on how to improve. If anyone has advice, let's hear it.

Thanks to everyone who participated and kept the bashing out of the thread. We all rant, including myself quite often which makes things fun from time to time.

Best of luck to everyone moving forward.

Chris



DeFacto PM DeFacto
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quote#461
Posted: 5/8/2014 3:21:31 PM
I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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California
 
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quote#462
Posted: 5/8/2014 3:57:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DeFacto:

I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.

If you do that it's 34-11 still 75.5% but I'm sure the ave. was at least 
-160  which doesn't leave much profit. 
rivermonsterz PM rivermonsterz
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Australia
 
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quote#463
Posted: 5/8/2014 4:27:34 PM
Yes but if you split your loss and transfer half of it to the next A game due up you should be okay right?
Posted using a mobile device.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Nevada
 
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quote#464
Posted: 7/11/2014 11:48:34 AM
Coming soon........
stickbit PM stickbit
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quote#465
Posted: 7/11/2014 11:22:49 PM
can't wait!
bruin95 PM bruin95
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Posts: 375
Nevada
 
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quote#466
Posted: 7/12/2014 2:45:57 AM
We won't have to worry about the Rangers being part of the system this season.  Ha Ha.
bruin95 PM bruin95
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Nevada
 
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quote#467
Posted: 7/12/2014 6:10:53 AM
Looking over the standings, only 2 teams are locks to qualify (Oakland, Detroit).  The Angels, Dodgers, Giants, and Cardinals would all have to win these next 2 games to qualify,  The Brewers and Orioles have to win one of the remaining two games to qualify.  Since the Cards and Brewers are playing each other, only one will qualify.  There's a very good possibility that there could only be 3 teams to qualify this season after having a record number of teams qualify last season.
kenkean89 PM kenkean89
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quote#468
Posted: 7/13/2014 9:36:07 AM
Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........
bruin95 PM bruin95
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quote#469
Posted: 7/13/2014 7:28:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kenkean89:

Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........

 

Yeah, for whatever reason, I read their record to be 8 games over, not 18.  In my defense, it was late at night.

bruin95 PM bruin95
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Nevada
 
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quote#470
Posted: 7/13/2014 7:33:14 PM

So here are this years qualifiers:

Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

 

CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#471
Posted: 7/13/2014 8:55:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

So here are this years qualifiers:

Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

 


100 percent agree about Brewers.  
nickjr PM nickjr
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Washington
 
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quote#472
Posted: 7/14/2014 6:31:52 PM

Guys, you would not had a loss in this system last year with TEAXS...if you dont start a chase against another team that is 10+ games over .500

something to think about?

Luckydan PM Luckydan
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quote#473
Posted: 7/15/2014 10:18:28 AM
While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

GL
Goodsy PM Goodsy
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Posts: 491
Australia
 
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quote#474
Posted: 7/15/2014 10:00:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Luckydan:

While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

GL

Beautifully said and agree completely..

While it is always important to go back over notes or look at how to avoid a similar loss in a system... sometimes, you just gotta say they were too good this time..
rp-rt PM rp-rt
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quote#475
Posted: 7/18/2014 10:34:53 AM

Okay, this is what I have. Please verify.

BAL - 7/29, 8/8, 8/25, 9/12

DET - 7/29, 9/6, 9/22

LAA - 7/18, 8/6, 8/25, 9/12

LAD - 7/29, 8/15, 9/1, 9/22

MIL - 7/21, 8/5, 9/4

OAK - 7/18, 8/1, 9/1, 9/16

LAA and OAK both start today!

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